Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
AC Oulu
Ilves
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Oulu
19 matches
Ilves
25 matches
| AC Oulu | Statistic | Ilves |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 11 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 6 | Losses | 9 |
| 25 | Goals For | 46 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.84 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2.24 | Shots On Goal | 2.42 |
| 5.94 | Total Shots | 5.47 |
| 2.29 | Corners | 1.89 |
| 22.5% | Ball Possession | 23.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. AC Oulu have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AC Oulu expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Ilves in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ilves having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ilves.
With 27 points from 17 games and a place of 4, AC Oulu still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 21:21, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Kallio (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Ilves sit 9 with 19 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 28:30 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Maksim Stjopin (2 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Oulu won 2 times, Ilves won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:23 from AC Oulu's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Lineups
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
SJK
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Ilves
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
HNK Rijeka
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
HNK Rijeka
Ilves
Stjarnan
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
Stjarnan
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Lahti
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
Turku PS
AC Oulu
KuPS
AC Oulu
VPS
AC Oulu
JIPPO
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
HNK Rijeka
Ilves
Stjarnan
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38:22 | 16 | 43 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 39 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 35 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 29:21 | 8 | 33 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 |
AC Oulu
Home
|
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 33 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 30 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Ilves
Away
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 25 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 10 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 18 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18:42 | -24 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 15:43 | -28 | 11 |
W
W
L
L
D
|