AUSTRALIA › A-LEAGUE
11.01.2026 02:00
Sky Stadium
Referee: L. Keevers
Wellington Phoenix
Match Timeline
Adelaide United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
R. White · Assist: P. Madanha
Adelaide United
🟨
28'
Corban Piper
Wellington Phoenix
🟨
30'
Lukas Kelly-Heald
Wellington Phoenix
🟨
40'
Alex Rufer
Wellington Phoenix
⚽
44'
L. Duzel · Assist: C. Goodwin
Adelaide United
🔄
46'
L. Kelly-Heald ↔ L. Brooke-Smith
Wellington Phoenix
🟨
54'
Craig Goodwin
Adelaide United
⚽
56'
I. Hughes · Assist: R. Najjarine
Wellington Phoenix
⚽
65'
C. Piper · Assist: T. Payne
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
66'
T. Payne ↔ P. Retre
Wellington Phoenix
🟨
72'
Anselmo
Adelaide United
🔄
79'
J. Muniz ↔ J. Najdovski
Adelaide United
🔄
79'
Anselmo ↔ A. Ayoubi
Adelaide United
🔄
82'
I. Eze ↔ N. Mileusnic
Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Wellington Phoenix Win 0%
Draw 0%
Adelaide United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wellington Phoenix1.55
Adelaide United1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
WWDLW
17 GF / 20 GA
Adelaide United Adelaide United
WLDWL
16 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
9
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
8
5.18
Shots on Goal
4.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 11 matches
Adelaide United Adelaide United 11 matches
Wellington Phoenix Statistic Adelaide United
4 Wins 5
2 Draws 0
5 Losses 6
17 Goals For 16
20 Goals Against 17
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
9 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 9
9 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
5.18 Shots On Goal 4.64
13.27 Total Shots 12.09
5 Corners 5.55
52.4% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wellington Phoenix won 4 times, Adelaide United won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:28 from Wellington Phoenix's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Wellington Phoenix 3-3-1-3 / Adelaide United 3-5-2
H2H summary: Wellington Phoenix wins 4, draws 6, Adelaide United wins 5

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2 26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3 26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4 26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5 26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6 26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7 26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8 26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9 26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10 26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11 26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12 26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)