NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Color Line Stadion
Referee: M. Grotta
Aalesund
Match Timeline
Tromso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
M. Tonnessen
Tromso
9'
D. Edvardsson · Assist: T. Nyhammer
Tromso
42'
I. Vadebu
Aalesund
VAR
44'
H. Melland
Aalesund
🔄
46'
S. Haram ↔ U. Syversen
Aalesund
48'
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd · Assist: L. O. Larsen
Tromso
54'
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd · Assist: I. Dahlqvist
Tromso
59'
E. Osenbroch · Assist: H. Hammer
Aalesund
🔄
60'
H. Hammer ↔ E. Myrlid
Aalesund
🔄
60'
M. Andresen ↔ K. Nesso
Aalesund
69'
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
Tromso
🔄
72'
T. Nyhammer ↔ Ieltsin Camoes
Tromso
🔄
77'
O. Gudmundsson ↔ M. Kristensen
Aalesund
🔄
77'
K. Lonebu ↔ I. Djantou
Aalesund
81'
H. Larsen · Assist: D. Edvardsson
Tromso
🔄
90'
L. O. Larsen ↔ J. Grundt
Tromso
90+2'
U. Syversen
Tromso
🔄
90+3'
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd ↔ S. Innvaer
Tromso
🔄
90+3'
H. Larsen ↔ A. L. Elvebu
Tromso

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aalesund Win 32.5%
Draw 13.5%
Tromso Win 54%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aalesund1.35
Tromso1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aalesund Aalesund
WWDLW
36 GF / 42 GA
Tromso Tromso
WLDWL
36 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.91
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
16
BTTS Yes
8
14
Over 2.5
9
4.86
Shots on Goal
4.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aalesund Aalesund 22 matches
Tromso Tromso 23 matches
Aalesund Statistic Tromso
6 Wins 13
7 Draws 6
9 Losses 4
36 Goals For 36
42 Goals Against 21
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.91 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
16 BTTS Yes 8
20 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 9
11 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 12
3 Failed To Score 6
4.86 Shots On Goal 4.69
14.5 Total Shots 11.69
4.5 Corners 4.94
43.4% Ball Possession 42.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Tromso's more proactive style and Aalesund's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Tromso carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 31 points while Aalesund sit 14 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tromso. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Aalesund Analysis

Aalesund sit 14 with 12 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 18:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (3 goals), Mathias Christensen (3 goals), Henrik Melland (3 goals), with creative support from Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (2 assists), Uba Charles (2 assists), Mathias Christensen (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tromso Analysis

