BOSNIA › PREMIJER LIGA
01.05.2026 18:30
Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom
Referee: D. Maric
Zrinjski
Match Timeline
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
N. Bilbija · Assist: K. Memija
Zrinjski
🟨
23'
Joao Erick
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🟨
44'
A. Pejic
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
⚽
45'
M. Cavar
Zrinjski
🔄
46'
D. Milosevic ↔ D. Prokop
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🔄
46'
S. Krpic ↔ Vini Peixoto
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🔄
46'
D. Sabic ↔ H. Jaganjac
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🟨
61'
D. Dujmovic
Zrinjski
🔄
65'
M. Cavar ↔ D. Lagumdzija
Zrinjski
🔄
65'
A. Ivancic ↔ A. Nalic
Zrinjski
🟨
70'
N. Bilbija
Zrinjski
🔄
74'
N. Bilbija ↔ T. Kis
Zrinjski
🔄
81'
N. Djurasek ↔ S. Surdanovic
Zrinjski
🔄
81'
M. Cuze ↔ L. Mikic
Zrinjski
🔄
82'
Joao Erick ↔ A. Gojak
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🟨
87'
H. Jaganjac
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 33.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 42.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
33.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
42.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Zrinjski Win 51.8%
Draw 8.1%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Win 40.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zrinjski1.16
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zrinjski Zrinjski
WWDLW
58 GF / 47 GA
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
WLDWL
31 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
19
BTTS Yes
13
18
Over 2.5
11
2.53
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zrinjski Zrinjski 47 matches
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 33 matches
Zrinjski Statistic Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
23 Wins 9
11 Draws 12
13 Losses 12
58 Goals For 31
47 Goals Against 35
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
19 BTTS Yes 13
34 Over 1.5 19
18 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 5
17 Clean Sheets 13
14 Failed To Score 12
2.53 Shots On Goal 0
7.07 Total Shots 0
2.67 Corners 0
28.6% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Zrinjski's more proactive style and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Zrinjski arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 60 points compared to Zeljeznicar Sarajevo in 6 on 38, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Zeljeznicar Sarajevo having the stronger overall control.

Zrinjski Analysis

Zrinjski arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 60 points after 31 matches. Their overall return of 18 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 40:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Bilbija (9 goals), M. Sakota (6 goals), T. Juric (4 goals), with creative support from M. Cuze (3 assists), L. Mikic (3 assists), N. Bilbija (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Analysis

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo sit 6 with 38 points after 31 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses, while the 29:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Vini Peixoto (4 goals), D. Lagumdzija (3 goals), H. Jaganjac (3 goals), with creative support from E. Alic (2 assists), E. Odinaka (2 assists), Joao Erick (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Zrinjski won 11 times, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:7 from Zrinjski's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
H2H summary: Zrinjski wins 11, draws 1, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo wins 2

Standings

Premijer Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 76:20 56 86
W D W W W
2 36 21 8 7 48:25 23 71
W D D W W
3 36 19 8 9 54:37 17 65
W W D W L
4 36 14 9 13 36:35 1 51
L L W D W
5 36 11 12 13 37:48 -11 45
W D D L L
6 36 10 12 14 34:37 -3 42
L D L W L
7 36 8 11 17 27:45 -18 35
L D D L L
8 36 8 10 18 21:46 -25 34
W W D L W
9 36 8 10 18 25:41 -16 34
L L D D L
10 36 7 9 20 31:55 -24 30
L D L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation