PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
11.01.2026 15:30
Estádio da Madeira
Referee: F. Verissimo
Nacional
Match Timeline
Santa Clara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
Vinicius Lopes
Santa Clara
🟨
6'
Léo Santos
Nacional
⚽
15'
Paulo Victor
Santa Clara
⚽
21'
J. Ramirez · Assist: Paulinho Boia
Nacional
🟨
24'
Sidney Lima
Santa Clara
🟨
30'
Pablo Ruan
Nacional
⚽
38'
J. Ramirez
Nacional
🔄
46'
Pablo Ruan ↔ Daniel Junior
Nacional
🔄
46'
J. Aurelio ↔ Deivison
Nacional
⚽
50'
J. Ramirez · Assist: Liziero
Nacional
🟨
52'
José Tavares
Santa Clara
🔄
65'
H. Silva ↔ Adriano Firmino
Santa Clara
🔄
65'
J. Tavares ↔ Brenner
Santa Clara
🟨
71'
Gustavo Klismahn
Santa Clara
🟨
72'
Matheus Dias
Nacional
🔄
76'
Paulinho Boia ↔ Witi
Nacional
🔄
76'
M. Baeza ↔ C. Labidi
Nacional
🔄
76'
Gustavo Klismahn ↔ Elias Manoel
Santa Clara
🔄
76'
Serginho ↔ P. Ferreira
Santa Clara
🟨
81'
Kaique
Nacional
🔄
83'
Paulo Victor ↔ Welinton Torrao
Santa Clara
🟨
90+5'
Luís Rocha
Santa Clara
🔄
90'
Liziero ↔ A. Sousa
Nacional
⚽
90'
Elias Manoel · Assist: Gabriel Batista
Santa Clara

Nacional vs Santa Clara Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Santa Clara Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional1.04
Santa Clara1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional Nacional
WWDLW
18 GF / 23 GA
Santa Clara Santa Clara
WLDWL
18 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
0.82
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
10
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
8
3.81
Shots on Goal
2.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nacional Nacional 16 matches
Santa Clara Santa Clara 22 matches
Nacional Statistic Santa Clara
4 Wins 6
4 Draws 6
8 Losses 10
18 Goals For 18
23 Goals Against 20
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
10 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 9
3.81 Shots On Goal 2.86
11.69 Total Shots 8.23
4.06 Corners 3.5
43.9% Ball Possession 36.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 2 times, Santa Clara won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:30 from Nacional's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Nacional 4-4-2 / Santa Clara 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Nacional wins 2, draws 5, Santa Clara wins 8

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2