UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho
Referee: V. Kopiyevsky
Zorya Luhansk
Match Timeline
Polessya
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Gabriel Eskinja
Zorya Luhansk
🟨
31'
Pylyp Budkivskyi
Zorya Luhansk
🔄
58'
M. Bragaru ↔ O. Filippov
Polessya
🔄
58'
L. Emerllahu ↔ M. Gayduchyk
Polessya
🔄
69'
D. Jelavic ↔ N. Malysh
Zorya Luhansk
🔄
69'
B. Kushnirenko ↔ J. Basic
Zorya Luhansk
🟨
77'
Ruslan Babenko
Polessya
🔄
78'
P. Micin ↔ K. Dryshlyuk
Zorya Luhansk
🔄
83'
O. Nazarenko ↔ V. Veleten
Polessya
🔄
84'
A. Slesar ↔ R. Verley
Zorya Luhansk

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 80%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
80%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
53.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
90.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Zorya Luhansk Win 28.6%
Draw 13.1%
Polessya Win 58.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zorya Luhansk1.23
Polessya1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
WWDLW
40 GF / 35 GA
Polessya Polessya
WLDWL
60 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
17
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
18
2.68
Shots on Goal
3.84

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 28 matches
Polessya Polessya 34 matches
Zorya Luhansk Statistic Polessya
11 Wins 19
9 Draws 4
8 Losses 11
40 Goals For 60
35 Goals Against 32
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
17 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 26
15 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 16
6 Failed To Score 8
2.68 Shots On Goal 3.84
7.48 Total Shots 10.48
3.24 Corners 3.81
31.4% Ball Possession 37.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Polessya. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Zorya Luhansk expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Polessya in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Polessya having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Zorya Luhansk Analysis

