BOSNIA PREMIJER LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom
Referee: M. Kazlagic
Zrinjski
Match Timeline
Velež
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
N. Bilbija
Zrinjski
15'
N. Bilbija
Zrinjski
🟨
17'
D. Salcin
Velež
🟨
41'
S. Duranovic
Velež
45'
N. Bilbija
Zrinjski
🔄
46'
S. Duranovic ↔ A. Nukic
Velež
🔄
46'
A. Hrkac ↔ A. Bajric
Velež
🔄
46'
D. Salcin ↔ N. Stojanovic
Velež
🔄
64'
A. Ivancic ↔ S. Surdanovic
Zrinjski
🔄
64'
M. Cavar ↔ A. Nalic
Zrinjski
🟨
71'
B. Serbecic
Velež
🔄
72'
N. Bilbija ↔ T. Kis
Zrinjski
83'
A. Nalic
Zrinjski
🔄
86'
I. Savic ↔ D. Karacic
Zrinjski
🔄
87'
K. Memija ↔ T. Palic
Zrinjski

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Zrinjski Win 66.7%
Draw 4.2%
Velež Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zrinjski1.11
Velež1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zrinjski Zrinjski
WWDLW
63 GF / 49 GA
Velež Velež
WLDWL
36 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.03
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
20
BTTS Yes
13
19
Over 2.5
12
2.53
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zrinjski Zrinjski 51 matches
Velež Velež 35 matches
Zrinjski Statistic Velež
25 Wins 14
13 Draws 9
13 Losses 12
63 Goals For 36
49 Goals Against 32
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
20 BTTS Yes 13
36 Over 1.5 17
19 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 6
20 Clean Sheets 13
15 Failed To Score 14
2.53 Shots On Goal 0
7.07 Total Shots 0
2.67 Corners 0
28.6% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Velež having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Velež.

Zrinjski Analysis

Zrinjski arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 67 points after 34 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 20 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 43:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on N. Bilbija (10 goals), M. Sakota (6 goals), T. Juric (4 goals), with creative support from M. Cuze (3 assists), L. Mikic (3 assists), N. Bilbija (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Velež Analysis

Velež come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 51 points after 34 matches. The return of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 34:29, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through I. Saric (6 goals), S. Pidro (4 goals), A. Mesic (3 goals), with creative support from D. Salcin (2 assists), B. Serbecic (2 assists), A. Nukic (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Zrinjski won 11 times, Velež won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:6 from Zrinjski's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.79 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Zrinjski wins 11, draws 2, Velež wins 1

