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26.09.2026 13:30
Bryntirion Park
Referee: J. Walker
Penybont
Match Timeline
Airbus UK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
26'
L. Shephard
Airbus UK
⚽
54'
R. Hill
Penybont
🔄
61'
A. Baker ↔ O. Pritchard
Penybont
🔄
68'
D. Barrow ↔ E. Cann
Penybont
🟨
71'
E. Vaughan
Penybont
🔄
72'
J. Roberts ↔ J. Parry
Airbus UK
🔄
74'
R. Hill ↔ M. Manga
Penybont
🟨
76'
M. Manga
Penybont
⚽
79'
E. Cann
Penybont
🔄
84'
M. Blackwell-Jones ↔ J. Hughes
Airbus UK
🟨
90+1'
J. Parry
Airbus UK
🟨
90+1'
O. Pritchard
Penybont

Penybont vs Airbus UK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Penybont Win 66.6%
Draw 4.7%
Airbus UK Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penybont1.66
Airbus UK1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penybont Penybont
WWDLW
23 GF / 12 GA
Airbus UK Airbus UK
WLDWL
23 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.92
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
6
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Penybont Penybont 13 matches
Airbus UK Airbus UK 12 matches
Penybont Statistic Airbus UK
8 Wins 7
3 Draws 0
2 Losses 5
23 Goals For 23
12 Goals Against 18
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
6 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Penybont arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 24 points compared to Airbus UK in 8 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Penybont come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Airbus UK. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Airbus UK having the stronger overall control.

Penybont Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 24 points from 10 games, Penybont bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a 20:8 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Airbus UK Analysis

Airbus UK sit 8 with 15 points after 10 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 17:15 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Penybont won 5 times, Airbus UK won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:5 from Penybont's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
H2H summary: Penybont wins 5, draws 0, Airbus UK wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 12 1 0 44:6 38 37
W W W W W
2 13 10 1 2 30:9 21 31
W W W W W
3 13 9 3 1 25:11 14 30
W L W W W
4 13 8 2 3 37:15 22 26
W L D W D
5 13 8 1 4 22:15 7 25
W L W W W
6 13 8 1 4 28:23 5 25
L W L L D
7 13 6 3 4 24:16 8 21
L W W D L
8 13 7 0 6 25:18 7 21
W W L W L
9 13 5 3 5 21:33 -12 18
L L W L W
10 13 5 1 7 22:23 -1 16
L L L L D
11 13 3 3 7 12:22 -10 12
L W D D L
12 13 3 1 9 8:19 -11 10
L L L L W
13 13 2 3 8 10:32 -22 9
W W L L D
14 13 2 2 9 12:25 -13 8
L W W L L
15 13 1 3 9 8:31 -23 6
W L L D L
16 13 0 2 11 14:44 -30 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)