CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
12.09.2026 11:35
Wuhan Sports Centre
Referee: Kun Ai, China
Wuhan Three Towns
Match Timeline
Henan Jianye
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
52'
J. Cadiz
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
58'
Zheng Dalun ↔ Zhong Yihao
Henan Jianye
🔄
77'
Huang Ruifeng ↔ Haliq Ablahan
Henan Jianye
🔄
77'
Shinar Yeljan ↔ N. Muhmet
Henan Jianye
🟨
81'
Nebijan Muhmet
Henan Jianye
🔄
82'
A. Leautey ↔ Wang Jinxian
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
82'
Zhang Xiaobin ↔ Liao Chengjian
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
83'
He Chao ↔ O. Gerbig
Henan Jianye
🟨
84'
Kaimu Zheng
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
87'
Gustavo Sauer ↔ Liu Yiming
Wuhan Three Towns
🟨
90+7'
Kaimu Zheng
Wuhan Three Towns
🟨
90+4'
Zhechao Chen
Wuhan Three Towns
🟥
90+7'
Kaimu Zheng
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
90+1'
Xu Haofeng ↔ Chen Zhechao
Wuhan Three Towns
⚽
90'
Gustavo · Assist: Pedro Maranhao
Henan Jianye

Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 42.2%
Odds 2.27
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.57
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
42.2%
2.27 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.57 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.23 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Wuhan Three Towns Win 41.8%
Draw 16.1%
Henan Jianye Win 42.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wuhan Three Towns1.47
Henan Jianye1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns
WWDLW
37 GF / 41 GA
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
WLDWL
32 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
16
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
14
4.67
Shots on Goal
4.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 24 matches
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 25 matches
Wuhan Three Towns Statistic Henan Jianye
5 Wins 8
10 Draws 8
9 Losses 9
37 Goals For 32
41 Goals Against 34
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
16 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 8
4.67 Shots On Goal 4.16
13.29 Total Shots 12.36
4.88 Corners 5.52
46.4% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Henan Jianye. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wuhan Three Towns expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Henan Jianye in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Henan Jianye having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Wuhan Three Towns Analysis

With 20 points from 24 games and a place of 14, Wuhan Three Towns still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 37:41, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Cádiz (12 goals), Gustavo Sauer (5 goals), K. Bevis (5 goals), with creative support from J. Cádiz (4 assists), Gustavo Sauer (4 assists), K. Bevis (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Henan Jianye Analysis

From their first 24 matches, Henan Jianye have collected 25 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 32:34 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gustavo (11 goals), Bruno Nazário (7 goals), Yihao Zhong (3 goals), with creative support from Bruno Nazário (5 assists), Shangyuan Wang (4 assists), Gustavo (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Wuhan Three Towns won 3 times, Henan Jianye won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Wuhan Three Towns's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.9%)
Predicted formations: Wuhan Three Towns 4-4-2 / Henan Jianye 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Wuhan Three Towns wins 3, draws 1, Henan Jianye wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation