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AUSTRIA › BUNDESLIGA
10.10.2026 15:00
Tivoli Stadion Tirol
Referee: Julian Weinberger, Austria
WSG Wattens
Match Timeline
Ried
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
N. Baden Frederiksen
WSG Wattens
⚽
15'
S. Schwab
Ried
⚽
43'
P. Pomer
Ried
🟨
45+1'
Marco Boras
WSG Wattens
🔄
46'
H. Balic ↔ M. Wels
WSG Wattens
VAR
50'
Evan Eghosa
Ried
🔄
69'
T. Goiginger ↔ M. Satin
WSG Wattens
🔄
70'
J. Rhodes ↔ O. Sorg
Ried
🔄
70'
M. Rasner ↔ L. Malicsek
Ried
🟨
76'
Andreas Leitner
Ried
🔄
77'
E. E. Aisowieren ↔ I. Kiese
Ried
🔄
78'
M. Olakigbe ↔ L. Hinterseer
WSG Wattens
🔄
78'
N. Baden Frederiksen ↔ T. Sabitzer
WSG Wattens
🟨
82'
Fabian Rossdorfer
Ried
🔄
83'
P. Pomer ↔ D. Radonjic
Ried
🔄
90+2'
M. Striednig ↔ D. Kubatta
WSG Wattens

WSG Wattens vs Ried Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.4%
Odds 2.69
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.67
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.4%
2.69 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.67 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
WSG Wattens Win 21.6%
Draw 14%
Ried Win 64.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
WSG Wattens2.28
Ried1.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens
WWDLW
52 GF / 25 GA
Ried Ried
WLDWL
43 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
2.6
Average Goals Scored
2.15
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
7
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
15
3.57
Shots on Goal
5.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 20 matches
Ried Ried 20 matches
WSG Wattens Statistic Ried
8 Wins 8
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 7
52 Goals For 43
25 Goals Against 36
2.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.15
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
7 BTTS Yes 16
16 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 11
9 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 1
3.57 Shots On Goal 5.43
11.14 Total Shots 15.71
5.57 Corners 4
47.9% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ried. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with WSG Wattens expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Ried in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ried having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

WSG Wattens Analysis

WSG Wattens sit 7 with 8 points after 7 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 9:12 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Olakigbe (2 goals), N. Frederiksen (2 goals), D. Murray (1 goals), with creative support from M. Olakigbe (1 assists), M. Boras (1 assists), T. Goiginger (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ried Analysis

Ried arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 8 points after 7 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 11:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Schwab (2 goals), Evan Eghosa Aisowieren (2 goals), N. Sissoko (2 goals), with creative support from A. Bajić (3 assists), S. Schwab (1 assists), J. Nasrawe (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, WSG Wattens won 6 times, Ried won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:21 from WSG Wattens's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
Predicted formations: WSG Wattens 4-4-2 / Ried 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: WSG Wattens wins 6, draws 3, Ried wins 5

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 23:7 16 21
W W W L W
2 8 5 3 0 18:4 14 18
D W D W W
3 8 5 1 2 19:9 10 16
L D L W W
4 8 4 2 2 10:9 1 14
W L W L D
5
Ried Away
8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W W D L W
6 8 3 2 3 14:16 -2 11
W D D W W
7 8 2 3 3 6:16 -10 9
D D W D L
8 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
L W L L D
9 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
L L D W W
10 8 2 1 5 7:15 -8 7
L D W L L
11 8 2 0 6 8:12 -4 6
W L L L L
12 8 1 2 5 7:16 -9 5
L L L L D
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)