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CYPRUS › 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
AEK Larnaca
FT
2 - 0
Aris
AEK Arena
Referee: A. Talic
AEK Larnaca
Match Timeline
Aris
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
36'
H. Milicevic
AEK Larnaca
🟨
38'
Gustavo Paje
Aris
🔄
46'
Gustavo Paje ↔ Y. Gomis
Aris
🔄
54'
R. McCausland ↔ E. Semedo
Aris
🔄
55'
M. Rohden ↔ Miramon
AEK Larnaca
🟨
58'
Riad Bajic
AEK Larnaca
🔄
67'
C. Kyriakou ↔ P. Pons
AEK Larnaca
🔄
67'
R. Bajic ↔ G. Naoum
AEK Larnaca
🔄
67'
D. Ivanovic ↔ A. Cardero
AEK Larnaca
⚽
71'
A. Garcia
AEK Larnaca
🔄
72'
C. Charalampous ↔ V. Nikolic
Aris
🔄
82'
A. Garcia ↔ Y. Gurfinkel
AEK Larnaca
🔄
85'
Anderson Correia ↔ R. Ergas
Aris
🔄
85'
R. Effaghe ↔ A. Kokorin
Aris
🟨
90+2'
Steeve Yago
Aris

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AEK Larnaca Win 48%
Draw 11.2%
Aris Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
AEK Larnaca1.36
Aris1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
WWDLW
70 GF / 41 GA
Aris Aris
WLDWL
63 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.85
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
23
BTTS Yes
18
20
Over 2.5
21
1.51
Shots on Goal
2.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca 46 matches
Aris Aris 34 matches
AEK Larnaca Statistic Aris
23 Wins 15
12 Draws 10
11 Losses 9
70 Goals For 63
41 Goals Against 38
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
23 BTTS Yes 18
33 Over 1.5 29
20 Over 2.5 21
9 Over 3.5 13
17 Clean Sheets 14
9 Failed To Score 4
1.51 Shots On Goal 2.13
4.35 Total Shots 5.71
1.67 Corners 2.03
20% Ball Possession 19.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AEK Larnaca won 7 times, Aris won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from AEK Larnaca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: AEK Larnaca 4-2-3-1 / Aris 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: AEK Larnaca wins 7, draws 4, Aris wins 4