Tromso arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 31 points after 15 matches. The record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 26:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Heine Asen Larsen (3 goals), Jens Hjertø-Dahl (2 goals), Troy Nyhammer (2 goals), with creative support from Ruben Jenssen (4 assists), Jens Hjertø-Dahl (2 assists), Vetle Skjaervik (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Aalesund won 5 times, Tromso won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:20 from Aalesund's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4.09 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.5%)
Predicted formations: Aalesund 5-3-2 / Tromso 5-3-2
Missing players: Aalesund 6, Tromso 2
H2H summary: Aalesund wins 5, draws 3, Tromso wins 3
Stats
Aalesund Aalesund
Tromso Tromso
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
2
9 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 6
10 Shots off Goal 4
9 Blocked Shots 2
15 Shots insidebox 9
7 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
488 Total passes 450
415 Passes accurate 363
2.46 expected_goals 1.82
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Aalesund
Formation
Tromso
Luca Podlech
Luca Podlech
Marius Andresen
Marius Andresen
Simen Haram
Simen Haram
Emil Engqvist
Emil Engqvist
Ólafur Guðmundsson
Ólafur Guðmundsson
Uba Charles
Uba Charles
Hakon Butli Hammer
Hakon Butli Hammer
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Henrik Melland
Henrik Melland
Kristian Lonebu
Kristian Lonebu
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
Jakob Haugaard
Jakob Haugaard
Isak Dahlqvist
🎯
Isak Dahlqvist
Isak Vadebu
Isak Vadebu
Vetle Skjaervik
Vetle Skjaervik
Mathias Tonnessen
Mathias Tonnessen
Alexander Warneryd
⚽ 3
Alexander Warneryd
David Edvardsson
🎯
David Edvardsson
Ruben Jenssen
Ruben Jenssen
Lars Olden Larsen
🎯
Lars Olden Larsen
Heine Asen Larsen
Heine Asen Larsen
Troy Nyhammer
🎯
Troy Nyhammer
Aalesund 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
Luca Podlech
G
2
Marius Andresen
↓ 60'
D
4
Simen Haram
↓ 46'
D
22
Emil Engqvist
D
3
Ólafur Guðmundsson
↓ 77'
D
14
Uba Charles
D
6
Hakon Butli Hammer
M
18
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
M
8
Henrik Melland
M
39
Kristian Lonebu
↓ 77'
F
15
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
⚽ 59'
F
Substitutes
25
Ulrik Syversen
D
7
Kristoffer Nessø
↑ 60'
M
17
Elias Heggland Myrlid
↑ 60'
F
10
Mathias Kristensen
M
20
Ivan Djantou
↑ 77'
F
26
Tor Erik Larsen
G
45
Philip Sandvik Aukland
D
16
Jakob Nyland Örsahl
D
11
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
M
Tromso 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
Jakob Haugaard
G
17
Isak Dahlqvist
🎯 54'
D
30
Isak Vadebu
⚽ 42'
D
4
Vetle Skjaervik
D
3
Mathias Tonnessen
🟨 7'
D
29
Alexander Warneryd
⚽ 48' ⚽ 54' ⚽ 69' ↓ 90+3'
D
5
David Edvardsson
⚽ 9' 🎯 81'
M
11
Ruben Jenssen
M
7
Lars Olden Larsen
🎯 48' ↓ 90'
M
22
Heine Asen Larsen
⚽ 81' ↓ 90+3'
F
10
Troy Nyhammer
🎯 9' ↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
20
Ieltsin Camões
F
8
Jesper Andreas Grundt
↑ 90'
M
37
Sander Innvær
↑ 90+3'
M
19
Aleksander Lilletun Elvebu
↑ 90+3'
M
12
Ole Lauvli
G
27
Mads Mikkelsen
M
25
Casper Öyvann
D
16
Benjamin Myrvold
D
9
Daniel Braut
F
Last matches: Aalesund
16.08.26
Eli
Aalesund
Valerenga
5
5
D
09.08.26
Eli
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
26.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
16.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Valerenga
1
6
L
11.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Molde
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
29.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Tromso
1
1
D
20.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Brann
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Rosenborg
3
2
W
03.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Sandefjord
0
1
L
26.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
12.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
07.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
21.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Start
1
1
D
15.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Lillestrom
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
6
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Molde
1
4
L
22.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
Last matches: Tromso
20.08.26
UEF
Tromso
Brighton
0
0
D
16.08.26
Eli
Tromso
Molde
2
3
L
13.08.26
UEF
Tromso
CFR 1907 Cluj
2
1
W
06.08.26
UEF
Tromso
CFR 1907 Cluj
5
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Tromso
Hradec Králové
1
3
L
23.07.26
UEF
Tromso
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
18.07.26
Eli
Tromso
Ham-Kam
4
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Tromso
Valerenga
4
0
W
25.06.26
Fri
Tromso
Orgryte IS
4
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Tromso
KFUM Oslo
0
0
D
25.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Aalesund
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
10.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Molde
2
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Start
1
1
D
29.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sandefjord
3
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Lillestrom
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Rosenborg
2
0
W
H2H: Aalesund vs Tromso
02.08.26
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
2
6
L
25.05.26
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
1
1
D
08.03.25
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
1
0
W
08.10.23
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
1
2
W
11.06.23
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
2
3
L
13.11.22
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
2
2
D
18.04.22
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
2
2
D
20.08.17
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
3
2
L
30.04.17
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
3
1
W
05.08.16
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
1
2
W
24.04.16
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
6
0
W
Last matches: Aalesund
16.08.26
Eli
Aalesund
Valerenga
5
5
D
26.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
11.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Molde
2
2
D
29.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
20.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Brann
2
1
W
26.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
07.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
15.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Lillestrom
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
6
1
W
22.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
hodd
2
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
0
2
L
H2H at home: Aalesund
02.08.26
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
2
6
L
08.03.25
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
1
0
W
11.06.23
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
2
3
L
18.04.22
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
2
2
D
30.04.17
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
3
1
W
24.04.16
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
6
0
W
Last matches: Tromso
16.08.26
Eli
Tromso
Molde
2
3
L
06.08.26
UEF
Tromso
CFR 1907 Cluj
5
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Tromso
Hradec Králové
1
3
L
18.07.26
Eli
Tromso
Ham-Kam
4
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Tromso
KFUM Oslo
0
0
D
16.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
03.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Start
1
1
D
19.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
22.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
2
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
Tromso
Lyn
2
0
W
H2H away: Tromso
02.08.26
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
2
6
W
08.03.25
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
1
0
L
11.06.23
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
2
3
W
18.04.22
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
2
2
D
30.04.17
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
3
1
L
24.04.16
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
6
0
L

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 2 2 43:12 31 41
W W W W W
2 17 13 1 3 40:17 23 40
L W W D W
3 17 10 4 3 34:20 14 34
L W W W D
4 17 8 3 6 32:26 6 27
W L D W L
5 17 8 2 7 23:21 2 26
D L L L W
6 17 8 1 8 36:27 9 25
W W L W W
7 17 7 3 7 25:22 3 24
W W L W W
8 17 7 2 8 18:27 -9 23
W W W L L
9 17 6 4 7 20:23 -3 22
L L D W D
10 17 6 4 7 24:30 -6 22
L D W L L
11 17 6 3 8 28:34 -6 21
D L L W W
12 17 5 4 8 19:27 -8 19
D W W L L
13 17 5 3 9 15:23 -8 18
W L L L L
14 17 4 3 10 15:27 -12 15
L W L L D
15 17 2 9 6 27:41 -14 15
D D L D L
16 17 2 4 11 16:38 -22 10
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Aalesund 6 missing
-
A. Kjelsen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Christensen
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
M. Kristensen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
P. Ngongo
Missing Fixture Surgery
OUT
-
M. Reed
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
J. Seehusen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Tromso 2 missing
-
L. Cornic
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
V. Ekblom
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT