VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Zamora FC Win 55.5%
Draw 7.7%
UCV Win 36.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zamora FC1.22
UCV1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zamora FC Zamora FC
WWDLW
17 GF / 23 GA
UCV UCV
WLDWL
44 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
9
BTTS Yes
18
7
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
2.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zamora FC Zamora FC 17 matches
UCV UCV 31 matches
Zamora FC Statistic UCV
5 Wins 12
5 Draws 6
7 Losses 13
17 Goals For 44
23 Goals Against 48
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
9 BTTS Yes 18
12 Over 1.5 26
7 Over 2.5 19
2 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 2.1
0 Total Shots 6.5
0 Corners 0.9
0% Ball Possession 22.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights UCV's more proactive style and Zamora FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward UCV having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. UCV arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors UCV.

Zamora FC Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Zamora FC have collected 17 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 14:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

UCV Analysis

UCV approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 23 points from 13 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 24:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Zamora FC won 4 times, UCV won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from Zamora FC's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
H2H summary: Zamora FC wins 4, draws 2, UCV wins 3
Last matches: Zamora FC
16.08.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
6
L
09.08.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Puerto Cabello
0
1
L
06.08.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Rayo Zuliano
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Anzoátegui FC
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Monagas SC
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Trujillanos FC
3
0
W
18.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Portuguesa FC
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
UCV
1
2
L
23.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
3
2
W
31.01.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Rayo Zuliano
1
0
W
Last matches: UCV
15.08.26
Pri
UCV
Caracas FC
0
1
L
09.08.26
Pri
UCV
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
L
04.08.26
Pri
UCV
Monagas SC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Pri
UCV
Trujillanos FC
0
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
2
3
L
27.05.26
CON
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
1
2
L
19.05.26
CON
UCV
Rosario Central
0
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
3
1
W
06.05.26
CON
UCV
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
29.04.26
CON
UCV
Rosario Central
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
0
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
1
D
16.04.26
CON
UCV
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
UCV
Carabobo FC
2
4
L
09.04.26
CON
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
3
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
UCV
Anzoátegui FC
3
2
W
H2H: Zamora FC vs UCV
28.02.26
H2H
UCV
Zamora FC
2
1
L
31.08.25
H2H
UCV
Zamora FC
0
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Zamora FC
UCV
0
1
L
21.08.24
H2H
Zamora FC
UCV
3
2
W
02.03.24
H2H
UCV
Zamora FC
2
2
D
15.07.23
H2H
UCV
Zamora FC
5
0
L
30.04.23
H2H
Zamora FC
UCV
1
0
W
01.09.22
H2H
UCV
Zamora FC
1
1
D
17.03.22
H2H
Zamora FC
UCV
2
0
W
Last matches: Zamora FC
09.08.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Puerto Cabello
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Rayo Zuliano
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Monagas SC
2
1
W
18.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Portuguesa FC
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pri
Zamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
3
2
W
H2H at home: Zamora FC
29.03.25
H2H
Zamora FC
UCV
0
1
L
21.08.24
H2H
Zamora FC
UCV
3
2
W
30.04.23
H2H
Zamora FC
UCV
1
0
W
17.03.22
H2H
Zamora FC
UCV
2
0
W
Last matches: UCV
09.08.26
Pri
UCV
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
UCV
Trujillanos FC
0
2
L
27.05.26
CON
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
1
2
L
19.05.26
CON
UCV
Rosario Central
0
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
0
3
L
16.04.26
CON
UCV
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
UCV
Carabobo FC
2
4
L
03.04.26
Pri
UCV
Anzoátegui FC
3
2
W
17.03.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
0
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
UCV
Rayo Zuliano
5
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
UCV
Caracas FC
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
UCV
Monagas SC
3
0
W
19.01.26
Fri
UCV
Fundación Lara Deportiva
2
2
D
H2H away: UCV
29.03.25
H2H
Zamora FC
UCV
0
1
W
21.08.24
H2H
Zamora FC
UCV
3
2
L
30.04.23
H2H
Zamora FC
UCV
1
0
L
17.03.22
H2H
Zamora FC
UCV
2
0
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
W D W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
W W D L W
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
W D L W W
4
UCV Away
13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
L D L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
W D W L D
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
L W W W L
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
L W W D D
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
D W L L D
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
D D D W W
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
W D L W D
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
L L L W D
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
D L W L D
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
D L W L L
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)