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CANADA › CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
York United
FT
4 - 1
Atlético Ottawa
York Lions Stadium
Referee: S. Noshinravani
York United
Match Timeline
Atlético Ottawa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
4'
Noah Abatneh
Atlético Ottawa
VAR
9'
Ballou Tabla
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
27'
Luke Singh
York United
⚽
50'
T. Skublak · Assist: J. Cordova
York United
⚽
55'
T. Skublak
York United
🔄
58'
J. Coulanges ↔ G. Antinoro
Atlético Ottawa
⚽
61'
L. Cloutier
York United
⚽
63'
J. Altobelli · Assist: S. Jimoh
York United
🔄
65'
J. Castro ↔ D. Aguilar
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
65'
J. Villal ↔ R. Khoury
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
68'
T. Skublak ↔ S. Gonzales
York United
🔄
69'
L. Accettola ↔ J. Costa
York United
🔄
70'
L. Cloutier ↔ S. Kozlovskiy
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
70'
E. Garcia ↔ K. Habibullah
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
73'
J. Altobelli ↔ G. Bitar
York United
🔄
73'
S. Jimoh ↔ O. Bassett
York United
🟨
80'
Manny Aparicio
Atlético Ottawa
⚽
84'
W. Timoteo · Assist: M. Aparicio
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
86'
S. Yeates ↔ A. Umanzor
York United
🟨
89'
Daniel Aguilar
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
90+5'
Sergei Kozlovskiy
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
90+2'
Gabriel Antinoro
Atlético Ottawa
VAR
90+4'
Sergei Kozlovskiy
Atlético Ottawa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 41.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 45.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
41.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
45.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
York United Win 55.5%
Draw 25%
Atlético Ottawa Win 19.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
York United1.62
Atlético Ottawa0.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
York United York United
WWDLW
5 GF / 3 GA
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WLDWL
3 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
1.67
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

York United York United 4 matches
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 6 matches
York United Statistic Atlético Ottawa
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 1
0 Losses 4
5 Goals For 3
3 Goals Against 13
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
2 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 3
1.67 Shots On Goal 1
2.67 Total Shots 3.33
1.33 Corners 1.17
15.3% Ball Possession 39.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, York United won 6 times, Atlético Ottawa won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:22 from York United's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (80.5%)
Predicted formations: York United 3-4-3 / Atlético Ottawa 3-4-3
H2H summary: York United wins 6, draws 5, Atlético Ottawa wins 4
Stats
York United York United
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 3
9 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 0
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 5
7 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
468 Total passes 529
402 Passes accurate 462
3.42 expected_goals 0.96
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

York United
Formation
Atlético Ottawa
D. Urtiaga
D. Urtiaga
R. Lopez
R. Lopez
C. Guzman
C. Guzman
L. Singh
L. Singh
M. Ferrari
M. Ferrari
L. Accettola
↓
L. Accettola
S. Yeates
↓
S. Yeates
J. Cordova
🎯
J. Cordova
S. Jimoh
🎯 ↓
S. Jimoh
T. Skublak
⚽ 2 ↓
T. Skublak
J. Altobelli
⚽ ↓
J. Altobelli
G. Innocent
G. Innocent
R. Mbomio
R. Mbomio
A. S. Abatneh N.
A. S. Abatneh N.
L. Cloutier
⚽ ↓
L. Cloutier
J. Coulanges
↓
J. Coulanges
J. Castro
↓
J. Castro
M. Aparicio
🎯
M. Aparicio
W. Timoteo
⚽
W. Timoteo
J. Villal
↓
J. Villal
E. Garcia
↓
E. Garcia
B. Tabla
B. Tabla
York United 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
D. Urtiaga
G
6
R. Lopez
D
8
C. Guzman
D
3
L. Singh
🟨 27'
D
16
M. Ferrari
M
13
L. Accettola
↓ 69'
7
S. Yeates
↓ 86'
M
23
J. Cordova
🎯 50'
M
19
S. Jimoh
🎯 63' ↓ 73'
F
77
T. Skublak
⚽ 50' ⚽ 55' ↓ 68'
F
18
J. Altobelli
⚽ 63' ↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
12
I. Pavela
G
20
G. Bitar
↑ 73'
F
28
J. Costa
↑ 69'
M
10
O. Bassett
↑ 73'
M
5
F. Sturing
D
9
S. Gonzales
↑ 68'
F
34
A. Umanzor
↑ 86'
M
Atlético Ottawa 3-4-3
Starting XI
75
G. Innocent
18
R. Mbomio
D
23
A. S. Abatneh N.
D
28
L. Cloutier
⚽ 61' ↓ 70'
20
J. Coulanges
↓ 58'
2
J. Castro
↓ 65'
M
10
M. Aparicio
🎯 84' 🟨 80'
M
27
W. Timoteo
⚽ 84'
M
8
J. Villal
↓ 65'
F
7
E. Garcia
↓ 70'
F
13
B. Tabla
F
Substitutes
1
T. Crampton
84
S. Kozlovskiy
↑ 70'
5
D. Aguilar
↑ 65' 🟨 89'
M
30
K. Habibullah
↑ 70'
M
11
G. Antinoro
↑ 58' 🟨 90+2'
M
4
T. Walker
D
19
R. Khoury
↑ 65'
Last matches: York United
04.07.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
0
4
L
10.06.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
L
07.06.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
4
L
29.05.26
Can
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
3
L
23.05.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.04.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.02.26
Fri
York United
Las Vegas Lights
1
0
W
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
04.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
01.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
09.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
W
06.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2
1
W
17.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
26.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
5
L
18.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
2
L
H2H: York United vs Atlético Ottawa
01.05.26
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
14.09.25
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
03.08.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
York United
0
0
D
08.07.25
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
3
4
L
22.06.25
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
0
0
D
11.06.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
York United
2
1
L
19.04.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
York United
3
2
L
27.10.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
York United
2
2
D
06.10.24
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
1
0
W
26.07.24
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
15.06.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
2
W
13.04.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
York United
2
1
L
01.10.23
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
1
0
W
05.08.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
York United
3
3
D
09.06.23
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
Last matches: York United
10.06.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
L
07.06.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
4
L
19.04.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.04.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.02.26
Fri
York United
Las Vegas Lights
1
0
W
H2H at home: York United
01.05.26
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
14.09.25
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
08.07.25
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
3
4
L
22.06.25
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
0
0
D
06.10.24
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
1
0
W
26.07.24
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
01.10.23
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
1
0
W
09.06.23
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
01.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
2
D
19.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
5
L
H2H away: Atlético Ottawa
01.05.26
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
L
14.09.25
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
08.07.25
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
3
4
W
22.06.25
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
0
0
D
06.10.24
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
1
0
L
26.07.24
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
L
01.10.23
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
1
0
L
09.06.23
H2H
York United
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
L