ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: D. Doveri
AC Milan
Match Timeline
Inter
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
35'
P. Estupinan · Assist: Y. Fofana
AC Milan
🔄
59'
Luis Henrique ↔ D. Dumfries
Inter
🔄
59'
H. Mkhitaryan ↔ P. Sucic
Inter
🟨
65'
Alessandro Bastoni
Inter
🔄
68'
N. Barella ↔ D. Frattesi
Inter
🔄
68'
A. Bastoni ↔ Carlos Augusto
Inter
🟨
69'
Denzel Dumfries
Inter
🔄
73'
Y. Fofana ↔ S. Ricci
AC Milan
🔄
73'
R. Leao ↔ N. Fullkrug
AC Milan
🟨
80'
Adrien Rabiot
AC Milan
🔄
80'
Y. Bisseck ↔ A. Diouf
Inter
🔄
84'
C. Pulisic ↔ C. Nkunku
AC Milan
🟨
89'
Luka Modrić
AC Milan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Inter Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.28
Inter1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan AC Milan
WWDLW
48 GF / 23 GA
Inter Inter
WLDWL
89 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
2.17
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
14
BTTS Yes
19
13
Over 2.5
24
4.77
Shots on Goal
6.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Milan AC Milan 31 matches
Inter Inter 41 matches
AC Milan Statistic Inter
18 Wins 29
9 Draws 3
4 Losses 9
48 Goals For 89
23 Goals Against 36
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
14 BTTS Yes 19
22 Over 1.5 34
13 Over 2.5 24
5 Over 3.5 14
14 Clean Sheets 20
4 Failed To Score 3
4.77 Shots On Goal 6.07
14.23 Total Shots 17.73
5 Corners 6.41
54% Ball Possession 59.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 6 times, Inter won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from AC Milan's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-5-2 / Inter 3-5-2
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 6, draws 3, Inter wins 6
Stats
AC Milan AC Milan
Inter Inter
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
1 Corner Kicks 6
8 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 1
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
382 Total passes 630
327 Passes accurate 569
0.85 expected_goals 1.02
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

AC Milan
Formation
Inter
M. Maignan
M. Maignan
F. Tomori
F. Tomori
K. De Winter
K. De Winter
S. Pavlovic
S. Pavlovic
A. Saelemaekers
A. Saelemaekers
Y. Fofana
🎯
Y. Fofana
L. Modric
L. Modric
A. Rabiot
A. Rabiot
P. Estupinan
P. Estupinan
R. Leao
R. Leao
C. Pulisic
C. Pulisic
Y. Sommer
Y. Sommer
Y. Bisseck
Y. Bisseck
M. Akanji
M. Akanji
A. Bastoni
A. Bastoni
Luis Henrique
Luis Henrique
N. Barella
N. Barella
P. Zielinski
P. Zielinski
H. Mkhitaryan
H. Mkhitaryan
F. Dimarco
F. Dimarco
A. Bonny
A. Bonny
F. Esposito
F. Esposito
AC Milan 3-5-2
Starting XI
16
M. Maignan
G
23
F. Tomori
D
5
K. De Winter
D
31
S. Pavlovic
D
56
A. Saelemaekers
M
19
Y. Fofana
🎯 35' ↓ 73'
M
14
L. Modric
🟨 89'
M
12
A. Rabiot
🟨 80'
M
2
P. Estupinan
⚽ 35'
M
10
R. Leao
↓ 73'
F
11
C. Pulisic
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
1
P. Terracciano
G
96
L. Torriani
G
24
Z. Athekame
D
33
D. Bartesaghi
D
27
D. Odogu
D
30
A. Jashari
M
4
S. Ricci
↑ 73'
M
9
N. Fullkrug
↑ 73'
F
18
C. Nkunku
↑ 84'
F
Inter 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
Y. Sommer
G
31
Y. Bisseck
↓ 80'
D
25
M. Akanji
D
95
A. Bastoni
↓ 68' 🟨 65'
D
11
Luis Henrique
↓ 59'
M
23
N. Barella
↓ 68'
M
7
P. Zielinski
M
22
H. Mkhitaryan
↓ 59'
M
32
F. Dimarco
M
14
A. Bonny
F
94
F. Esposito
F
Substitutes
12
R. Di Gennaro
G
10
L. Martinez
F
2
D. Dumfries
↑ 59' 🟨 69'
D
6
S. de Vrij
D
8
P. Sucic
↑ 59'
M
13
J. Martinez
G
15
F. Acerbi
D
16
D. Frattesi
↑ 68'
M
17
A. Diouf
↑ 80'
M
20
H. Calhanoglu
M
30
Carlos Augusto
↑ 68'
D
36
M. Darmian
D
53
M. Lavelli
F
Last matches: AC Milan
08.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
3
L
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
03.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
3
0
W
25.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
1
D
18.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lecce
1
0
W
Last matches: Inter
08.08.26
Fri
Inter
Juventus
2
1
W
05.08.26
Fri
Inter
AC Milan
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Inter
Manchester City
1
1
D
26.07.26
Fri
Inter
Karlsruher SC
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Inter
Bologna
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ser
Inter
Hellas Verona
1
1
D
13.05.26
Cop
Inter
Lazio
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Inter
Lazio
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Inter
Parma
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Inter
Torino
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cop