Zorya Luhansk are currently 8 in the standings with 42 points from 28 matches. The record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 40:35 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Budkivsky (12 goals), N. Andjusic (7 goals), Roman Vantukh (4 goals), with creative support from A. Slesar (4 assists), Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior (4 assists), N. Andjusic (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Polessya Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 55 points from 28 games, Polessya bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 17 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 49:21, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Gayduchyk (9 goals), O. Gutsulyak (8 goals), Eduard Sarapiyy (5 goals), with creative support from O. Gutsulyak (6 assists), O. Nazarenko (2 assists), Oleksandr Andriyevskyi (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 10 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Zorya Luhansk won 1 times, Polessya won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Zorya Luhansk's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: Zorya Luhansk 4-4-2 / Polessya 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Zorya Luhansk wins 1, draws 3, Polessya wins 3
Stats
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
Polessya Polessya
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
9
2 Corner Kicks 6
6 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 1
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 9
6 Shots insidebox 11
3 Shots outsidebox 10
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
400 Total passes 663
323 Passes accurate 564
1.01 expected_goals 1.64
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Zorya Luhansk
Formation
Polessya
O. Saputin
O. Saputin
I. Perduta
I. Perduta
Jordan
Jordan
G. Eskinja
G. Eskinja
R. Vantukh
R. Vantukh
B. Kushnirenko
B. Kushnirenko
D. Popara
D. Popara
A. Slesar
A. Slesar
P. Micin
P. Micin
D. Jelavic
D. Jelavic
P. Budkivsky
P. Budkivsky
G. Bushchan
G. Bushchan
M. Kravchenko
M. Kravchenko
I. Krasniqi
I. Krasniqi
E. Sarapiy
E. Sarapiy
B. Mykhaylichenko
B. Mykhaylichenko
R. Babenko
R. Babenko
O. Nazarenko
O. Nazarenko
O. Andriyevski
O. Andriyevski
L. Emerllahu
L. Emerllahu
M. Bragaru
M. Bragaru
I. Krasnopir
I. Krasnopir
Zorya Luhansk 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
O. Saputin
G
44
I. Perduta
D
55
Jordan
D
4
G. Eskinja
🟨 29'
D
47
R. Vantukh
D
77
B. Kushnirenko
↓ 69'
M
6
D. Popara
M
9
A. Slesar
↓ 84'
M
22
P. Micin
↓ 78'
M
27
D. Jelavic
↓ 69'
M
28
P. Budkivsky
🟨 31'
F
Substitutes
12
M. Turbayevskyi
G
31
V. Kosivskyi
G
23
N. Malysh
↑ 69'
M
5
A. Janjic
D
21
J. Basic
↑ 69'
M
8
K. Dryshlyuk
↑ 78'
M
88
S. Bah
19
R. Salenko
M
11
I. Gorbach
M
17
F. Zadorozhnyi
F
70
R. Verley
↑ 84'
M
Polessya 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
21
G. Bushchan
G
4
M. Kravchenko
D
16
I. Krasniqi
D
5
E. Sarapiy
D
15
B. Mykhaylichenko
D
8
R. Babenko
🟨 77'
M
7
O. Nazarenko
↓ 83'
M
18
O. Andriyevski
M
14
L. Emerllahu
↓ 58'
M
45
M. Bragaru
↓ 58'
M
95
I. Krasnopir
F
Substitutes
1
O. Kudryk
G
98
D. Talko
G
3
Lucas Taylor
D
9
O. Filippov
↑ 58'
M
19
V. Shepelev
M
22
V. Veleten
↑ 83'
M
27
O. Fedor
M
30
B. Lednev
M
31
G. Maisuradze
D
35
K. Koberniuk
D
88
B. Panchyshyn
89
M. Gayduchyk
↑ 58'
M
Last matches: Zorya Luhansk
23.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Göztepe
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Grimsby
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Konyaspor
1
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Slovácko
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
HNK Gorica
1
2
L
30.06.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Shkendija
2
2
D
23.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
2
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Oleksandria
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Ruh Lviv
2
1
W
27.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Veres Rivne
2
0
W
23.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Obolon'-Brovar
3
3
D
28.03.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
2
2
D
24.03.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Kudrivka
2
4
L
15.03.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
1
1
D
08.03.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
4
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Kryvbas KR
1
3
L
Last matches: Polessya
23.07.26
UEF
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
3
3
D
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Plzen
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Shimizu S-pulse
1
3
L
10.07.26
Fri
Polessya
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
09.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Wörgl
11
0
W
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Sabah FA
4
1
W
29.06.26
Fri
Polessya
Universitatea Craiova
3
4
L
24.06.26
Fri
Polessya
CSKA Sofia
4
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Ruh Lviv
2
0
W
12.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
3
L
08.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Oleksandria
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
20.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pre
Polessya
SK Poltava
4
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Veres Rivne
1
1
D
18.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Kudrivka
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Kryvbas KR
2
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Dynamo Kyiv
1
2
L
H2H: Zorya Luhansk vs Polessya
18.05.26
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
0
D
30.11.25
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
2
0
L
17.05.25
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
1
L
25.11.24
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
1
1
D
05.05.24
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
1
1
D
28.10.23
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
1
L
26.07.22
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
5
3
W
07.08.20
H2H
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
0
0
D
Last matches: Zorya Luhansk
23.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Göztepe
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Grimsby
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Konyaspor
1
2
L
30.06.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Shkendija
2
2
D
09.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
1
D
27.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Veres Rivne
2
0
W
23.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
2
2
D
24.03.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Kudrivka
2
4
L
08.03.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
4
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Auda
3
0
W
09.02.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Gagra
2
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Andijan
0
0
D
21.01.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
FK Sarajevo
0
0
D
05.12.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
1
0
W
24.11.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Oleksandria
2
2
D
02.11.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Ruh Lviv
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Obolon'-Brovar
0
0
D
H2H at home: Zorya Luhansk
18.05.26
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
0
D
17.05.25
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
1
L
28.10.23
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
1
L
26.07.22
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
5
3
W
Last matches: Polessya
14.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Plzen
0
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
Polessya
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
02.07.26
Fri
Polessya
Wörgl
11
0
W
29.06.26
Fri
Polessya
Universitatea Craiova
3
4
L
24.06.26
Fri
Polessya
CSKA Sofia
4
0
W
12.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
3
L
03.05.26
Pre
Polessya
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
0
W
20.04.26
Pre
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pre
Polessya
SK Poltava
4
0
W
18.03.26
Pre
Polessya
Kudrivka
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Polessya
LNZ Cherkasy
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pre
Polessya
Kolos Kovalivka
2
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Zbrojovka Brno
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Toronto FC
1
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Polessya
Granada CF
4
3
W
06.02.26
Fri
Polessya
BK Hacken
5
1
W
19.01.26
Fri
Polessya
Legia Warszawa
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pre
Polessya
Ruh Lviv
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pre
Polessya
Oleksandria
3
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Polessya
Obolon'-Brovar
4
0
W
H2H away: Polessya
18.05.26
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
0
D
17.05.25
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
1
W
28.10.23
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
1
W
26.07.22
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
5
3
L

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga