BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: P. de Oliveira
Ypiranga-RS
Match Timeline
Confiança
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
PK
Confiança
🔄
53'
Iago Silva ↔ Valdir Junior
Confiança
54'
Nicolas
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
59'
Icaro
Confiança
🟨
60'
Danielzinho
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
62'
Joao Pedro ↔ Paulo Henrique
Confiança
🔄
62'
Sassa ↔ C. Breiner
Confiança
🟨
63'
Rafael Pascoal
Confiança
🔄
72'
Estevao ↔ Leo Rafael
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
72'
Danielzinho ↔ Mago
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
79'
Marcelinho ↔ Gustavo Simoes
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
79'
Renan Gorne ↔ Vini Charopem
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
83'
Nicolas ↔ Dudu
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
90+8'
Paulo Henrique
Confiança
🔄
90+2'
PK ↔ Marcelo Nunes
Confiança

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ypiranga-RS Win 85%
Draw 7.5%
Confiança Win 7.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ypiranga-RS1.13
Confiança0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
Confiança Confiança
WLDWL
6 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
0.5
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
7
BTTS Yes
2
7
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS 12 matches
Confiança Confiança 12 matches
Ypiranga-RS Statistic Confiança
5 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
5 Losses 8
16 Goals For 6
16 Goals Against 10
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
7 BTTS Yes 2
11 Over 1.5 3
7 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Confiança. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ypiranga-RS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 13 with 14 points compared to Confiança in 19 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Confiança having the stronger overall control.

Ypiranga-RS Analysis

Ypiranga-RS approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 14 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 14:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Estevao (4 goals), Danielzinho (3 goals), Leo Rafael (2 goals), with creative support from Danielzinho (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Confiança Analysis

Confiança approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 7 points from 10 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 4:9, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Joao Pedro (2 goals), Icaro (1 goals), PK (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Ypiranga-RS won 1 times, Confiança won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from Ypiranga-RS's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.5%)
H2H summary: Ypiranga-RS wins 1, draws 4, Confiança wins 2

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W W D D W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D W L W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W L W D D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W W D L D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W W W L D
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D L W L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L W L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D W L D L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation