York vs Swindon Town Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
York Win 58%
Draw 15.6%
Swindon Town Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
York1.64
Swindon Town1.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
York
WWDLW
17 GF / 22 GA
Swindon Town
WLDWL
20 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.82
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
10
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
9
5.75
Shots on Goal
2.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
York
10 matches
Swindon Town
11 matches
| York | Statistic | Swindon Town |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 6 |
| 3 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 17 | Goals For | 20 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 2.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.75 | Shots On Goal | 2.5 |
| 16 | Total Shots | 6.5 |
| 6.75 | Corners | 4.25 |
| 65% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, York won 0 times, Swindon Town won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from York's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
Predicted formations: York 3-4-2-1 / Swindon Town 4-3-3
H2H summary: York wins 0, draws 0, Swindon Town wins 1
Standings
League Two
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
Swindon Town
Away
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 9 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
York
Home
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 8 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 4 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League