CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
18.07.2026 12:00
Wuhan Sports Centre
Referee: Jianxin Du, China
Wuhan Three Towns
Match Timeline
Sichuan Jiuniu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
12'
Gabriel Xavier
Sichuan Jiuniu
🟥
13'
Gabriel Xavier
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
14'
A. Ademi ↔ Zhao Jianfei
Sichuan Jiuniu
35'
J. Xiong · Assist: J. Cadiz
Wuhan Three Towns
🟨
45+1'
Ming Tian
Wuhan Three Towns
45'
Wang Jinxian · Assist: K. Bevis
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
58'
D. Owusu-Sekyere ↔ Li Ning
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
58'
Yang Yiming ↔ Tang Miao
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
71'
J. Xiong ↔ Long Wei
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
72'
Xu Haofeng ↔ Chen Zhechao
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
72'
Ming Tian ↔ Li Shenyuan
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
74'
Wesley Moraes ↔ Xia Dalong
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
74'
Jiang Zhipeng ↔ Z. Xuan
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
77'
Wang Jinxian ↔ Liu Binbin
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
90+3'
Liao Chengjian ↔ Min Zixi
Wuhan Three Towns

Wuhan Three Towns vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64.2%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Wuhan Three Towns Win 35.8%
Draw 21%
Sichuan Jiuniu Win 43.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wuhan Three Towns1.53
Sichuan Jiuniu1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns
WWDLW
24 GF / 34 GA
Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu
WLDWL
25 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.39
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
12
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
10
3.71
Shots on Goal
4.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 17 matches
Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu 18 matches
Wuhan Three Towns Statistic Sichuan Jiuniu
2 Wins 6
7 Draws 2
8 Losses 10
24 Goals For 25
34 Goals Against 31
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
12 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 5
3.71 Shots On Goal 4.06
11.18 Total Shots 12.33
4.41 Corners 5.22
44.6% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sichuan Jiuniu carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 20 points while Wuhan Three Towns sit 16 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wuhan Three Towns expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Sichuan Jiuniu in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sichuan Jiuniu having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sichuan Jiuniu. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Wuhan Three Towns Analysis

Wuhan Three Towns sit 16 with 8 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats with a 24:34 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sichuan Jiuniu Analysis

Sichuan Jiuniu are currently 10 in the standings with 20 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, while the 25:31 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gabriel Xavier (1 goals), Yiming Yang (1 goals), Junsheng Yao (1 goals), with creative support from Wesley Moraes (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Wuhan Three Towns won 5 times, Sichuan Jiuniu won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:11 from Wuhan Three Towns's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.63 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79%)
Predicted formations: Wuhan Three Towns 4-4-2 / Sichuan Jiuniu 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Wuhan Three Towns wins 5, draws 1, Sichuan Jiuniu wins 2

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation