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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
20.10.2026 18:45
Molineux Stadium

Wolves vs Portsmouth Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Wolves Win 70.2%
Draw 4.5%
Portsmouth Win 25.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wolves1.61
Portsmouth1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wolves Wolves
WWDLW
23 GF / 16 GA
Portsmouth Portsmouth
WLDWL
14 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
7
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
6
4.11
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wolves Wolves 13 matches
Portsmouth Portsmouth 14 matches
Wolves Statistic Portsmouth
7 Wins 3
2 Draws 5
4 Losses 6
23 Goals For 14
16 Goals Against 19
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
7 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 5
4.11 Shots On Goal 4.38
15.89 Total Shots 15.88
6.56 Corners 6.63
53.9% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Wolves's more proactive style and Portsmouth's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Portsmouth. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Wolves arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 14 points compared to Portsmouth in 19 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Wolves Analysis

Wolves arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 14 points after 8 matches. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 15:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Fer López (3 goals), R. Jiménez (3 goals), Rodrigo Gomes (2 goals), with creative support from Fer López (2 assists), André (2 assists), Rodrigo Gomes (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Portsmouth Analysis

Portsmouth sit 19 with 8 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 9:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Milovanović (2 goals), A. Segecic (1 goals), R. Kavuma McQueen (1 goals), with creative support from A. Segecic (1 assists), R. Kavuma McQueen (1 assists), E. Adams (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Wolves 4-2-3-1 / Portsmouth 4-2-3-1

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:7 9 23
W W W W L
2 10 6 3 1 20:14 6 21
W W D D W
3 10 4 5 1 17:11 6 17
W W D W L
4 10 5 2 3 12:10 2 17
W L L D W
5 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
6 10 5 1 4 17:16 1 16
L W W W D
7 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
W W D W L
8 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
9 9 4 2 3 16:14 2 14
L L W W D
10 10 4 2 4 16:16 0 14
L W D D L
11 10 4 2 4 12:14 -2 14
L D W L L
12 10 3 5 2 10:13 -3 14
D D L D D
13 9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
14 10 4 1 5 15:18 -3 13
W L W W L
15 9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
16 10 2 5 3 11:15 -4 11
L D W L D
17 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
18 10 2 4 4 16:15 1 10
W L W L D
19 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
20 8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
21 10 1 5 4 15:19 -4 8
D W D L D
22 10 2 2 6 8:19 -11 8
L L L L W
23 9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24 10 1 1 8 8:20 -12 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One