21.05.2026 00:30
Allianz Parque
Referee: Y. Perez
Palmeiras
Match Timeline
Cerro Porteno
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+3'
R. Piris
Cerro Porteno
🔄
46'
M. Chaparro ↔ A. G. Benitez
Cerro Porteno
🔄
46'
F. Noguera ↔ J. Torres
Cerro Porteno
⚽
48'
P. Vegetti · Assist: F. Dominguez
Cerro Porteno
🔄
59'
A. Giay ↔ Mauricio
Palmeiras
🟨
60'
J. Morel
Cerro Porteno
🟨
61'
A. G. Benitez
Cerro Porteno
🔄
62'
M. Klimowicz ↔ C. Bobadilla
Cerro Porteno
🟨
68'
Arthur Gabriel
Palmeiras
🔄
71'
E. Martinez ↔ Paulinho
Palmeiras
🔄
73'
C. Dominguez ↔ J. Iturbe
Cerro Porteno
🟨
84'
Andreas Pereira
Palmeiras
🔄
85'
Andreas Pereira ↔ Lucas Evangelista
Palmeiras
🔄
85'
Allan Elias ↔ Luighi
Palmeiras
🟨
89'
G. Gomez
Palmeiras

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 34.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 66.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
34.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
66.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Palmeiras Win 71.5%
Draw 12.2%
Cerro Porteno Win 16.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palmeiras1.31
Cerro Porteno1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palmeiras Palmeiras
WWDLW
32 GF / 16 GA
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
WLDWL
31 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.29
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
14
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
7
4.65
Shots on Goal
4.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palmeiras Palmeiras 20 matches
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 24 matches
Palmeiras Statistic Cerro Porteno
12 Wins 12
7 Draws 6
1 Losses 6
32 Goals For 31
16 Goals Against 21
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
14 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 11
1 Failed To Score 7
4.65 Shots On Goal 4.42
14.65 Total Shots 12.75
6.6 Corners 4.71
51.8% Ball Possession 54%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Palmeiras won 7 times, Cerro Porteno won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:4 from Palmeiras's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Palmeiras 4-2-3-1 / Cerro Porteno 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Palmeiras wins 7, draws 2, Cerro Porteno wins 1

Standings

Group F
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 6:2 4 13
W W W D W
2 6 3 2 1 10:5 5 11
W L W D W
3 6 2 0 4 6:9 -3 6
L L L W L
4 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals