MALTA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. Scerri
Zabbar St. Patrick
Match Timeline
Hibernians
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
M. Fontanella
Zabbar St. Patrick
33'
M. Fontanella
Zabbar St. Patrick
🔄
46'
Cleiton ↔ R. Hernandez
Hibernians
🔄
46'
Diakite ↔ J. Roe
Hibernians
53'
A. Majok
Zabbar St. Patrick
🔄
70'
M. Debattista ↔ D. Muscat
Hibernians
🔄
72'
Z. Leonardi ↔ Z. Polidano
Zabbar St. Patrick
🔄
77'
R. Scicluna ↔ P. Cejas
Zabbar St. Patrick
🔄
77'
M. Fontanella ↔ L. Mota
Zabbar St. Patrick
🔄
81'
L. Caruana ↔ J. Degabriele
Hibernians
🔄
81'
L. Abela ↔ I. Chukunyere
Hibernians
🔄
87'
J. Micallef ↔ M. Forte
Zabbar St. Patrick
🔄
87'
A. Majok ↔ L. Micallef
Zabbar St. Patrick
🟨
90+1'
B. Kristensen
Hibernians

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 10.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
10.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Zabbar St. Patrick Win 48%
Draw 23.8%
Hibernians Win 28.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zabbar St. Patrick1.38
Hibernians1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick
WWDLW
38 GF / 44 GA
Hibernians Hibernians
WLDWL
47 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
19
BTTS Yes
21
14
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 31 matches
Hibernians Hibernians 33 matches
Zabbar St. Patrick Statistic Hibernians
5 Wins 10
13 Draws 9
13 Losses 14
38 Goals For 47
44 Goals Against 53
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
19 BTTS Yes 21
25 Over 1.5 26
14 Over 2.5 18
6 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hibernians having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Hibernians.

Zabbar St. Patrick Analysis

Zabbar St. Patrick come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 12 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 18:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Cejas (8 goals), M. Fontanella (7 goals), Z. Leonardi (5 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hibernians Analysis

Hibernians come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 16 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 16:21 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Villela (11 goals), Cleiton (8 goals), Miullen (8 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Zabbar St. Patrick won 2 times, Hibernians won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Zabbar St. Patrick's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.86 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.2%)
H2H summary: Zabbar St. Patrick wins 2, draws 3, Hibernians wins 2

Lineups

Zabbar St. Patrick
Formation
Hibernians
M. Djalo
M. Djalo
B. Gambarte
B. Gambarte
N. Agius
N. Agius
J. Micallef
J. Micallef
A. Majok
A. Majok
S. Jovancic
S. Jovancic
Z. Leonardi
Z. Leonardi
Vinicius Paiva
Vinicius Paiva
R. Scicluna
R. Scicluna
K. Scicluna
K. Scicluna
M. Fontanella
⚽ 2
M. Fontanella
H. Sacco
H. Sacco
K. Shaw
K. Shaw
L. Caruana
L. Caruana
Cleiton
Cleiton
M. Debattista
M. Debattista
B. Kristensen
B. Kristensen
L. Abela
L. Abela
Diakite
Diakite
D. Bonnici
D. Bonnici
M. Ellul
M. Ellul
S. Akinbule
S. Akinbule
Zabbar St. Patrick 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
M. Djalo
10
B. Gambarte
11
N. Agius
16
J. Micallef
↓ 87'
19
A. Majok
⚽ 53' ↓ 87'
21
S. Jovancic
22
Z. Leonardi
↓ 72'
28
Vinicius Paiva
30
R. Scicluna
↓ 77'
55
K. Scicluna
89
M. Fontanella
⚽ 31' ⚽ 33' ↓ 77'
Substitutes
1
I. Colombo
91
J. Grech
2
K. Buhagiar
5
M. Forte
↑ 87'
9
P. Cejas
↑ 77'
15
Y. W. Im
18
L. Mota
↑ 77'
20
L. Micallef
↑ 87'
23
Z. Polidano
↑ 72'
24
T. Eviparker
31
J. Scicluna
Hibernians 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
30
H. Sacco
5
K. Shaw
6
L. Caruana
↓ 81'
7
Cleiton
↓ 46'
8
M. Debattista
↓ 70'
11
B. Kristensen
🟨 90+1'
18
L. Abela
↓ 81'
20
Diakite
↓ 46'
22
D. Bonnici
23
M. Ellul
99
S. Akinbule
Substitutes
1
L. Branescu
24
C. Camilleri
2
K. Grixti
10
J. Degabriele
↑ 81'
13
D. Muscat
↑ 70'
14
D. Xuereb
15
N. Zerafa
16
A. Zammit
17
I. Chukunyere
↑ 81'
19
R. Hernandez
↑ 46'
21
J. Roe
↑ 46'
Last matches: Zabbar St. Patrick
18.07.26
Fri
Zabbar St. Patrick
Birkirkara
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Tarxien Rainbows
2
0
W
05.05.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Tarxien Rainbows
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Sliema Wanderers
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Tarxien Rainbows
3
3
D
15.04.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Mosta
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Birkirkara
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Tarxien Rainbows
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Mosta
5
3
W
28.02.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Gzira United
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Birkirkara
3
0
W
17.02.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Valletta FC
0
0
D
13.02.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hamrun Spartans
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Marsaxlokk
1
2
L
04.02.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hibernians
1
2
L
01.02.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Floriana
0
3
L
23.01.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Naxxar Lions
1
2
L
16.01.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Sliema Wanderers
0
1
L
11.01.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Gzira United
2
0
W
08.01.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Naxxar Lions
1
2
L
Last matches: Hibernians
24.04.26
Pre
Hibernians
Mosta
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Hibernians
Birkirkara
0
0
D
14.04.26
Pre
Hibernians
Tarxien Rainbows
2
3
L
10.04.26
Pre
Hibernians
Sliema Wanderers
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pre
Hibernians
Naxxar Lions
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Hibernians
Gzira United
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Hibernians
Valletta FC
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pre
Hibernians
Floriana
1
4
L
18.02.26
Pre
Hibernians
Hamrun Spartans
0
1
L
15.02.26
Pre
Hibernians
Marsaxlokk
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Hibernians
Tarxien Rainbows
1
1
D
04.02.26
Pre
Hibernians
Zabbar St. Patrick
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Hibernians
Mosta
1
0
W
25.01.26
Pre
Hibernians
Sliema Wanderers
3
1
W
18.01.26
Pre
Hibernians
Birkirkara
0
3
L
11.01.26
Pre
Hibernians
Mosta
0
2
L
06.01.26
Pre
Hibernians
Gzira United
4
1
W
18.12.25
Pre
Hibernians
Zabbar St. Patrick
3
3
D
12.12.25
Pre
Hibernians
Tarxien Rainbows
1
0
W
25.11.25
Pre
Hibernians
Naxxar Lions
1
1
D
H2H: Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hibernians
30.04.26
H2H
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hibernians
3
0
W
04.02.26
H2H
Hibernians
Zabbar St. Patrick
2
1
L
18.12.25
H2H
Hibernians
Zabbar St. Patrick
3
3
D
24.08.25
H2H
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hibernians
2
2
D
01.05.25
H2H
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hibernians
2
2
D
15.02.25
H2H
Hibernians
Zabbar St. Patrick
0
4
W
28.09.24
H2H
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hibernians
1
2
L
Last matches: Zabbar St. Patrick
10.05.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Tarxien Rainbows
2
0
W
05.05.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Tarxien Rainbows
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Sliema Wanderers
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Mosta
5
3
W
17.02.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Valletta FC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Marsaxlokk
1
2
L
01.02.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Floriana
0
3
L
08.01.26
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Naxxar Lions
1
2
L
24.11.25
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Tarxien Rainbows
2
2
D
03.10.25
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Birkirkara
0
2
L
28.09.25
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Gzira United
2
0
W
16.09.25
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hamrun Spartans
0
1
L
13.09.25
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Naxxar Lions
1
1
D
24.08.25
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hibernians
2
2
D
16.08.25
Pre
Zabbar St. Patrick
Sliema Wanderers
1
2
L
H2H at home: Zabbar St. Patrick
30.04.26
H2H
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hibernians
3
0
W
24.08.25
H2H
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hibernians
2
2
D
01.05.25
H2H
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hibernians
2
2
D
28.09.24
H2H
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hibernians
1
2
L
Last matches: Hibernians
14.04.26
Pre
Hibernians
Tarxien Rainbows
2
3
L
10.04.26
Pre
Hibernians
Sliema Wanderers
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pre
Hibernians
Naxxar Lions
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Hibernians
Gzira United
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pre
Hibernians
Floriana
1
4
L
15.02.26
Pre
Hibernians
Marsaxlokk
1
2
L
25.01.26
Pre
Hibernians
Sliema Wanderers
3
1
W
18.01.26
Pre
Hibernians
Birkirkara
0
3
L
25.10.25
Pre
Hibernians
Valletta FC
0
1
L
27.09.25
Pre
Hibernians
Hamrun Spartans
0
2
L
23.09.25
Pre
Hibernians
Tarxien Rainbows
3
1
W
17.09.25
Pre
Hibernians
Mosta
2
2
D
24.08.25
Pre
Hibernians
Zabbar St. Patrick
2
2
D
31.07.25
UEF
Hibernians
Spartak Trnava
1
5
L
H2H away: Hibernians
30.04.26
H2H
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hibernians
3
0
L
24.08.25
H2H
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hibernians
2
2
D
01.05.25
H2H
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hibernians
2
2
D
28.09.24
H2H
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hibernians
1
2
W

Standings

Premier League , Opening Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 17:11 6 23
W W W L W
2 11 6 4 1 15:6 9 22
W L L W W
3 11 6 4 1 16:8 8 22
L L W L L
4 11 5 4 2 16:14 2 19
L D D W D
5 11 5 3 3 14:11 3 18
L W W W W
6 11 4 4 3 12:8 4 16
D D D L W
7 11 4 3 4 20:18 2 15
L W D L D
8 11 3 4 4 14:18 -4 13
L D L W L
9 11 3 2 6 13:19 -6 11
W D L D W
10 11 2 4 5 11:14 -3 10
W L W D D
11 11 1 2 8 10:18 -8 5
L L D L D
12 11 1 2 8 8:21 -13 5
L W W D D
Championship round
Relegation Round