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06.12.2026 06:00
Sydney Football Stadium

Sydney vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Sydney Win 0%
Draw 0%
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sydney1.56
Melbourne Victory1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sydney Sydney
W L W D D
8 GF / 5 GA
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
D D D L
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
4
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
2
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sydney Sydney 5 matches
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 4 matches
Sydney Statistic Melbourne Victory
2 Wins 0
2 Draws 3
1 Losses 1
8 Goals For 5
5 Goals Against 6
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
4 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.25
11.25 Total Shots 8.25
3.75 Corners 4.75
47.8% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sydney won 6 times, Melbourne Victory won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:24 from Sydney's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Sydney 4-2-3-1 / Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sydney wins 6, draws 3, Melbourne Victory wins 6

Standings

A-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 7:1 6 10
D W W W
2 4 2 1 1 7:4 3 7
W L W D
3 3 2 1 0 5:3 2 7
W D W
4 4 2 1 1 6:6 0 7
W W D L
5 4 2 0 2 8:5 3 6
W W L L
6 4 1 2 1 6:4 2 5
L D W D
7 4 1 2 1 4:4 0 5
L D D W
8 4 1 2 1 6:7 -1 5
D D L W
9 4 0 3 1 5:6 -1 3
D D D L
10 4 0 2 2 4:8 -4 2
L L D D
11 4 0 2 2 4:9 -5 2
L D L D
12 3 0 1 2 3:8 -5 1
D L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)