BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. Pfleger
Ypiranga-RS
Match Timeline
Botafogo PB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
Renan Gorne
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
25'
Jhonata Varela
Botafogo PB
🟨
28'
Ramon Vinicius
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
46'
Erick ↔ Diogo Mateus
Botafogo PB
🟨
57'
Igor Maduro
Botafogo PB
🟨
59'
Nicolas
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
64'
Estevao ↔ Leo Rafael
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
64'
Marcelinho ↔ Gustavo Simoes
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
67'
Henrique Dourado ↔ Kayon
Botafogo PB
🔄
67'
Jhonata Varela ↔ Giovanni
Botafogo PB
🔄
74'
Renan Gorne ↔ Vini Charopem
Ypiranga-RS
75'
R. Bastos
Botafogo PB
🟨
79'
Nene
Botafogo PB
81'
Danielzinho · Assist: Danielzinho
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
81'
R. Bastos
Botafogo PB
🟥
82'
Thallyson
Botafogo PB
🔄
86'
Dudu Hatamoto ↔ Gustavo
Botafogo PB
🟨
88'
Leo Rafael
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
90+3'
R. Bastos ↔ Anderson Chaves
Botafogo PB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.5%
Odds 2.15
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.14
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.5%
2.15
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.14
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.03
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Ypiranga-RS Win 60.5%
Draw 14.7%
Botafogo PB Win 24.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ypiranga-RS1.44
Botafogo PB1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS
WWDLW
14 GF / 15 GA
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WLDWL
13 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS 10 matches
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 10 matches
Ypiranga-RS Statistic Botafogo PB
4 Wins 4
1 Draws 0
5 Losses 6
14 Goals For 13
15 Goals Against 15
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
6 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Botafogo PB having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Botafogo PB.

Ypiranga-RS Analysis

Ypiranga-RS sit 15 with 10 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 12:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Estevao (3 goals), Danielzinho (2 goals), Leo Rafael (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botafogo PB Analysis

Botafogo PB approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 9 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 10:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Nene (5 goals), R. Bastos (2 goals), Felipe Azevedo (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Ypiranga-RS won 0 times, Botafogo PB won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Ypiranga-RS's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
H2H summary: Ypiranga-RS wins 0, draws 4, Botafogo PB wins 1

Lineups

Ypiranga-RS
Formation
Botafogo PB
Gabriel Werner
Gabriel Werner
Cleiton
Cleiton
Leo Gobo
Leo Gobo
Willian Gomes
Willian Gomes
Nicolas
Nicolas
Ramon Vinicius
Ramon Vinicius
Dionisio
Dionisio
Estevao
Estevao
Marcelinho
Marcelinho
Danielzinho
🎯
Danielzinho
Renan Gorne
Renan Gorne
Luiz Daniel
Luiz Daniel
Erick
Erick
Yan Souto
Yan Souto
Igor Morais
Igor Morais
Patric Calmon
Patric Calmon
Jhonata Varela
Jhonata Varela
Igor Maduro
Igor Maduro
Nene
Nene
Dudu Hatamoto
Dudu Hatamoto
Henrique Dourado
Henrique Dourado
R. Bastos
R. Bastos
Ypiranga-RS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
29
Gabriel Werner
2
Cleiton
21
Leo Gobo
3
Willian Gomes
6
Nicolas
🟨 59'
43
Ramon Vinicius
🟨 28'
27
Dionisio
10
Estevao
↓ 64'
80
Marcelinho
↓ 64'
23
Danielzinho
⚽ 81' 🎯 81'
9
Renan Gorne
⚽ 23' ↓ 74'
Substitutes
85
Lucas Maticoli
33
Eduardo Grechi
4
Reinaldo
41
Adilson Junior
16
Lucas Ramos
20
Dudu
5
Rian
79
Leo Rafael
↑ 64' 🟨 88'
7
Felipe Ferreira
15
Mago
28
Gustavo Simoes
↑ 64'
11
Vini Charopem
↑ 74'
Botafogo PB 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
27
Luiz Daniel
12
Erick
↓ 46'
3
Yan Souto
14
Igor Morais
6
Patric Calmon
5
Jhonata Varela
↓ 67' 🟨 25'
8
Igor Maduro
🟨 57'
10
Nene
🟨 79'
7
Dudu Hatamoto
↓ 86'
9
Henrique Dourado
↓ 67'
77
R. Bastos
⚽ 75' ↓ 90+3' 🟨 81'
Substitutes
21
Leandro Mathias
2
Diogo Mateus
↑ 46'
4
Saimon
15
Kayon
↑ 67'
16
Bull
18
Giovanni
↑ 67'
20
Thallyson
🟥 82'
29
Anderson Chaves
↑ 90+3'
30
L. M. Alves
31
Gustavo
↑ 86'
33
Julio Vaz
35
Octavio
Last matches: Ypiranga-RS
31.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Volta Redonda
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Maringá
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Brusque
0
3
L
05.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Ituano
2
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Caxias
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Anápolis
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
AO Itabaiana
2
1
W
06.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Figueirense
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Ypiranga-RS
São Luiz
2
0
W
Last matches: Botafogo PB
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maringá
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ituano
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maranhão
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Paysandu
2
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Floresta
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Figueirense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ferroviária
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Barra
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz RN
3
1
W
H2H: Ypiranga-RS vs Botafogo PB
15.06.26
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
1
1
D
18.08.25
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
2
2
D
28.07.24
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
2
2
D
26.08.23
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
1
1
D
16.07.22
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
1
2
L
Last matches: Ypiranga-RS
16.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Maringá
1
4
L
05.05.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Ituano
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Anápolis
3
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Ypiranga-RS
Figueirense
1
1
D
H2H at home: Ypiranga-RS
15.06.26
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
1
1
D
18.08.25
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
2
2
D
28.07.24
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
2
2
D
26.08.23
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
1
1
D
16.07.22
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
1
2
L
Last matches: Botafogo PB
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ituano
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maranhão
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Paysandu
2
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Figueirense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ferroviária
2
0
W
H2H away: Botafogo PB
15.06.26
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
1
1
D
18.08.25
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
2
2
D
28.07.24
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
2
2
D
26.08.23
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
1
1
D
16.07.22
H2H
Ypiranga-RS
Botafogo PB
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.36
Draw 3.03
Home 2.15
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 1.75 1.45
Over 2.0 1.60
Over 2.25 1.89
Over 2.5 2.14
Over 2.75 2.46
Over 3.0 3.09
Under 1.5 2.96
Under 1.75 2.61
Under 2.0 2.27
Under 2.25 1.89
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 2.75 1.50
Under 3.0 1.33
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 3.00
Home 2.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.05
Home 2.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.38
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.15
Over 3.5 4.00
Over 4.5 7.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 0.5 7.50
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.13
Draw 3.00
Home 2.23
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.06
Draw 1.92
Home 2.92
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.54
Draw 2.29
Home 2.56
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 0.75 1.05
Over 1.0 1.07
Over 1.25 1.21
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 1.75 1.44
Over 2.0 1.57
Over 2.25 1.84
Over 2.5 2.10
Over 2.75 2.40
Over 3.0 2.97
Over 3.25 3.30
Over 3.5 3.58
Over 3.75 4.56
Over 4.0 6.30
Over 4.25 6.65
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 0.5 7.10
Under 0.75 6.56
Under 1.0 5.95
Under 1.25 3.70
Under 1.5 2.81
Under 1.75 2.49
Under 2.0 2.14
Under 2.25 1.84
Under 2.5 1.64
Under 2.75 1.48
Under 3.0 1.30
Under 3.25 1.26
Under 3.5 1.21
Under 3.75 1.13
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.25 1.05
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.45
Draw 3.15
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 2.12
Home 2.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 2.40
Home 2.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.0 1.60
Over 2.5 2.12
Over 3.0 3.15
Over 3.25 3.50
Over 3.5 3.80
Under 1.5 2.85
Under 2.0 2.16
Under 2.5 1.62
Under 3.0 1.30
Under 3.25 1.25
Under 3.5 1.21

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
2 10 5 3 2 15:10 5 18
L D W L W
3 10 5 3 2 13:10 3 18
W W D W L
4 10 5 2 3 17:13 4 17
L L W L W
5 10 5 2 3 15:12 3 17
D L W W W
6 10 5 1 4 12:12 0 16
W L L L L
7 10 4 4 2 10:9 1 16
W D W W D
8 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D W D
9 10 4 3 3 9:7 2 15
W D D W W
10 10 4 3 3 12:11 1 15
L W L W D
11 10 4 2 4 19:21 -2 14
D L D W L
12 10 4 2 4 7:9 -2 14
W W W L D
13 10 4 2 4 10:14 -4 14
W W D L W
14 10 3 4 3 9:11 -2 13
D D D L W
15 10 3 2 5 13:16 -3 11
D L L L L
16 10 2 5 3 12:10 2 11
L D L D D
17 10 3 1 6 11:15 -4 10
D W L L L
18 10 2 1 7 4:9 -5 7
L L D W L
19 10 1 4 5 8:15 -7 7
D L D W D
20 10 1 2 7 6:14 -8 5
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation