06.09.2026 20:00
Estadio Alfredo Terrera
Referee: Andres Gariano
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Match Timeline
Independiente
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
57'
Leonardo Godoy · Assist: Mateo Pérez Curci
Independiente
🔄
66'
Ezequiel Naya ↔ Leonardo Sequeira
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
71'
Maximiliano Meza ↔ Josias Palais
Independiente
🔄
71'
Matías Abaldo ↔ Rubén David Martínez
Independiente
🔄
74'
Santiago Moyano ↔ Alan Daian Laprida
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
74'
Diego Barrera ↔ Horacio Tijanovich
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
86'
Santiago Gabriel Montiel ↔ Ramiro Martino
Independiente
🔄
86'
Leonardo Godoy ↔ Franco Calderon
Independiente
🔄
90+2'
Mateo Pérez Curci ↔ Luciano Cabral
Independiente
🟨
90+3'
Facundo Zabala
Independiente

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Independiente Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.1%
Odds 2.42
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.49
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.1%
2.42
BTTS No
60.3%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
1.49
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.36
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 0-1
-
6.00
Probability Distribution
Central Cordoba de Santiago Win 30.4%
Draw 8.5%
Independiente Win 61.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Central Cordoba de Santiago0.95
Independiente1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago
WWDLW
17 GF / 30 GA
Independiente Independiente
WLDWL
37 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
7
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
11
2.57
Shots on Goal
3.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 24 matches
Independiente Independiente 27 matches
Central Cordoba de Santiago Statistic Independiente
6 Wins 11
6 Draws 7
12 Losses 9
17 Goals For 37
30 Goals Against 35
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
7 BTTS Yes 14
12 Over 1.5 21
7 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 8
13 Failed To Score 6
2.57 Shots On Goal 3.96
8.7 Total Shots 12.79
3.26 Corners 6.08
40.6% Ball Possession 52.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Independiente's more proactive style and Central Cordoba de Santiago's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Independiente. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Independiente carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 24 points while Central Cordoba de Santiago sit 13 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Central Cordoba de Santiago have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Central Cordoba de Santiago expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Independiente in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente having the stronger overall control.

Central Cordoba de Santiago Analysis

Central Cordoba de Santiago approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 16 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats with a 11:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Michael Santos (4 goals), Diego Barrera (2 goals), Alejandro Maciel (1 goals), with creative support from Michael Santos (2 assists), Alejandro Maciel (1 assists), Matías Vera (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Independiente Analysis

Placed 5 with 24 points from 16 outings, Independiente continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 24:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gabriel Ávalos (4 goals), Maximiliano Gutiérrez (3 goals), Lautaro Millán (3 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Ávalos (2 assists), Maximiliano Gutiérrez (2 assists), Matías Abaldo (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Central Cordoba de Santiago won 2 times, Independiente won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:11 from Central Cordoba de Santiago's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Central Cordoba de Santiago 3-4-3 / Independiente 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Central Cordoba de Santiago wins 2, draws 3, Independiente wins 5

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L D L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W D W D D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W D D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W L D D L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D W L D W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W W L D L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
D W L D W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L W W W L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W L W D W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W L W W D
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L D W W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L D L W D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L D L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D D D W W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L D D D L
Knockout Phase