DENMARK › 1. DIVISION
18.04.2026 16:30
Aalborg Portland Park
Referee: M. Kristoffersen
Aalborg
Match Timeline
Aarhus Fremad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
O. Hjaltason
Aarhus Fremad
🟨
7'
M. Agnarsson
Aarhus Fremad
⚽
8'
N. Helenius
Aalborg
⚽
12'
M. Kaastrup
Aarhus Fremad
⚽
35'
K. Hansen · Assist: N. Helenius
Aalborg
⚽
42'
J. Adedeji · Assist: N. Helenius
Aalborg
🔄
46'
O. Hjaltason ↔ M. Kirchheiner
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
60'
M. Kubel ↔ K. John
Aalborg
🔄
60'
J. Adedeji ↔ M. Bonde
Aalborg
🔄
62'
A. Pisani ↔ L. Riisgaard
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
78'
E. Egerton ↔ A. Holvad
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
78'
M. Agnarsson ↔ K. Lunding
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
82'
N. Helenius ↔ M. Kallesoe
Aalborg
🔄
82'
M. Nielsen ↔ N. Arnorsson
Aalborg
🔄
86'
S. Baekgard ↔ M. Ryberg
Aarhus Fremad
🔄
88'
K. Hansen ↔ W. Thomsen
Aalborg

Aalborg vs Aarhus Fremad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 50.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 50.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
50.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
50.7%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Aalborg Win 31.2%
Draw 13.8%
Aarhus Fremad Win 55.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aalborg1.48
Aarhus Fremad1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aalborg Aalborg
WWDLW
39 GF / 33 GA
Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad
WLDWL
35 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
12
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aalborg Aalborg 24 matches
Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 24 matches
Aalborg Statistic Aarhus Fremad
9 Wins 7
7 Draws 9
8 Losses 8
39 Goals For 35
33 Goals Against 30
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
12 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aarhus Fremad having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aarhus Fremad. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Aalborg Analysis

Placed 1 with 34 points from 24 outings, Aalborg continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 39:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on N. Helenius (9 goals), K. Hansen (7 goals), K. John (7 goals), with creative support from K. John (4 assists), M. Nielsen (4 assists), V. Moller (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Aarhus Fremad Analysis

Placed 2 with 30 points from 24 outings, Aarhus Fremad continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, while the 35:30 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Andersen (11 goals), M. Kubel (5 goals), M. Agnarsson (4 goals), with creative support from M. Kubel (6 assists), M. Agnarsson (4 assists), K. Andersen (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Aalborg won 2 times, Aarhus Fremad won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:13 from Aalborg's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
H2H summary: Aalborg wins 2, draws 0, Aarhus Fremad wins 3

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 6 4 49:25 24 42
L L W W L
2 22 10 9 3 34:23 11 39
L L D L D
3 22 10 7 5 33:29 4 37
W L D L W
4 22 11 4 7 32:29 3 37
W W D W L
5 22 9 6 7 29:23 6 33
L W L L D
6 22 8 6 8 26:24 2 30
W W D W W
7 22 7 7 8 33:31 2 28
W L D L D
8 22 8 4 10 26:36 -10 28
D W D D L
9 22 6 9 7 32:27 5 27
D W W D W
10 22 6 7 9 22:31 -9 25
W W L D D
11 22 5 5 12 26:41 -15 20
L L W D W
12 22 2 6 14 21:44 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion round
Relegation Round