RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Gazprom Arena
Referee: R. Shafeev
Zenit
Match Timeline
FC Sochi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Vyacheslav Litvinov
FC Sochi
31'
Z. Fedorov · Assist: A. Makarchuk
FC Sochi
59'
Luiz Henrique · Assist: M. Glushenkov
Zenit
🔄
66'
W. Barrios ↔ A. Mostovoy
Zenit
🔄
66'
Pedrinho ↔ R. Vega
Zenit
🔄
68'
Z. Fedorov ↔ P. Meleshin
FC Sochi
🔄
76'
Luiz Henrique ↔ A. Erokhin
Zenit
🔄
76'
Wendel ↔ D. Kondakov
Zenit
🟨
77'
Dmitriy Vasiljev
FC Sochi
🔄
78'
D. Vasiljev ↔ M. Kramaric
FC Sochi
🔄
78'
M. Mukhin ↔ A. Zinkovskiy
FC Sochi
84'
A. Erokhin
Zenit
🟨
87'
Kirill Zaika
FC Sochi
🔄
88'
M. Glushenkov ↔ V. Drkusic
Zenit
🔄
89'
K. Zaika ↔ R. Magal
FC Sochi
🔄
89'
A. Kovalenko ↔ A. Korneev
FC Sochi
🟨
90+1'
Alexander Erokhin
Zenit

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Zenit Win 82.4%
Draw 0%
FC Sochi Win 17.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zenit1.89
FC Sochi0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zenit Zenit
WWDLW
50 GF / 18 GA
FC Sochi FC Sochi
WLDWL
27 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
0.96
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
2.04
13
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
18
4.93
Shots on Goal
2.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zenit Zenit 28 matches
FC Sochi FC Sochi 28 matches
Zenit Statistic FC Sochi
18 Wins 6
8 Draws 3
2 Losses 19
50 Goals For 27
18 Goals Against 57
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 2.04
13 BTTS Yes 15
22 Over 1.5 22
11 Over 2.5 18
6 Over 3.5 10
14 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 11
4.93 Shots On Goal 2.86
12.86 Total Shots 8.96
5.46 Corners 3.61
59.5% Ball Possession 46.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Zenit's more proactive style and FC Sochi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Sochi look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Sochi. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Zenit arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 62 points compared to FC Sochi in 16 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Zenit expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Sochi in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Sochi having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Zenit Analysis

Zenit come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 62 points after 28 matches. They have recorded 18 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses, with a 50:18 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on A. Sobolev (9 goals), Maksim Glushenkov (9 goals), A. Mostovoy (6 goals), with creative support from Maksim Glushenkov (7 assists), Pedro (4 assists), Luiz Henrique (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 12 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

FC Sochi Analysis

FC Sochi approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 21 points from 28 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 27:57, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their threat comes through Mikhail Ignatov (4 goals), Anton Zinkovskiy (3 goals), Ignacio Saavedra (3 goals), with creative support from Ruslan Magal (3 assists), Anton Zinkovskiy (2 assists), V. Iljin (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Zenit won 10 times, FC Sochi won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:10 from Zenit's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Zenit 4-2-3-1 / FC Sochi 3-4-3
Missing players: Zenit 1, FC Sochi 3
H2H summary: Zenit wins 10, draws 3, FC Sochi wins 1
Stats
Zenit Zenit
FC Sochi FC Sochi
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
0
11 Corner Kicks 3
9 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Goal 4
12 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 0
19 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
550 Total passes 279
463 Passes accurate 193
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Zenit
Formation
FC Sochi
D. Adamov
D. Adamov
Gustavo Mantuan
Gustavo Mantuan
I. Diveev
I. Diveev
Nino
Nino
D. Santos
D. Santos
W. Barrios
W. Barrios
Wendel
Wendel
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique
M. Glushenkov
🎯
M. Glushenkov
Pedrinho
Pedrinho
A. Sobolev
A. Sobolev
A. Degtev
A. Degtev
A. Soldatenkov
A. Soldatenkov
Marcelo Alves
Marcelo Alves
V. Litvinov
V. Litvinov
K. Zaika
K. Zaika
K. Kravtsov
K. Kravtsov
M. Mukhin
M. Mukhin
A. Makarchuk
🎯
A. Makarchuk
A. Kovalenko
A. Kovalenko
Z. Fedorov
Z. Fedorov
D. Vasiljev
D. Vasiljev
Zenit 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
D. Adamov
G
31
Gustavo Mantuan
D
78
I. Diveev
D
33
Nino
D
3
D. Santos
D
5
W. Barrios
↓ 66'
M
8
Wendel
↓ 76'
M
11
Luiz Henrique
⚽ 59' ↓ 76'
M
10
M. Glushenkov
🎯 59' ↓ 88'
M
20
Pedrinho
↓ 66'
M
7
A. Sobolev
F
Substitutes
1
E. Latyshonok
G
41
M. Kerzhakov
G
21
A. Erokhin
⚽ 84' ↑ 76' 🟨 90+1'
M
6
V. Drkusic
↑ 88'
D
17
A. Mostovoy
↑ 66'
M
28
N. Alip
D
9
J. Duran
F
15
V. Karavaev
D
4
Y. Gorshkov
D
66
R. Vega
↑ 66'
D
14
Jhon Jhon
M
61
D. Kondakov
↑ 76'
M
FC Sochi 3-4-3
Starting XI
35
A. Degtev
G
3
A. Soldatenkov
D
33
Marcelo Alves
D
4
V. Litvinov
🟨 21'
D
27
K. Zaika
↓ 89' 🟨 87'
M
14
K. Kravtsov
M
16
M. Mukhin
↓ 78'
M
17
A. Makarchuk
🎯 31'
M
19
A. Kovalenko
↓ 89'
F
9
Z. Fedorov
⚽ 31' ↓ 68'
F
20
D. Vasiljev
↓ 78' 🟨 77'
F
Substitutes
99
Y. Dyupin
G
85
D. Silev
G
10
M. Kramaric
↑ 78'
M
28
R. Magal
↑ 89'
D
7
A. Zinkovskiy
↑ 78'
M
59
R. Bart
F
11
P. Meleshin
↑ 68'
F
18
A. Korneev
↑ 89'
M
Last matches: Zenit
25.07.26
Pre
Zenit
Akron
5
0
W
13.07.26
Fri
Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Zenit
FK Crvena Zvezda
3
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Zenit
Neftchi
4
1
W
05.07.26
Fri
Zenit
Gimnasia L.P.
1
1
D
01.07.26
Fri
Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Zenit
Leningradets
4
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Zenit
FC Rostov
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Akhmat
2
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Lokomotiv
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Zenit
Kairat Almaty
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Zenit
Dynamo
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Zenit
Spartak Moscow
2
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Zenit
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pre
Zenit
Baltika
1
0
W
17.02.26
Fri
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
1
0
W
Last matches: FC Sochi
03.07.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Torpedo Moskva
0
3
L
30.06.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Ska-khabarovsk
4
2
W
26.06.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
3
3
D
17.05.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Akhmat
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Orenburg
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Dynamo
0
2
L
21.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Rostov
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Rubin
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Baltika
0
4
L
14.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Krasnodar
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
1
2
L
02.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
2
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Bars
3
2
W
21.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Aktobe
3
0
W
15.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Rodina Moskva
3
2
W
12.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
3
L
05.02.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Fakel
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
FC Sochi
Struga
2
1
W
H2H: Zenit vs FC Sochi
10.05.26
H2H
Zenit
FC Sochi
2
1
W
19.10.25
H2H
FC Sochi
Zenit
0
3
W
02.07.24
H2H
Zenit
FC Sochi
5
2
W
25.11.23
H2H
Zenit Saint Petersburg
PFC Sochi
3
0
L
07.10.23
H2H
PFC Sochi
Zenit Saint Petersburg
0
2
W
27.05.23
H2H
PFC Sochi
Zenit Saint Petersburg
1
1
D
24.10.22
H2H
Zenit Saint Petersburg
PFC Sochi
7
0
L
25.06.22
H2H
PFC Sochi
Zenit Saint Petersburg
1
1
D
03.04.22
H2H
PFC Sochi
Zenit Saint Petersburg
0
0
D
03.10.21
H2H
Zenit Saint Petersburg
PFC Sochi
1
2
W
11.04.21
H2H
PFC Sochi
Zenit Saint Petersburg
1
2
W
17.10.20
H2H
Zenit Saint Petersburg
PFC Sochi
3
1
L
08.07.20
H2H
Zenit Saint Petersburg
PFC Sochi
2
1
L
21.07.19
H2H
PFC Sochi
Zenit Saint Petersburg
0
2
W
Last matches: Zenit
13.07.26
Fri
Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Zenit
FK Crvena Zvezda
3
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Zenit
Neftchi
4
1
W
05.07.26
Fri
Zenit
Gimnasia L.P.
1
1
D
01.07.26
Fri
Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Zenit
Leningradets
4
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Akhmat
2
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Zenit
Kairat Almaty
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Zenit
Spartak Moscow
2
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Zenit
Baltika
1
0
W
10.02.26
Fri
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
2
2
D
09.02.26
Fri
Zenit
Dinamo Samarqand
1
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
Zenit
Dynamo
2
1
W
26.01.26
Fri
Zenit
SHANGHAI SIPG
6
0
W
22.01.26
Fri
Zenit
SHANGHAI SIPG
4
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Zenit
Akron
2
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
Zenit
Rubin
1
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
Zenit
Lokomotiv
2
0
W
H2H at home: Zenit
10.05.26
H2H
Zenit
FC Sochi
2
1
W
02.07.24
H2H
Zenit
FC Sochi
5
2
W
Last matches: FC Sochi
26.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Dynamo
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Rostov
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
FC Sochi
CSKA Moscow
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Baltika
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pre
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
1
2
L
21.11.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Akron
2
3
L
02.11.25
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Orenburg
1
3
L
27.10.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Akhmat
4
2
W
28.09.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Krylia Sovetov
0
2
L
30.08.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
17.08.25
Pre
FC Sochi
FC Krasnodar
1
5
L
04.08.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Rubin
1
2
L
19.07.25
Pre
FC Sochi
Lokomotiv
0
3
L
H2H away: FC Sochi
10.05.26
H2H
Zenit
FC Sochi
2
1
L
02.07.24
H2H
Zenit
FC Sochi
5
2
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Zenit Home
30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Zenit 1 missing
-
V. Shilov
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
FC Sochi 3 missing
-
N. Stojic
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
R. Ezhov
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
M. Chirkov
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT