BOSNIA PREMIJER LIGA
26.05.2026 17:00
Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom
Referee: M. Kazlagic
Zrinjski
Match Timeline
Velež
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
N. Bilbija
Zrinjski
15'
N. Bilbija
Zrinjski
🟨
17'
D. Salcin
Velež
🟨
41'
S. Duranovic
Velež
45'
N. Bilbija
Zrinjski
🔄
46'
S. Duranovic ↔ A. Nukic
Velež
🔄
46'
A. Hrkac ↔ A. Bajric
Velež
🔄
46'
D. Salcin ↔ N. Stojanovic
Velež
🔄
64'
A. Ivancic ↔ S. Surdanovic
Zrinjski
🔄
64'
M. Cavar ↔ A. Nalic
Zrinjski
🟨
71'
B. Serbecic
Velež
🔄
72'
N. Bilbija ↔ T. Kis
Zrinjski
83'
A. Nalic
Zrinjski
🔄
86'
I. Savic ↔ D. Karacic
Zrinjski
🔄
87'
K. Memija ↔ T. Palic
Zrinjski

Zrinjski vs Velež Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Zrinjski Win 66.7%
Draw 4.2%
Velež Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zrinjski1.11
Velež1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zrinjski Zrinjski
WWDLW
63 GF / 49 GA
Velež Velež
WLDWL
36 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.03
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
20
BTTS Yes
13
19
Over 2.5
12
2.53
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zrinjski Zrinjski 51 matches
Velež Velež 35 matches
Zrinjski Statistic Velež
25 Wins 14
13 Draws 9
13 Losses 12
63 Goals For 36
49 Goals Against 32
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
20 BTTS Yes 13
36 Over 1.5 17
19 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 6
20 Clean Sheets 13
15 Failed To Score 14
2.53 Shots On Goal 0
7.07 Total Shots 0
2.67 Corners 0
28.6% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Velež having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Velež.

Zrinjski Analysis

Zrinjski arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 67 points after 34 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 20 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 43:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on N. Bilbija (10 goals), M. Sakota (6 goals), T. Juric (4 goals), with creative support from M. Cuze (3 assists), L. Mikic (3 assists), N. Bilbija (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Velež Analysis

Velež come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 51 points after 34 matches. The return of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 34:29, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through I. Saric (6 goals), S. Pidro (4 goals), A. Mesic (3 goals), with creative support from D. Salcin (2 assists), B. Serbecic (2 assists), A. Nukic (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Zrinjski won 11 times, Velež won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:6 from Zrinjski's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.79 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Zrinjski wins 11, draws 2, Velež wins 1

Standings

Premijer Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 76:20 56 86
W D W W W
2 36 21 8 7 48:25 23 71
W D D W W
3 36 19 8 9 54:37 17 65
W W D W L
4 36 14 9 13 36:35 1 51
L L W D W
5 36 11 12 13 37:48 -11 45
W D D L L
6 36 10 12 14 34:37 -3 42
L D L W L
7 36 8 11 17 27:45 -18 35
L D D L L
8 36 8 10 18 21:46 -25 34
W W D L W
9 36 8 10 18 25:41 -16 34
L L D D L
10 36 7 9 20 31:55 -24 30
L D L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation