Login Register
RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
18.10.2026 11:00
Gazprom Arena

Zenit vs Akhmat Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Zenit Win 77.4%
Draw 5.3%
Akhmat Win 17.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zenit1.66
Akhmat1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zenit Zenit
WWDLW
56 GF / 22 GA
Akhmat Akhmat
WLDWL
40 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
2.15
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
12
BTTS Yes
11
16
Over 2.5
12
5.8
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zenit Zenit 26 matches
Akhmat Akhmat 24 matches
Zenit Statistic Akhmat
18 Wins 12
4 Draws 7
4 Losses 5
56 Goals For 40
22 Goals Against 22
2.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
12 BTTS Yes 11
21 Over 1.5 17
16 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 6
12 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 5
5.8 Shots On Goal 4
15.4 Total Shots 12.4
5.5 Corners 4.4
58.7% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Zenit's more proactive style and Akhmat's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Zenit come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Akhmat. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Zenit arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 21 points compared to Akhmat in 13 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Zenit Analysis

Zenit come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 21 points after 10 matches. With 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:11, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Glushenkov (8 goals), A. Sobolev (5 goals), Luiz Henrique (2 goals), with creative support from Pedro Henrique (5 assists), M. Glushenkov (1 assists), A. Sobolev (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Akhmat Analysis

So far, Akhmat have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 10 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 13:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Egas Cacintura (2 goals), G. Melkadze (2 goals), K. Sidibé (1 goals), with creative support from A. Adamov (2 assists), M. Samorodov (1 assists), L. Sadulaev (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Zenit won 11 times, Akhmat won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:12 from Zenit's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Zenit 4-2-3-1 / Akhmat 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Zenit wins 11, draws 2, Akhmat wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 15:8 7 22
W W W W W
2 10 6 4 0 18:9 9 22
W W D W D
3
Zenit Home
10 7 0 3 22:11 11 21
W W W L W
4 10 6 3 1 16:10 6 21
L D D D W
5 10 6 2 2 17:8 9 20
D W W L D
6 10 2 6 2 12:12 0 12
L D D D W
7 10 2 6 2 11:10 1 12
W D L D D
8 10 3 3 4 14:12 2 12
D L D L W
9 10 4 0 6 15:20 -5 12
L L L W L
10 10 2 6 2 14:15 -1 12
D D W D D
11 10 2 5 3 13:13 0 11
D L W D D
12 10 3 2 5 11:17 -6 11
W L L W L
13 10 2 4 4 13:11 2 10
W D L W L
14 10 1 5 4 11:19 -8 8
L W D D D
15 10 1 2 7 10:25 -15 5
L D L L L
16 10 0 3 7 6:18 -12 3
L L D L L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL