CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
York Lions Stadium
Referee: S. Bowman
York United
Match Timeline
Forge
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
A. Batisse
Forge
🟨
19'
J. Cordova
York United
VAR
30'
M. Jevremovic
Forge
41'
N. Ampomah · Assist: T. Borges
Forge
44'
T. Skublak · Assist: B. Badibanga
York United
🟨
45+4'
T. Skublak
York United
🔄
46'
M. Bourgeois ↔ R. Rama
Forge
56'
N. Ampomah · Assist: A. Sadek
Forge
🔄
61'
T. Skublak ↔ S. Gonzales
York United
🔄
64'
O. Leon ↔ L. Singh
York United
🔄
65'
A. Sadek ↔ N. Jensen
Forge
🔄
66'
N. Ampomah ↔ I. Oketokoun
Forge
🟨
71'
B. Badibanga
York United
🔄
77'
O. Bassett ↔ L. Accettola
York United
🔄
77'
R. Lopez ↔ S. Yeates
York United
🔄
77'
T. Borges ↔ K. Bekker
Forge
🟨
82'
M. Jevremovic
Forge
🔄
85'
H. Massunda ↔ D. Krutzen
Forge
86'
I. Oketokoun · Assist: N. Jensen
Forge

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.5%
-
BTTS Yes
67.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
York United Win 29.6%
Draw 3.9%
Forge Win 66.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
York United1.07
Forge1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
York United York United
WWDLW
15 GF / 22 GA
Forge Forge
WLDWL
21 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
8
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
1.64
Shots on Goal
2.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

York United York United 12 matches
Forge Forge 14 matches
York United Statistic Forge
4 Wins 10
4 Draws 2
4 Losses 2
15 Goals For 21
22 Goals Against 11
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
8 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 8
1 Failed To Score 2
1.64 Shots On Goal 2.43
3 Total Shots 6.86
0.82 Corners 2.93
10.5% Ball Possession 23.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Forge's more proactive style and York United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Forge carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 31 points while York United sit 6 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Forge. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Forge having the stronger overall control. Forge look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

York United Analysis

York United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 13 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 14:22 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Forge Analysis

Forge approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 31 points after 12 outings. The return of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 20:7, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, York United won 1 times, Forge won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:36 from York United's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: York United 4-2-3-1 / Forge 4-3-3
H2H summary: York United wins 1, draws 4, Forge wins 10

Lineups

York United
Formation
Forge
I. Pavela
I. Pavela
J. Cordova
J. Cordova
C. Guzman
C. Guzman
O. Leon
O. Leon
M. Ferrari
M. Ferrari
R. Lopez
R. Lopez
K. Kibato
K. Kibato
B. Badibanga
🎯
B. Badibanga
O. Bassett
O. Bassett
T. Skublak
T. Skublak
J. Altobelli
J. Altobelli
D. Bertaud
D. Bertaud
M. Bourgeois
M. Bourgeois
D. Nimick
D. Nimick
A. Batisse
A. Batisse
M. Jevremovic
M. Jevremovic
T. Borges
🎯
T. Borges
A. Aromatario
A. Aromatario
B. Paton
B. Paton
N. Ampomah
⚽ 2
N. Ampomah
A. Sadek
🎯
A. Sadek
H. Massunda
H. Massunda
York United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
I. Pavela
23
J. Cordova
🟨 19'
8
C. Guzman
4
O. Leon
↓ 64'
16
M. Ferrari
6
R. Lopez
↓ 77'
21
K. Kibato
39
B. Badibanga
🎯 44' 🟨 71'
10
O. Bassett
↓ 77'
77
T. Skublak
⚽ 44' ↓ 61' 🟨 45+4'
18
J. Altobelli
Substitutes
3
L. Singh
↑ 64'
13
L. Accettola
↑ 77'
28
J. Costa
7
S. Yeates
↑ 77'
9
S. Gonzales
↑ 61'
11
A. Almagro
17
A. Campos
Forge 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
D. Bertaud
87
M. Bourgeois
↓ 46'
5
D. Nimick
8
A. Batisse
🟨 18'
3
M. Jevremovic
🟨 82'
19
T. Borges
🎯 41' ↓ 77'
23
A. Aromatario
6
B. Paton
11
N. Ampomah
⚽ 41' ⚽ 56' ↓ 66'
26
A. Sadek
🎯 56' ↓ 65'
17
H. Massunda
↓ 85'
Substitutes
36
D. Bontis
10
K. Bekker
↑ 77'
9
B. Wright
4
D. Krutzen
↑ 85'
24
R. Rama
↑ 46'
22
N. Jensen
🎯 86' ↑ 65'
7
I. Oketokoun
⚽ 86' ↑ 66'
Last matches: York United
02.08.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
0
5
L
17.07.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
0
4
L
10.06.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
L
07.06.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
4
L
29.05.26
Can
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
3
L
23.05.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
25.04.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.04.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.02.26
Fri
York United
Las Vegas Lights
1
0
W
Last matches: Forge
02.08.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
05.07.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
01.07.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
3
2
W
10.06.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
07.06.26
Can
Forge
York United
4
1
W
31.05.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
13.05.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
02.05.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Forge
Pacific FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
W
11.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
04.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
H2H: York United vs Forge
26.07.26
H2H
York United
Forge
1
3
L
07.06.26
H2H
York United
Forge
1
4
L
18.10.25
H2H
Forge
York United
3
0
L
09.08.25
H2H
York United
Forge
1
2
L
29.06.25
H2H
Forge
York United
2
2
D
27.04.25
H2H
York United
Forge
2
2
D
28.09.24
H2H
Forge
York United
2
0
L
24.08.24
H2H
York United
Forge
0
0
D
01.06.24
H2H
Forge
York United
3
0
L
01.05.24
H2H
Forge
York United
3
1
L
21.04.24
H2H
York United
Forge
0
3
L
12.08.23
H2H
Forge
York United
3
3
D
09.07.23
H2H
York United
Forge
0
4
L
31.05.23
H2H
Forge
York United
1
2
W
05.05.23
H2H
York United
Forge
0
1
L
Last matches: York United
10.06.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
L
07.06.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
4
L
01.05.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
19.04.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.04.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.02.26
Fri
York United
Las Vegas Lights
1
0
W
H2H at home: York United
26.07.26
H2H
York United
Forge
1
3
L
07.06.26
H2H
York United
Forge
1
4
L
09.08.25
H2H
York United
Forge
1
2
L
27.04.25
H2H
York United
Forge
2
2
D
24.08.24
H2H
York United
Forge
0
0
D
21.04.24
H2H
York United
Forge
0
3
L
09.07.23
H2H
York United
Forge
0
4
L
05.05.23
H2H
York United
Forge
0
1
L
Last matches: Forge
02.08.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
05.07.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
07.06.26
Can
Forge
York United
4
1
W
24.05.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
02.05.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Forge
Pacific FC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
H2H away: Forge
26.07.26
H2H
York United
Forge
1
3
W
07.06.26
H2H
York United
Forge
1
4
W
09.08.25
H2H
York United
Forge
1
2
W
27.04.25
H2H
York United
Forge
2
2
D
24.08.24
H2H
York United
Forge
0
0
D
21.04.24
H2H
York United
Forge
0
3
W
09.07.23
H2H
York United
Forge
0
4
W
05.05.23
H2H
York United
Forge
0
1
W

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Forge Away
14 11 2 1 23:8 15 35
D W W W W
2 15 10 3 2 30:8 22 33
W W L D W
3 15 7 2 6 24:16 8 23
W W W W L
4 15 6 3 6 23:28 -5 21
L W D L W
5 16 4 5 7 20:24 -4 17
D L D W L
6 14 5 2 7 21:26 -5 17
W L W L L
7 13 3 4 6 15:30 -15 13
L L D L L
8 14 0 3 11 16:32 -16 3
L L L L L