CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
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Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Yunnan Yukun Win 68%
Draw 13.2%
Dalian Zhixing Win 18.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Yunnan Yukun1.93
Dalian Zhixing1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
WWDLW
47 GF / 48 GA
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing
WLDWL
32 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
2.04
Average Goals Scored
1.45
2.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.77
18
BTTS Yes
14
19
Over 2.5
14
5.14
Shots on Goal
5.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 23 matches
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 22 matches
Yunnan Yukun Statistic Dalian Zhixing
8 Wins 9
5 Draws 2
10 Losses 11
47 Goals For 32
48 Goals Against 39
2.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
2.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.77
18 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 17
19 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 3
5.14 Shots On Goal 5.1
15.05 Total Shots 14.45
4.95 Corners 6.1
50.7% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Yunnan Yukun's more proactive style and Dalian Zhixing's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Dalian Zhixing. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Yunnan Yukun expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Dalian Zhixing in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dalian Zhixing having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Yunnan Yukun Analysis

Yunnan Yukun are currently 6 in the standings with 28 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 42:41 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Oscar Taty Maritu (3 goals), Caio Vinícius (2 goals), Bunyamin Abdusalam (2 goals), with creative support from Oscar Taty Maritu (2 assists), Caio Vinícius (1 assists), Bunyamin Abdusalam (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Dalian Zhixing Analysis

Placed 5 with 29 points from 20 outings, Dalian Zhixing continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, while the 31:36 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Yang Mingrui (1 goals), Isnik Alimi (1 goals), Weijie Mao (1 goals), with creative support from Yang Mingrui (1 assists), Nicolae Stanciu (1 assists), Cephas Malele (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Yunnan Yukun won 4 times, Dalian Zhixing won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:6 from Yunnan Yukun's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: Yunnan Yukun 4-3-3 / Dalian Zhixing 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Yunnan Yukun wins 4, draws 2, Dalian Zhixing wins 1
Last matches: Yunnan Yukun
01.08.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
2
3
L
26.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
W
17.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
2
D
10.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
3
4
L
03.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
26.06.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
2
4
L
31.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
20.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
0
D
16.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shenyang Urban
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
26.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
21.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
17.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
0
3
L
12.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
W
04.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
4
0
W
15.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
Last matches: Dalian Zhixing
31.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
1
1
D
26.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
2
3
L
18.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
3
1
W
04.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Wuhan Three Towns
3
2
W
28.06.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shanghai Shenhua
1
4
L
31.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Tianjin Teda
0
1
L
23.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chengdu Better City
2
0
W
19.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
1
D
15.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
10.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Jonoon
1
3
L
06.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
0
3
L
01.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
1
3
L
22.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
10.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
3
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
2
1
W
20.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
0
W
13.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Wuhan Three Towns
1
4
L
07.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shanghai Shenhua
3
5
L
H2H: Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing
26.04.26
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
1
3
W
19.09.25
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D
01.05.25
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
3
2
L
26.10.24
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
2
0
W
15.06.24
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
0
3
W
10.10.23
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
0
1
W
27.08.23
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D
Last matches: Yunnan Yukun
26.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
W
17.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
2
D
03.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
24.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
16.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
1
0
W
06.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
17.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
0
3
L
21.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
4
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
3
1
W
H2H at home: Yunnan Yukun
19.09.25
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D
26.10.24
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
2
0
W
27.08.23
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D
Last matches: Dalian Zhixing
31.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
1
1
D
26.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
2
3
L
31.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Tianjin Teda
0
1
L
19.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
1
D
10.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Jonoon
1
3
L
06.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
0
3
L
22.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
2
1
W
13.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Wuhan Three Towns
1
4
L
07.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shanghai Shenhua
3
5
L
10.02.26
Fri
Dalian Zhixing
Akron
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Dalian Zhixing
Spartak Moscow
0
1
L
H2H away: Dalian Zhixing
19.09.25
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D
26.10.24
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
2
0
L
27.08.23
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 6 2 42:21 21 45
D D D D D
2 21 7 10 4 26:29 -3 31
W W D L W
3 21 9 7 5 38:27 11 29
W W D D W
4 21 7 8 6 23:24 -1 29
L L D D L
5 20 9 2 9 31:36 -5 29
D L W W L
6 21 8 4 9 42:41 1 28
L W D L W
7 21 10 3 8 37:36 1 27
W L L W L
8 20 7 3 10 28:32 -4 24
W L D W L
9 21 8 5 8 31:36 -5 24
L W D W L
10 22 7 2 13 30:41 -11 23
L W L L W
11 20 8 4 8 26:25 1 22
D W W L L
12 20 6 6 8 30:27 3 19
L W D L W
13 20 8 5 7 37:34 3 19
L L L W W
14 20 7 6 7 29:24 5 17
W W W W L
15 20 4 8 8 28:35 -7 15
D W W L L
16 21 6 3 12 30:40 -10 14
L L L L D
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation