SPAIN LA LIGA
15.09.2026 17:00
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.2%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rayo Vallecano Win 55.2%
Draw 10.4%
Espanyol Win 34.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rayo Vallecano1.46
Espanyol2.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
WWDLW
12 GF / 19 GA
Espanyol Espanyol
WLDWL
20 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2
2.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
7
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
8
5.25
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 8 matches
Espanyol Espanyol 10 matches
Rayo Vallecano Statistic Espanyol
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 4
5 Losses 3
12 Goals For 20
19 Goals Against 14
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2
2.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
7 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 0
5.25 Shots On Goal 3.75
10.25 Total Shots 11.75
6.25 Corners 0.75
44.8% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 8 times, Espanyol won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Rayo Vallecano's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)
Predicted formations: Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1 / Espanyol 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rayo Vallecano wins 8, draws 1, Espanyol wins 6

Standings

La Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 17:2 15 12
W W W W
2 4 3 1 0 10:3 7 10
W W D W
3 4 3 0 1 10:3 7 9
L W W W
4 4 3 0 1 5:5 0 9
W L W W
5 4 2 2 0 8:5 3 8
W W D D
6 4 2 1 1 7:6 1 7
D L W W
7 4 2 1 1 7:6 1 7
L W D W
8 4 2 1 1 5:6 -1 7
L W W D
9 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
W D W L L
10 4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
W W L L
11 4 1 2 1 5:5 0 5
D W D L
12 4 1 1 2 6:5 1 4
D L L W
13 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
L W L D
14 4 1 1 2 7:10 -3 4
W L D L
15 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
D L W L
16 5 0 3 2 2:5 -3 3
D D L L D
17 4 0 2 2 6:8 -2 2
L L D D
18 4 0 2 2 1:7 -6 2
D L D L
19 4 0 1 3 5:12 -7 1
L L L D
20 4 0 1 3 1:9 -8 1
L L L D
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