30.05.2026 16:00
FT
1 - 2
Referee: Walter Guadalupe, Peru
ADT
Match Timeline
Cusco
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
I. Colman · Assist: O. Valenzuela
Cusco
27'
A. Ojeda · Assist: J. Rojas
ADT
🟨
36'
Víctor Cedrón
ADT
🟨
36'
Ángel Ojeda
ADT
39'
J. Tevez · Assist: L. Colitto
Cusco
🔄
46'
J. Manzaneda ↔ G. Carabajal
Cusco
🔄
54'
R. Biojo ↔ A. Hidalgo
ADT
🔄
58'
L. Colitto ↔ C. Gamarra
Cusco
🔄
66'
J. Bauman ↔ H. Rengifo
ADT
🔄
66'
L. Perez ↔ L. E. Benites Vargas
ADT
🟨
72'
Pedro Diaz
Cusco
75'
Luis Benites
ADT
🔄
80'
J. Tevez ↔ C. Diez
Cusco
🔄
87'
J. Guivin Tanta ↔ N. Rengifo
ADT
🔄
87'
I. Colman ↔ N. Silva
Cusco
🔄
87'
M. Ruidias ↔ G. Choi
Cusco
🟨
88'
Aldair Fuentes
Cusco
🟨
90+3'
Gabriel Carabajal
Cusco

ADT vs Cusco Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
ADT Win 88.6%
Draw 10.1%
Cusco Win 1.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
ADT1.4
Cusco1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
ADT ADT
WWDLW
22 GF / 21 GA
Cusco Cusco
WLDWL
24 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
8
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
11
5.06
Shots on Goal
4.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ADT ADT 17 matches
Cusco Cusco 23 matches
ADT Statistic Cusco
5 Wins 7
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 11
22 Goals For 24
21 Goals Against 36
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
8 BTTS Yes 13
11 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 7
5.06 Shots On Goal 4.18
12.5 Total Shots 11.36
3.56 Corners 3.5
54.8% Ball Possession 55.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with ADT's more proactive style and Cusco's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cusco. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with ADT expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cusco in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cusco having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

ADT Analysis

ADT are currently 9 in the standings with 20 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 20:17 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Guivin Tanta (4 goals), Jonathan Bauman (4 goals), J. Rojas (3 goals), with creative support from Carlos Cabello (5 assists), Jonathan Bauman (1 assists), J. Rojas (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Cusco Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Cusco have collected 21 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 18:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Facundo Callejo (8 goals), G. Carabajal (2 goals), Iván Colman (2 goals), with creative support from J. Manzaneda (4 assists), M. Ruidias (2 assists), Iván Colman (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, ADT won 2 times, Cusco won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:11 from ADT's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (98.7%)
Predicted formations: ADT 4-2-3-1 / Cusco 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: ADT wins 2, draws 0, Cusco wins 5

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5
Cusco Away
26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 26 10 7 9 38:34 4 37
L W W W D
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 25:28 -3 32
W L W W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17
ADT Home
25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2