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03.11.2026 01:15
Estadio Américo Montanini
Referee: Jhon Alexander Ospina Londono, Colombia
Bucaramanga
Match Timeline
Atletico Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
E. Cardona
Atletico Nacional
🔄
22'
N. Castrillon ↔ A. Gutierrez
Bucaramanga
🟨
24'
F. Sambueza
Bucaramanga
🟨
24'
A. Sarmiento
Atletico Nacional
🟨
26'
W. Tesillo
Atletico Nacional
🔄
34'
Fabry ↔ A. Zarate
Bucaramanga
🟨
42'
E. Cardona
Atletico Nacional
🔄
58'
J. Zapata ↔ E. Cabrera
Atletico Nacional
🔄
58'
E. Cardona ↔ J. Rengifo
Atletico Nacional
🔄
58'
A. Sarmiento ↔ A. Morelos
Atletico Nacional
🟨
59'
J. Garcia
Bucaramanga
🔄
66'
R. Escorcia ↔ E. Benitez
Atletico Nacional
🟨
70'
L. Pons
Bucaramanga
🟨
71'
N. Rodriguez
Atletico Nacional
🟨
74'
X. Rios
Atletico Nacional
⚽
75'
L. Pons
Bucaramanga
🔄
79'
N. Rodriguez ↔ Y. A. Perlaza Perea
Atletico Nacional
🟨
83'
A. Gutierrez
Bucaramanga
🔄
85'
J. Garcia ↔ B. Caicedo
Bucaramanga
🔄
85'
L. Pons ↔ A. Murrilo
Bucaramanga
🔄
85'
E. Batalla ↔ K. Londono
Bucaramanga
🟨
90+4'
J. Rengifo
Atletico Nacional

Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 67.3%
Odds 1.62
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.96
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
67.3%
1.62 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.96 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.5%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Bucaramanga Win 41%
Draw 26.4%
Atletico Nacional Win 32.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bucaramanga1.24
Atletico Nacional1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
W L L D D
5 GF / 6 GA
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
W W W L W
11 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
22
BTTS Yes
21
18
Over 2.5
28
4.03
Shots on Goal
6.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 36 matches
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 45 matches
Bucaramanga Statistic Atletico Nacional
12 Wins 29
15 Draws 4
9 Losses 12
52 Goals For 84
39 Goals Against 42
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
22 BTTS Yes 21
29 Over 1.5 35
18 Over 2.5 28
10 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 14
9 Failed To Score 12
4.03 Shots On Goal 6.17
12.23 Total Shots 16.07
3.57 Corners 5.27
48.7% Ball Possession 58.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bucaramanga won 5 times, Atletico Nacional won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Bucaramanga's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.6%)
Predicted formations: Bucaramanga 4-3-3 / Atletico Nacional 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bucaramanga wins 5, draws 5, Atletico Nacional wins 5

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
D W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D W D D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L W L L D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W D L W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D D W W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L L L D D
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L W W L W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W L W D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D W D D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D W D D D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L L L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W W L W D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D W L L D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L L W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
L L D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L W L L W
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L W W D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L D W L L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L W W W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
W D W D D
Post season qualification