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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
10.10.2026 19:30
Estadio do Fontelo
Referee: Claudio Pereira

Academico Viseu vs Estoril Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.4%
Odds 2.29
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.4%
2.29 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.70 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
1.93 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.8%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Academico Viseu Win 57.4%
Draw 33.4%
Estoril Win 9.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Academico Viseu1.2
Estoril0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu
WWDLW
11 GF / 12 GA
Estoril Estoril
WLDWL
7 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
0.64
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
4
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
3
3.14
Shots on Goal
4.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 9 matches
Estoril Estoril 11 matches
Academico Viseu Statistic Estoril
3 Wins 1
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 6
11 Goals For 7
12 Goals Against 13
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 0.64
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
4 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 6
3.14 Shots On Goal 4.43
9.29 Total Shots 12.71
2.71 Corners 4.86
46.9% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Estoril. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Estoril arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Academico Viseu expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Estoril in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Estoril having the stronger overall control. Academico Viseu arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 11 points compared to Estoril in 18 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Academico Viseu Analysis

So far, Academico Viseu have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 11 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 9:9 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on André Clóvis (4 goals), S. Messeguem (1 goals), João Guilherme (1 goals), with creative support from C. Kahraman (4 assists), A. Correia (1 assists), Robinho (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Estoril Analysis

Estoril sit 18 with 2 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 3:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Y. Begraoui (2 goals), Ricard Sánchez (1 goals), with creative support from Fernando Medrano (1 assists), J. Holsgrove (1 assists), Pedro Carvalho (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Academico Viseu won 2 times, Estoril won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:13 from Academico Viseu's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.8%)
Predicted formations: Academico Viseu 4-1-4-1 / Estoril 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Academico Viseu wins 2, draws 0, Estoril wins 4

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 7 0 0 18:3 15 21
W W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 22:7 15 16
L W W W W
3 7 4 3 0 17:8 9 15
D D W W W
4 7 4 3 0 11:4 7 15
D W W D W
5 7 3 2 2 10:7 3 11
D L D W L
6 6 3 2 1 7:5 2 11
D W L W W
7 7 3 2 2 9:9 0 11
W W W L D
8 7 2 4 1 14:14 0 10
L D W D W
9 6 2 2 2 5:5 0 8
D L L D W
10 7 2 2 3 9:11 -2 8
W W L D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:12 -4 8
D L L L D
12 7 2 2 3 8:14 -6 8
D W L L W
13 7 1 4 2 9:7 2 7
W D D D L
14 7 1 2 4 5:8 -3 5
D L D L W
15 7 1 1 5 7:15 -8 4
L L L L L
16 7 1 1 5 5:15 -10 4
L D L L W
17 7 1 1 5 3:16 -13 4
W L D L L
18 7 0 2 5 3:10 -7 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2