Inter
Como
3
2
W
17.04.26
Ser
Inter
Cagliari
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Inter
Como
4
3
W
05.04.26
Ser
Inter
AS Roma
5
2
W
22.03.26
Ser
Inter
Fiorentina
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Inter
Atalanta
1
1
D
03.03.26
Cop
Inter
Como
0
0
D
28.02.26
Ser
Inter
Genoa
2
0
W
24.02.26
UEF
Inter
Bodo/Glimt
1
2
L
21.02.26
Ser
Inter
Lecce
2
0
W
H2H: AC Milan vs Inter
05.08.26
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
08.03.26
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
23.11.25
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
0
1
W
23.04.25
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
0
3
W
02.04.25
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
02.02.25
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
06.01.25
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
2
3
W
22.09.24
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
1
2
W
22.04.24
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
2
L
16.09.23
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
5
1
L
16.05.23
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
1
0
L
10.05.23
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
0
2
L
05.02.23
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
1
0
L
18.01.23
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
0
3
L
03.09.22
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
3
2
W
Last matches: AC Milan
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
22.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
18.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lecce
1
0
W
08.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
1
1
D
28.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
3
0
W
14.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
2
2
D
29.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
1
0
W
02.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
0
W
24.10.25
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
2
D
19.10.25
Ser
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
1
W
28.09.25
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
2
1
W
23.09.25
Cop
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
W
14.09.25
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
1
0
W
23.08.25
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
1
2
L
H2H at home: AC Milan
05.08.26
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
08.03.26
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
02.04.25
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
02.02.25
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
22.04.24
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
2
L
10.05.23
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
0
2
L
18.01.23
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
0
3
L
03.09.22
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
3
2
W
Last matches: Inter
08.08.26
Fri
Inter
Juventus
2
1
W
05.08.26
Fri
Inter
AC Milan
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Inter
Manchester City
1
1
D
26.07.26
Fri
Inter
Karlsruher SC
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Inter
Bologna
3
3
D
13.05.26
Cop
Inter
Lazio
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Inter
Lazio
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Inter
Torino
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ser
Inter
Como
4
3
W
22.03.26
Ser
Inter
Fiorentina
1
1
D
03.03.26
Cop
Inter
Como
0
0
D
21.02.26
Ser
Inter
Lecce
2
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Inter
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
08.02.26
Ser
Inter
Sassuolo
5
0
W
01.02.26
Ser
Inter
Cremonese
2
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Inter
Borussia Dortmund
2
0
W
17.01.26
Ser
Inter
Udinese
1
0
W
07.01.26
Ser
Inter
Parma
2
0
W
28.12.25
Ser
Inter
Atalanta
1
0
W
19.12.25
Sup
Inter
Bologna
1
1
D
H2H away: Inter
05.08.26
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
08.03.26
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
L
02.04.25
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
02.02.25
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
22.04.24
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
2
W
10.05.23
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
0
2
W
18.01.23
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
0
3
W
03.09.22
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
3
2
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter Away
38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B