POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
KGHM Zaglebie Arena
Referee: T. Kwiatkowski
Zaglebie Lubin
Match Timeline
Cracovia Krakow
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Brahim Traoré
Cracovia Krakow
🟨
16'
Marcel Regula
Zaglebie Lubin
🟥
26'
Igor Orlikowski
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
31'
M. Dziewiatowski ↔ J. Kolan
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
46'
B. Traore ↔ M. Minchev
Cracovia Krakow
🟨
56'
Amir Al-Ammari
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
58'
M. Dominguez ↔ M. Praszelik
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
70'
M. Kosidis ↔ L. Szabo
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
70'
M. Regula ↔ T. Makowski
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
79'
A. Al Ammari ↔ D. Kameri
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
85'
K. Zahiroleslam ↔ G. Charpentier
Cracovia Krakow
🟨
90+4'
Mihael Mlinarić
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
90'
D. Dabrowski ↔ M. Mlinaric
Zaglebie Lubin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 92%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
92%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Zaglebie Lubin Win 92%
Draw 0%
Cracovia Krakow Win 8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zaglebie Lubin1.37
Cracovia Krakow1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
WWDLW
43 GF / 36 GA
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
WLDWL
35 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
16
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
15
3.6
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 30 matches
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 30 matches
Zaglebie Lubin Statistic Cracovia Krakow
12 Wins 9
8 Draws 11
10 Losses 10
43 Goals For 35
36 Goals Against 38
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
16 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 12
8 Failed To Score 8
3.6 Shots On Goal 3.7
11.77 Total Shots 12.37
3.67 Corners 4.57
40.3% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Zaglebie Lubin's more proactive style and Cracovia Krakow's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cracovia Krakow. Zaglebie Lubin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Zaglebie Lubin expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cracovia Krakow in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cracovia Krakow having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Zaglebie Lubin Analysis

Zaglebie Lubin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 44 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 43:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Kosidis (6 goals), M. Regula (5 goals), A. Radwanski (4 goals), with creative support from A. Radwanski (6 assists), M. Regula (3 assists), K. Szmyt (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Cracovia Krakow Analysis

Cracovia Krakow are currently 13 in the standings with 38 points from 30 matches. The record of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 35:38 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Hasic (7 goals), F. Stojilkovic (7 goals), M. Minchev (4 goals), with creative support from A. Al Ammari (4 assists), A. Hasic (3 assists), F. Stojilkovic (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Zaglebie Lubin won 2 times, Cracovia Krakow won 6 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:17 from Zaglebie Lubin's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Zaglebie Lubin 4-2-3-1 / Cracovia Krakow 4-4-2
H2H summary: Zaglebie Lubin wins 2, draws 7, Cracovia Krakow wins 6
Stats
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
8
5 Corner Kicks 11
6 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 2
33% Ball Possession 67%
18 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 4
9 Blocked Shots 8
12 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 10
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
223 Total passes 443
143 Passes accurate 379
1.29 expected_goals 0.90
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Zaglebie Lubin
Formation
Cracovia Krakow
J. Buric
J. Buric
I. Orlikowski
I. Orlikowski
M. Nalepa
M. Nalepa
D. Michalski
D. Michalski
D. Dabrowski
D. Dabrowski
M. Grzybek
M. Grzybek
F. Kocaba
F. Kocaba
M. Dziewiatowski
M. Dziewiatowski
J. Corluka
J. Corluka
M. Regula
M. Regula
M. Kosidis
M. Kosidis
S. Madejski
S. Madejski
B. Sutalo
B. Sutalo
G. Henriksson
G. Henriksson
B. Traore
B. Traore
M. Perkovic
M. Perkovic
D. Pila
D. Pila
M. Klich
M. Klich
A. Al Ammari
A. Al Ammari
M. Dominguez
M. Dominguez
A. Hasic
A. Hasic
K. Zahiroleslam
K. Zahiroleslam
Zaglebie Lubin 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
1
J. Buric
G
31
I. Orlikowski
🟥 26'
D
25
M. Nalepa
D
4
D. Michalski
D
8
D. Dabrowski
↓ 90'
M
13
M. Grzybek
M
39
F. Kocaba
M
20
M. Dziewiatowski
↓ 31'
M
16
J. Corluka
M
44
M. Regula
↓ 70' 🟨 16'
F
9
M. Kosidis
↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
12
R. Gikiewicz
G
22
A. Matysek
G
19
J. Sypek
M
88
M. Mlinaric
↑ 90' 🟨 90+4'
F
26
J. Kolan
↑ 31'
M
84
J. Ligocki
M
11
A. Wozniak
M
17
L. Szabo
↑ 70'
F
6
T. Makowski
↑ 70'
M
7
S. Kowalczyk
M
94
M. Urbanski
D
Cracovia Krakow 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
S. Madejski
G
21
B. Sutalo
D
4
G. Henriksson
D
61
B. Traore
↓ 46' 🟨 9'
D
39
M. Perkovic
D
79
D. Pila
M
43
M. Klich
M
6
A. Al Ammari
↓ 79' 🟨 56'
M
10
M. Dominguez
↓ 58'
M
14
A. Hasic
F
18
K. Zahiroleslam
↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
27
H. Ravas
G
7
M. Praszelik
↑ 58'
M
20
K. Knap
M
70
D. Kameri
↑ 79'
M
5
B. Selan
29
J. Batoum
F
11
P. Sans
F
15
K. Glik
D
17
M. Minchev
↑ 46'
M
99
G. Charpentier
↑ 85'
F
19
M. Tabisz
M
Last matches: Zaglebie Lubin
18.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Chrobry Głogów
3
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Baník Ostrava
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Podbrezová
3
2
W
26.06.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Miedz Legnica
3
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
0
1
L
15.05.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
L
09.05.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Gornik Zabrze
2
0
W
24.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Nieciecza
1
2
L
17.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Radomiak Radom
1
0
W
07.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Arka Gdynia
