Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54%
|
2.01 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.69 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.13 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.50 |
Aalesund
Tromso
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aalesund
22 matches
Tromso
23 matches
| Aalesund | Statistic | Tromso |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 13 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 4 |
| 36 | Goals For | 36 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.91 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.86 | Shots On Goal | 4.88 |
| 14.5 | Total Shots | 11.69 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 5.31 |
| 43.4% | Ball Possession | 46.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Tromso's more proactive style and Aalesund's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Tromso carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 31 points while Aalesund sit 14 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tromso. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Aalesund sit 14 with 12 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 18:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (3 goals), Mathias Christensen (3 goals), Henrik Melland (3 goals), with creative support from Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (2 assists), Uba Charles (2 assists), Mathias Christensen (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Tromso arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 31 points after 15 matches. The record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 26:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Heine Asen Larsen (3 goals), Jens Hjertø-Dahl (2 goals), Troy Nyhammer (2 goals), with creative support from Ruben Jenssen (4 assists), Jens Hjertø-Dahl (2 assists), Vetle Skjaervik (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Aalesund won 5 times, Tromso won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:14 from Aalesund's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.7 goals per game.
Aalesund
Viking
Aalesund
Valerenga
Aalesund
Molde
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
Tromso
Aalesund
Brann
Aalesund
Rosenborg
Aalesund
Sandefjord
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
Start
Aalesund
Lillestrom
Aalesund
Brattvåg
Aalesund
Molde
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
Sirius
Aalesund
hodd
Tromso
Hradec Králové
Tromso
Hradec Králové
Tromso
Ham-Kam
Tromso
Valerenga
Tromso
Orgryte IS
Tromso
KFUM Oslo
Tromso
Aalesund
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
Tromso
Molde
Tromso
Start
Tromso
Brann
Tromso
Sandefjord
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
Lillestrom
Tromso
Kristiansund BK
Tromso
Rosenborg
Tromso
Start
Tromso
Brann
Tromso
Fredrikstad
Tromso
Lillestrom
Aalesund
Viking
Aalesund
Molde
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
Brann
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
Lillestrom
Aalesund
Brattvåg
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
hodd
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Brattvåg
Tromso
Hradec Králové
Tromso
Ham-Kam
Tromso
KFUM Oslo
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
Tromso
Start
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
Brann
Tromso
Lyn
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41:11 | 30 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 34:14 | 20 | 34 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
Tromso
Away
|
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 23 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 21 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 21 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 19 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 15 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 14 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 |
Aalesund
Home
|
14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 19:29 | -10 | 13 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 12 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16:34 | -18 | 10 |
W
L
L
L
W
|