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ITALY › SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
AC Milan
FT
2 - 1
Fiorentina
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: Livio Marinelli, Italy
AC Milan
Match Timeline
Fiorentina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
50'
Zachary Athekame
AC Milan
🟨
54'
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
Fiorentina
⚽
55'
R. Gosens
Fiorentina
🔄
57'
Z. Athekame ↔ S. Gimenez
AC Milan
🟨
60'
Youssouf Fofana
AC Milan
⚽
63'
R. Leao · Assist: S. Pavlovic
AC Milan
🔄
69'
R. Gosens ↔ F. Parisi
Fiorentina
🔄
70'
J. Fazzini ↔ A. Gudmundsson
Fiorentina
🟨
74'
Fikayo Tomori
AC Milan
🔄
77'
M. Kean ↔ R. Piccoli
Fiorentina
VAR
84'
Santiago Giménez
AC Milan
🟨
85'
Fabiano Parisi
Fiorentina
⚽
86'
R. Leao
AC Milan
🔄
87'
H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↔ S. Sohm
Fiorentina
🟨
88'
Luca Ranieri
Fiorentina
🔄
88'
R. Mandragora ↔ E. Dzeko
Fiorentina
🔄
90'
A. Saelemaekers ↔ K. De Winter
AC Milan
🔄
90+3'
R. Leao ↔ C. Balentien
AC Milan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fiorentina Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.49
Fiorentina0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan AC Milan
WWDLW
14 GF / 3 GA
Fiorentina Fiorentina
WLDWL
12 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
2
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
5.38
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Milan AC Milan 8 matches
Fiorentina Fiorentina 9 matches
AC Milan Statistic Fiorentina
6 Wins 3
1 Draws 3
1 Losses 3
14 Goals For 12
3 Goals Against 10
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
2 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 2
5.38 Shots On Goal 3
16.5 Total Shots 12.78
6.25 Corners 4.56
55.8% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 8 times, Fiorentina won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from AC Milan's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-5-2 / Fiorentina 3-5-1-1
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 8, draws 3, Fiorentina wins 4
Stats
AC Milan AC Milan
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
1 Corner Kicks 3
14 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 2
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Goal 1
7 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 2
4 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
485 Total passes 362
424 Passes accurate 306
1.98 expected_goals 1.08
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

AC Milan
Formation
Fiorentina
M. Maignan
M. Maignan
F. Tomori
F. Tomori
M. Gabbia
M. Gabbia
S. Pavlovic
🎯
S. Pavlovic
Z. Athekame
↓
Z. Athekame
Y. Fofana
Y. Fofana
L. Modric
L. Modric
S. Ricci
S. Ricci
D. Bartesaghi
D. Bartesaghi
A. Saelemaekers
↓
A. Saelemaekers
R. Leao
⚽ 2 ↓
R. Leao
D. de Gea
D. de Gea
M. Pongracic
M. Pongracic
P. Mari
P. Mari
L. Ranieri
L. Ranieri
Dodo
Dodo
R. Mandragora
↓
R. Mandragora
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
↓
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
N. Fagioli
N. Fagioli
R. Gosens
⚽ ↓
R. Gosens
J. Fazzini
↓
J. Fazzini
M. Kean
↓
M. Kean
AC Milan 3-5-2
Starting XI
16
M. Maignan
G
23
F. Tomori
🟨 74'
D
46
M. Gabbia
D
31
S. Pavlovic
🎯 63'
D
24
Z. Athekame
↓ 57' 🟨 50'
M
19
Y. Fofana
🟨 60'
M
14
L. Modric
M
4
S. Ricci
M
33
D. Bartesaghi
M
56
A. Saelemaekers
↓ 90'
F
10
R. Leao
⚽ 63' ⚽ 86' ↓ 90+3'
F
Substitutes
1
P. Terracciano
G
37
M. Pittarella
G
5
K. De Winter
↑ 90'
D
27
D. Odogu
D
42
E. Sala
M
7
S. Gimenez
↑ 57'
F
25
C. Balentien
↑ 90+3'
F
Fiorentina 3-5-1-1
Starting XI
43
D. de Gea
G
5
M. Pongracic
D
18
P. Mari
D
6
L. Ranieri
🟨 88'
D
2
Dodo
M
8
R. Mandragora
↓ 88'
M
14
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
↓ 87' 🟨 54'
M
44
N. Fagioli
M
21
R. Gosens
⚽ 55' ↓ 69'
M
22
J. Fazzini
↓ 70'
F
20
M. Kean
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Lezzerini
G
30
T. Martinelli
G
15
P. Comuzzo
D
26
M. Viti
D
29
N. Fortini
D
60
E. Kouadio
D
65
F. Parisi
↑ 69' 🟨 85'
D
7
S. Sohm
↑ 87'
M
11
A. Sabiri
M
27
C. Ndour
M
9
E. Dzeko
↑ 88'
F
10
A. Gudmundsson
↑ 70'
F
91
R. Piccoli
↑ 77'
F
Last matches: AC Milan
15.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Manchester United
4
2
W
08.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
3
L
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
08.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
03.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
3
0
W
Last matches: Fiorentina
14.08.26
Cop
Fiorentina
Benevento
4
1
W
06.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Deportivo La Coruna
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Real Madrid
2
2
D
29.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Watford
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
QPR
2
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Gubbio
1
0
W
19.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Fiorentina U20
8
1
W
22.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Genoa
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
0
0
D
20.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
16.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
1
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Inter
1
1
D
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
H2H: AC Milan vs Fiorentina
11.01.26
H2H
Fiorentina
AC Milan
1
1
D
19.10.25
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
2
D
06.10.24
H2H
Fiorentina
AC Milan
2
1
L
30.03.24
H2H
Fiorentina
AC Milan
1
2
W
25.11.23
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
1
0
W
04.03.23
H2H
Fiorentina
AC Milan
2
1
L
13.11.22
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
1
W
01.05.22
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
1
0
W
20.11.21
H2H
Fiorentina
AC Milan
4
3
L
21.03.21
H2H
Fiorentina
AC Milan
2
3
W
29.11.20
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
0
W
22.02.20
H2H
Fiorentina
AC Milan
1
1
D
29.09.19
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
1
3
L
11.05.19
H2H
Fiorentina
AC Milan
0
1
W
Last matches: AC Milan
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
08.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
18.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lecce
1
0
W
08.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
1
1
D
28.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
3
0
W
14.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
2
2
D
29.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
1
0
W
02.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
0
W
24.10.25
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
2
D
28.09.25
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
2
1
W
23.09.25
Cop
AC Milan
Lecce
3
0
W
14.09.25
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
1
0
W
23.08.25
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
1
2
L
H2H at home: AC Milan
19.10.25
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
2
D
25.11.23
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
1
0
W
13.11.22
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
1
W
01.05.22
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
1
0
W
29.11.20
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
0
W
29.09.19
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
1
3
L
Last matches: Fiorentina
01.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Real Madrid
2
2
D
29.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Watford
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
QPR
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
20.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
02.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Udinese
0
3
L
19.02.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
14.02.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Como
2
1
W
31.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Napoli
1
2
L
18.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Bologna
2
1
W
07.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Parma
0
1
L
18.12.25
UEF
Fiorentina
Lausanne
0
1
L
06.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1
3
L
30.11.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
0
2
L
H2H away: Fiorentina
19.10.25
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
1
L
05.04.25
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
2
D
25.11.23
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
1
0
L
13.11.22
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
1
L
01.05.22
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
1
0
L
29.11.20
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
0
L
29.09.19
H2H
AC Milan
Fiorentina
1
3
W

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter
38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2
Napoli
38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3
AS Roma
38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4
Como
38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5
AC Milan Home
38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6
Juventus
38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7
Atalanta
38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8
Bologna
38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9
Lazio
38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10
Udinese
38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11
Sassuolo
38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12
Torino
38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13
Parma
38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14
Cagliari
38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15
Fiorentina Away
38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16
Genoa
38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17
Lecce
38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18
Cremonese
38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19
Hellas Verona
38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20
Pisa
38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B