Lineups

AEK Larnaca
Formation
Aris
Z. Alomerovic
Z. Alomerovic
G. Ekpolo
G. Ekpolo
H. Milicevic
⚽
H. Milicevic
V. Roberge
V. Roberge
A. Garcia
⚽ ↓
A. Garcia
Ledes Gustavo
Ledes Gustavo
C. Kyriakou
↓
C. Kyriakou
M. Rohden
↓
M. Rohden
R. Mudrazija
R. Mudrazija
D. Ivanovic
↓
D. Ivanovic
R. Bajic
↓
R. Bajic
Vana Alves
Vana Alves
M. Sane
M. Sane
C. Goldson
C. Goldson
S. Yago
S. Yago
Anderson Correia
↓
Anderson Correia
C. Charalampous
↓
C. Charalampous
R. McCausland
↓
R. McCausland
G. Kastanos
G. Kastanos
Gustavo Paje
↓
Gustavo Paje
J. Montnor
J. Montnor
R. Effaghe
↓
R. Effaghe
AEK Larnaca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Z. Alomerovic
G
22
G. Ekpolo
D
15
H. Milicevic
⚽ 36'
D
27
V. Roberge
D
14
A. Garcia
⚽ 71' ↓ 82'
D
7
Ledes Gustavo
M
25
C. Kyriakou
↓ 67'
M
8
M. Rohden
↓ 55'
M
32
R. Mudrazija
M
9
D. Ivanovic
↓ 67'
M
11
R. Bajic
↓ 67' 🟨 58'
F
Substitutes
51
A. Paraskevas
G
12
K. Komar
G
41
Mathias Gonzalez
6
Jimmy Suarez
M
23
J. Izquierdo
D
17
P. Pons
↑ 67'
M
29
G. Naoum
↑ 67'
M
36
C. Loukaidis
M
86
A. Cardero
↑ 67'
M
21
Miramon
↑ 55'
M
13
Y. Gurfinkel
↑ 82'
D
Aris 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Vana Alves
G
19
M. Sane
D
6
C. Goldson
D
20
S. Yago
🟨 90+2'
D
7
Anderson Correia
↓ 85'
D
76
C. Charalampous
↓ 72'
M
45
R. McCausland
↓ 54'
M
28
G. Kastanos
M
30
Gustavo Paje
↓ 46'
66
J. Montnor
M
99
R. Effaghe
↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
25
W. Foderingham
G
27
L. Balogun
D
18
Y. Bourhane
M
22
V. Nikolic
↑ 72'
M
80
A. Kakoullis
F
70
E. Semedo
↑ 54'
M
90
E. Sofroniou
G
40
R. Ergas
↑ 85'
D
88
C. Fi Akamba
M
14
Y. Gomis
↑ 46'
F
9
A. Kokorin
↑ 85'
F
75
M. Theodosiou
Last matches: AEK Larnaca
16.07.26
Fri
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
0
0
D
10.07.26
Fri
AEK Larnaca
Ajax
0
1
L
07.07.26
Fri
AEK Larnaca
PAOK
2
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
AEK Larnaca
Helmond Sport
2
1
W
22.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Aris
4
3
W
16.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
2
2
D
10.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
1
1
D
06.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
1
0
W
03.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
0
1
L
18.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
1
1
D
14.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
05.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
22.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
16.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
2
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
06.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Akritas
3
0
W
01.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
1
1
D
22.02.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
1
2
L
14.02.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
0
1
L
Last matches: Aris
18.07.26
Fri
Aris
Legia Warszawa
2
0
W
22.05.26
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
3
4
L
16.05.26
1.
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
3
L
10.05.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
0
2
L
06.05.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
0
W
02.05.26
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
0
3
L
18.04.26
1.
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
0
W
14.04.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
1
1
D
05.04.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
2
L
21.03.26
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
2
2
D
15.03.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
2
L
08.03.26
1.
Aris
Enosis
4
0
W
01.03.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
2
2
D
20.02.26
1.
Aris
Krasava Ypsonas
1
1
D
14.02.26
1.
Aris
Akritas
1
1
D
09.02.26
1.
Aris
Anorthosis
0
1
L
01.02.26
1.
Aris
AEL
1
2
L
25.01.26
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
3
5
L
17.01.26
1.
Aris
Ethnikos Achna
3
0
W
10.01.26
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
H2H: AEK Larnaca vs Aris
22.05.26
H2H
Aris
AEK Larnaca
3
4
W
25.04.26
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
2
0
W
10.01.26
H2H
Aris
AEK Larnaca
1
0
L
22.09.25
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
3
2
W
27.04.25
H2H
Aris
AEK Larnaca
1
0
L
29.03.25
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
1
1
D
09.02.25
H2H
Aris
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
03.11.24
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
2
0
W
14.04.24
H2H
Aris
AEK Larnaca
0
1
W
04.03.24
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
1
1
D
09.12.23
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
2
1
W
21.08.23
H2H
Aris
AEK Larnaca
2
0
L
06.05.23
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
1
1
D
20.03.23
H2H
Aris
AEK Larnaca
4
0
L
15.01.23
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
4
3
W
Last matches: AEK Larnaca
16.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
2
2
D
06.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
1
0
W
14.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
22.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
06.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Akritas
3
0
W
01.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
1
1
D
14.02.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
0
1
L
31.01.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Enosis
5
0
W
18.01.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Krasava Ypsonas
2
1
W
04.01.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Anorthosis
4
0
W
18.12.25
UEF
AEK Larnaca
Shkendija
1
0
W
15.12.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
1
1
D
06.12.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
2
1
W
09.11.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
1
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
AEK Larnaca
Aberdeen
0
0
D
27.10.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
1
1
D
05.10.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
2
4
L
02.10.25
UEF
AEK Larnaca
AZ Alkmaar
4
0
W
22.09.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
Aris
3
2
W
H2H at home: AEK Larnaca
25.04.26
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
2
0
W
22.09.25
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
3
2
W
29.03.25
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
1
1
D
03.11.24
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
2
0
W
04.03.24
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
1
1
D
09.12.23
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
2
1
W
06.05.23
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
1
1
D
15.01.23
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
4
3
W
Last matches: Aris
18.07.26
Fri
Aris
Legia Warszawa
2
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
3
L
10.05.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
0
2
L
02.05.26
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
0
3
L
05.04.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
2
L
08.03.26
1.
Aris
Enosis
4
0
W
20.02.26
1.
Aris
Krasava Ypsonas
1
1
D
14.02.26
1.
Aris
Akritas
1
1
D
01.02.26
1.
Aris
AEL
1
2
L
17.01.26
1.
Aris
Ethnikos Achna
3
0
W
04.01.26
1.
Aris
Olympiakos
0
0
D
14.12.25
1.
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
0
W
07.12.25
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
0
2
L
21.11.25
1.
Aris
Pafos
1
2
L
26.10.25
1.
Aris
Anorthosis
1
1
D
05.10.25
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
0
0
D
22.09.25
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
2
3
L
30.08.25
1.
Aris
Omonia Aradippou
1
0
W
14.08.25
UEF
Aris
AEK Athens FC
1
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
Aris
Puskas Academy
2
0
W
H2H away: Aris
25.04.26
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
2
0
L
22.09.25
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
3
2
L
29.03.25
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
1
1
D
03.11.24
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
2
0
L
04.03.24
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
1
1
D
09.12.23
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
2
1
L
06.05.23
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
1
1
D
15.01.23
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Aris
4
3
L

Standings

1-division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Omonia Nicosia
26 19 4 3 63:17 46 61
W W D L W
2
AEK Larnaca Home
26 16 5 5 49:22 27 53
W W D L L
3
Apollon Limassol
26 16 5 5 36:22 14 53
D W D W W
4
Pafos
26 16 3 7 53:24 29 51
W W D D W
5
Apoel Nicosia
26 13 6 7 45:27 18 45
W L W W L
6
Aris Away
26 12 7 7 48:26 22 43
L W D D D
7
Omonia Aradippou
26 10 4 12 23:31 -8 34
W L W W D
8
AEL
26 10 3 13 31:38 -7 33
L L L W L
9
Anorthosis
26 7 11 8 23:33 -10 32
D W W D D
10
Krasava Ypsonas
26 8 4 14 26:36 -10 28
W L W D D
11
Olympiakos
26 6 10 10 22:37 -15 28
L W D L D
12
Akritas
26 7 5 14 23:48 -25 26
L L L W D
13
Ethnikos Achna
26 7 2 17 25:44 -19 23
L L L L W
14
Enosis
26 0 1 25 5:67 -62 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)