Lineups

Zrinjski
Formation
Velež
M. Ljubic
M. Ljubic
M. Vranjkovic
M. Vranjkovic
I. Savic
I. Savic
D. Dujmovic
D. Dujmovic
K. Memija
K. Memija
N. Djurasek
N. Djurasek
A. Ivancic
A. Ivancic
K. Abramovic
K. Abramovic
M. Cavar
M. Cavar
M. Sakota
M. Sakota
N. Bilbija
⚽ 2
N. Bilbija
T. Karic
T. Karic
B. Serbecic
B. Serbecic
R. Abdullah
R. Abdullah
A. Hrkac
A. Hrkac
A. Spahic
A. Spahic
S. Pidro
S. Pidro
S. Duranovic
S. Duranovic
V. Djuric
V. Djuric
D. Salcin
D. Salcin
A. Mesic
A. Mesic
A. Babic
A. Babic
Zrinjski 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
40
M. Ljubic
19
M. Vranjkovic
21
I. Savic
↓ 86'
55
D. Dujmovic
50
K. Memija
↓ 87'
30
N. Djurasek
20
A. Ivancic
↓ 64'
77
K. Abramovic
42
M. Cavar
↓ 64'
14
M. Sakota
99
N. Bilbija
⚽ 15' ⚽ 45' ↓ 72' 🟨 15'
Substitutes
32
T. Sajko
24
T. Palic
↑ 87'
7
D. Basic
6
D. Karacic
↑ 86'
5
D. Lagumdzija
23
S. Surdanovic
↑ 64'
22
A. Nalic
⚽ 83' ↑ 64'
10
T. Kis
↑ 72'
15
A. Arapovic
90
T. Majic
11
T. Juric
Velež 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Karic
5
B. Serbecic
🟨 71'
6
R. Abdullah
8
A. Hrkac
↓ 46'
9
A. Spahic
19
S. Pidro
18
S. Duranovic
↓ 46' 🟨 41'
21
V. Djuric
22
D. Salcin
↓ 46' 🟨 17'
28
A. Mesic
29
A. Babic
Substitutes
12
T. Tikvesa
10
E. Vehabovic
11
I. Saric
13
A. Omerovic
20
D. Halilovic
23
K. Sturm
30
D. Dogan
44
A. Nukic
↑ 46'
55
A. Bajric
↑ 46'
77
Edmar
88
L. Ignatov
80
N. Stojanovic
↑ 46'
Last matches: Zrinjski
22.05.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Rudar Prijedor
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Posušje
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
01.05.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Siroki Brijeg
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Borac Banja Luka
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Sloga Doboj
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Zrinjski
FK Sarajevo
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Velež
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Rudar Prijedor
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Posušje
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Radnik Bijeljina
2
1
W
02.03.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
3
1
W
26.02.26
UEF
Zrinjski
Crystal Palace
0
2
L
22.02.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Siroki Brijeg
1
1
D
19.02.26
UEF
Zrinjski
Crystal Palace
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Borac Banja Luka
0
3
L
06.02.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Sloga Doboj
1
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Zrinjski
Posušje
5
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Zrinjski
OFK Vršac
4
0
W
Last matches: Velež
09.07.26
UEF
Velež
Milsami Orhei
1
1
D
21.05.26
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
2
3
L
16.05.26
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
4
2
W
09.05.26
Pre
Velež
Posušje
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Velež
Sloga Doboj
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
2
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
Velež
Posušje
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
0
0
D
29.01.26
Fri
Velež
Posušje
2
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Velež
Vukovar
2
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Velež
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
W
H2H: Zrinjski vs Velež
26.05.26
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
3
0
W
13.05.26
H2H
Velež
Zrinjski
1
1
D
06.05.26
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
1
0
W
03.04.26
H2H
Velež
Zrinjski
0
1
W
07.12.25
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
1
1
D
27.09.25
H2H
Velež
Zrinjski
1
3
W
03.05.25
H2H
Velež
Zrinjski
0
1
W
01.03.25
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
1
0
W
28.09.24
H2H
Velež
Zrinjski
0
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
1
0
W
13.11.23
H2H
Velež
Zrinjski
3
0
L
18.10.23
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
3
0
W
17.05.23
H2H
Velež
Zrinjski
0
1
W
26.04.23
H2H
Velež
Zrinjski
0
0
D
23.04.23
H2H
Velež
Zrinjski
0
1
W
Last matches: Zrinjski
16.05.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Posušje
0
0
D
01.05.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Borac Banja Luka
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Rudar Prijedor
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Radnik Bijeljina
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Siroki Brijeg
1
1
D
19.02.26
UEF
Zrinjski
Crystal Palace
1
1
D
06.02.26
Pre
Zrinjski
Sloga Doboj
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Zrinjski
OFK Vršac
4
0
W
18.12.25
UEF
Zrinjski
Rapid Vienna
1
1
D
14.12.25
Pre
Zrinjski
FK Sarajevo
0
1
L
07.12.25
Pre
Zrinjski
Velež
1
1
D
30.11.25
Pre
Zrinjski
Posušje
0
2
L
27.11.25
UEF
Zrinjski
BK Hacken
2
1
W
09.11.25
Pre
Zrinjski
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2
1
W
27.10.25
Pre
Zrinjski
Borac Banja Luka
2
1
W
02.10.25
UEF
Zrinjski
Lincoln Red Imps FC
5
0
W
21.09.25
Pre
Zrinjski
Rudar Prijedor
0
0
D
17.09.25
Pre
Zrinjski
Sloga Doboj
3
0
W
10.09.25
Pre
Zrinjski
FK Sarajevo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Zrinjski
26.05.26
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
3
0
W
06.05.26
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
1
0
W
07.12.25
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
1
1
D
01.03.25
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
1
0
W
13.04.24
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
1
0
W
18.10.23
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
3
0
W
Last matches: Velež
09.05.26
Pre
Velež
Posušje
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
0
1
L
15.02.26
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
0
1
L
29.01.26
Fri
Velež
Posušje
2
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Velež
Vukovar
2
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Velež
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
W
13.12.25
Pre
Velež
Sloga Doboj
2
1
W
07.12.25
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
1
1
D
23.11.25
Pre
Velež
Posušje
0
0
D
02.11.25
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2
1
W
19.10.25
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
0
1
L
20.09.25
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
0
2
L
13.09.25
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
3
1
W
23.08.25
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
0
3
L
10.08.25
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
3
1
W
26.07.25
Pre
Velež
Sloga Doboj
1
2
L
H2H away: Velež
26.05.26
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
3
0
L
06.05.26
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
1
0
L
07.12.25
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
1
1
D
01.03.25
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
1
0
L
13.04.24
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
1
0
L
18.10.23
H2H
Zrinjski
Velež
3
0
L

Standings

Premijer Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 76:20 56 86
W D W W W
2 36 21 8 7 48:25 23 71
W D D W W
3 36 19 8 9 54:37 17 65
W W D W L
4 36 14 9 13 36:35 1 51
L L W D W
5 36 11 12 13 37:48 -11 45
W D D L L
6 36 10 12 14 34:37 -3 42
L D L W L
7 36 8 11 17 27:45 -18 35
L D D L L
8 36 8 10 18 21:46 -25 34
W W D L W
9 36 8 10 18 25:41 -16 34
L L D D L
10 36 7 9 20 31:55 -24 30
L D L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation