SWEDEN ETTAN - SöDRA
08.08.2026 11:00
Hyllie IP
AFC Malmo
Match Timeline
Trelleborg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
O. Gabrielsson
Trelleborg
40'
N. Bergmark
Trelleborg
🔄
46'
J. Brannefalk ↔ J. Gudmundsson
Trelleborg
🔄
56'
N. Bergmark ↔ A. Rehn
Trelleborg
🔄
56'
J. Christiansen ↔ I. Ellbring
Trelleborg
🔄
58'
K. Dickson ↔ E. Alievski
AFC Malmo
🔄
58'
K. Harletun ↔ V. Castro
AFC Malmo
🟨
71'
Trelleborg
Trelleborg
🔄
71'
F. Bohman ↔ A. Reinholdsson
AFC Malmo
🔄
79'
A. Asani ↔ S. Tipura
Trelleborg
🔄
79'
E. Jaf ↔ V. Karlsson
Trelleborg
🔄
81'
M. Fatahi ↔ L. Minter Wettergren
AFC Malmo
🔄
81'
A. Podrimcaku ↔ A. Awad
AFC Malmo
🟨
84'
Trelleborg
Trelleborg
85'
V. Castro
AFC Malmo

AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 47.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
47.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
AFC Malmo Win 36.8%
Draw 15.8%
Trelleborg Win 47.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
AFC Malmo1.67
Trelleborg1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
AFC Malmo AFC Malmo
WWDLW
30 GF / 18 GA
Trelleborg Trelleborg
WLDWL
42 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.91
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
9
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AFC Malmo AFC Malmo 15 matches
Trelleborg Trelleborg 22 matches
AFC Malmo Statistic Trelleborg
8 Wins 10
4 Draws 8
3 Losses 4
30 Goals For 42
18 Goals Against 26
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
9 BTTS Yes 15
13 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Trelleborg having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Trelleborg. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

AFC Malmo Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 27 points from 14 games, AFC Malmo bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 28:16, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Trelleborg Analysis

Trelleborg approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 32 points after 14 outings. The return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 33:12, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, AFC Malmo won 0 times, Trelleborg won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from AFC Malmo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.2%)
H2H summary: AFC Malmo wins 0, draws 1, Trelleborg wins 1

Standings

South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 14 6 3 49:27 22 48
W W W L W
2 23 13 3 7 43:27 16 42
L W L W W
3 23 12 6 5 46:33 13 42
W L W D L
4 23 11 8 4 46:27 19 41
L W W D W
5 23 9 8 6 42:34 8 35
W L D D D
6 23 9 8 6 39:33 6 35
D L L W W
7 23 9 7 7 37:34 3 34
W W W W L
8 23 9 6 8 30:33 -3 33
L L D W D
9 22 8 6 8 26:20 6 30
W D L W D
10 23 9 3 11 40:44 -4 30
D W L W L
11 22 8 4 10 36:40 -4 28
W L L L D
12 22 6 9 7 24:32 -8 27
L W W D W
13 23 6 6 11 28:36 -8 24
W L D L W
14 23 6 4 13 30:41 -11 22
L D W L D
15 22 3 8 11 25:41 -16 17
L L L L L
16 23 1 6 16 18:57 -39 9
L D L D L