1
3
L
20.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Motor Lublin
0
1
L
15.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
07.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Piast Gliwice
3
1
W
02.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Wisla Plock
2
0
W
23.02.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Lechia Gdansk
2
0
W
14.02.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Raków Częstochowa
0
0
D
06.02.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
Last matches: Cracovia Krakow
19.07.26
Fri
Cracovia Krakow
Sevilla
1
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Cracovia Krakow
Pardubice
2
0
W
06.07.26
Fri
Cracovia Krakow
Başakşehir
3
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Cracovia Krakow
Pafos
1
2
L
23.05.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Motor Lublin
3
3
D
11.05.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Radomiak Radom
0
0
D
25.04.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Pogon Szczecin
1
1
D
19.04.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Raków Częstochowa
1
4
L
12.04.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Arka Gdynia
2
2
D
04.04.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Gornik Zabrze
0
3
L
21.03.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
GKS Katowice
1
0
W
14.03.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Wisla Plock
1
2
L
08.03.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
27.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice
2
3
L
20.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Widzew Łódź
0
0
D
14.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
06.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Lechia Gdansk
1
1
D
02.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Nieciecza
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Cracovia Krakow
Artis
2
2
D
H2H: Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow
03.05.26
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
03.11.25
H2H
Cracovia Krakow
Zaglebie Lubin
0
0
D
24.05.25
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
1
2
L
29.11.24
H2H
Cracovia Krakow
Zaglebie Lubin
1
1
D
18.02.24
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
02.11.23
H2H
Cracovia Krakow
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
L
11.08.23
H2H
Cracovia Krakow
Zaglebie Lubin
2
1
L
13.05.23
H2H
Cracovia Krakow
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
W
30.10.22
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
0
2
L
18.04.22
H2H
Cracovia Krakow
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
L
24.10.21
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
28.02.21
H2H
Cracovia Krakow
Zaglebie Lubin
2
4
W
20.09.20
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
25.11.19
H2H
Cracovia Krakow
Zaglebie Lubin
2
0
L
21.07.19
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
Last matches: Zaglebie Lubin
18.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Chrobry Głogów
3
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Baník Ostrava
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Podbrezová
3
2
W
26.06.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Miedz Legnica
3
0
W
15.05.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
L
24.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Nieciecza
1
2
L
11.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Radomiak Radom
1
0
W
15.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
02.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Wisla Plock
2
0
W
14.02.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Raków Częstochowa
0
0
D
30.01.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
GKS Katowice
0
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Podbrezová
2
3
L
16.01.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Qarabag
1
3
L
13.01.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Karviná
2
2
D
06.12.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Widzew Łódź
2
1
W
30.11.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
07.11.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Gornik Zabrze
2
0
W
19.10.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Legia Warszawa
3
1
W
H2H at home: Zaglebie Lubin
03.05.26
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
24.05.25
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
1
2
L
18.02.24
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
30.10.22
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
0
2
L
24.10.21
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
20.09.20
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
21.07.19
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
Last matches: Cracovia Krakow
16.05.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Motor Lublin
3
3
D
19.04.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Raków Częstochowa
1
4
L
04.04.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Gornik Zabrze
0
3
L
08.03.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
20.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Widzew Łódź
0
0
D
06.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Lechia Gdansk
1
1
D
02.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Nieciecza
1
0
W
04.12.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Wisla Plock
0
0
D
29.11.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Korona Kielce
1
0
W
07.11.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Radomiak Radom
0
3
L
25.10.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Pogon Szczecin
1
2
L
04.10.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Arka Gdynia
1
2
L
19.09.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
GKS Katowice
3
0
W
24.08.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice
0
0
D
10.08.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Jagiellonia
2
5
L
18.07.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Lech Poznan
4
1
W
H2H away: Cracovia Krakow
03.05.26
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
24.05.25
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
1
2
W
18.02.24
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
30.10.22
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
0
2
W
24.10.21
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
20.09.20
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
21.07.19
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation