ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
29.08.2026 11:30
Molineux Stadium
Referee: Tom Nield, England
Wolves
Match Timeline
Stoke City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
S. Gallagher
Stoke City
🟨
15'
Jun-Ho Bae
Stoke City
19'
R. Gomes
Wolves
23'
R. Gomes
Wolves
🟨
31'
Bosun Lawal
Stoke City
🟨
39'
Mateus Mané
Wolves
🟨
45'
Sam Gallagher
Stoke City
55'
R. Jimenez
Wolves
🔄
62'
Bae Jun-Ho ↔ M. Manhoef
Stoke City
🔄
73'
Andre ↔ B. Traore
Wolves
🔄
73'
R. Jimenez ↔ A. Armstrong
Wolves
🔄
74'
G. Hirst ↔ R. Bozenik
Stoke City
🔄
77'
M. Munetsi ↔ T. Doyle
Wolves
🔄
77'
R. Gomes ↔ J. James
Wolves
🔄
83'
M. Mane ↔ T. Chirewa
Wolves
84'
J. James · Assist: F. Lopez
Wolves
🔄
85'
D. Soumare ↔ T. Rigo
Stoke City
🔄
85'
S. Gallagher ↔ T. Martin
Stoke City
🟨
90+3'
Sorba Thomas
Stoke City

Wolves vs Stoke City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.7%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.7%
1.50
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.75
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.8%
1.15
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Wolves Win 78.7%
Draw 10.6%
Stoke City Win 10.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wolves1.73
Stoke City0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wolves Wolves
WWDLW
12 GF / 5 GA
Stoke City Stoke City
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.83
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
3
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
2
4
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wolves Wolves 6 matches
Stoke City Stoke City 6 matches
Wolves Statistic Stoke City
4 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 3
12 Goals For 5
5 Goals Against 8
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
3 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 2
17 Total Shots 10.5
4.5 Corners 3
55% Ball Possession 41.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Wolves won 3 times, Stoke City won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Wolves's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.4%)
Predicted formations: Wolves 4-2-3-1 / Stoke City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Wolves 7, Stoke City 5
H2H summary: Wolves wins 3, draws 3, Stoke City wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 4 2 1 20:9 11 14
W W W W D
2 7 4 2 1 11:5 6 14
W L D W W
3 7 4 2 1 10:7 3 14
D W W D L
4 6 4 1 1 12:8 4 13
W W D W L
5 7 3 3 1 8:5 3 12
D D L W W
6 7 3 3 1 6:7 -1 12
D D L D W
7 6 3 2 1 14:10 4 11
W D L W W
8 7 4 2 1 18:8 10 10
W W D D W
9 7 2 4 1 10:9 1 10
W L D D W
10 7 3 1 3 11:11 0 10
W D W W L
11 6 3 1 2 10:11 -1 10
L W W W D
12 7 3 0 4 13:13 0 9
L W W L W
13 6 3 0 3 11:11 0 9
L W L L W
14 7 2 3 2 8:9 -1 9
L W L W D
15 7 2 2 3 10:10 0 8
W L L D L
16 6 2 2 2 5:6 -1 8
W D D W L
17 7 2 2 3 7:9 -2 8
L W L L D
18 6 2 1 3 7:8 -1 7
D W L L W
19 7 1 4 2 7:11 -4 7
L D D W L
20 7 2 1 4 7:12 -5 7
W L L L L
21 7 0 4 3 7:11 -4 4
L D L L D
22 7 1 1 5 6:13 -7 4
L L L W L
23 7 1 0 6 6:13 -7 3
L L W L L
24 7 0 3 4 8:16 -8 3
L D L D L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One