POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Orlen Stadion
Referee: P. Raczkowski
Wisla Plock
Match Timeline
Motor Lublin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
B. Wolski
Motor Lublin
🔄
25'
D. Pacheco ↔ T. Tavares
Wisla Plock
31'
K. Czubak · Assist: B. Wolski
Motor Lublin
🟨
39'
Marcus Haglind Sangre
Wisla Plock
🟨
39'
Karol Czubak
Motor Lublin
🟨
42'
Arkadiusz Najemski
Motor Lublin
🟨
45+2'
Žan Rogelj
Wisla Plock
🔄
46'
M. Kaminski ↔ Q. Lecoeuche
Wisla Plock
🔄
46'
K. Pomorski ↔ M. Djalo
Wisla Plock
🔄
46'
D. Juric ↔ G. Niarchos
Wisla Plock
🔄
64'
P. Stolarski ↔ T. Santos
Motor Lublin
🔄
65'
B. van Hoeven ↔ Fabio Ronaldo
Motor Lublin
🔄
77'
K. Czubak ↔ R. Dadashov
Motor Lublin
🔄
77'
M. Ndiaye ↔ M. Krol
Motor Lublin
🔄
80'
D. Gallapeni ↔ S. Hamulic
Wisla Plock
80'
M. Bartos · Assist: B. Wolski
Motor Lublin
🔄
82'
A. Najemski ↔ H. Matthys
Motor Lublin
88'
Fabio Ronaldo · Assist: I. Rodrigues
Motor Lublin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Wisla Plock Win 45.2%
Draw 14.7%
Motor Lublin Win 40.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wisla Plock1.21
Motor Lublin1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
WWDLW
32 GF / 31 GA
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
WLDWL
39 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
15
BTTS Yes
19
10
Over 2.5
14
3.58
Shots on Goal
3.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 31 matches
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 31 matches
Wisla Plock Statistic Motor Lublin
12 Wins 9
9 Draws 12
10 Losses 10
32 Goals For 39
31 Goals Against 46
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
15 BTTS Yes 19
22 Over 1.5 24
10 Over 2.5 14
2 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 7
11 Failed To Score 7
3.58 Shots On Goal 3.52
11.68 Total Shots 11.48
4.1 Corners 5.42
42.7% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Wisla Plock's more proactive style and Motor Lublin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Motor Lublin. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wisla Plock expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Motor Lublin in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Motor Lublin having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Wisla Plock Analysis

With 45 points from 31 games and a place of 7, Wisla Plock still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 32:31, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Sekulski (8 goals), Deni Jurić (5 goals), Wiktor Nowak (4 goals), with creative support from D. Kun (4 assists), Dani Pacheco (3 assists), J. Jimenez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Motor Lublin Analysis

Motor Lublin sit 14 with 39 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 39:46, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through K. Czubak (16 goals), M. Ndiaye (8 goals), B. Wolski (4 goals), with creative support from B. van Hoeven (4 assists), K. Czubak (3 assists), B. Wolski (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Wisla Plock won 1 times, Motor Lublin won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:11 from Wisla Plock's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
Predicted formations: Wisla Plock 3-5-2 / Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Wisla Plock wins 1, draws 3, Motor Lublin wins 2
Stats
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
11
Blocked Shots
4
7 Corner Kicks 6
12 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Goal 6
7 Shots off Goal 7
11 Blocked Shots 4
14 Shots insidebox 15
8 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
356 Total passes 276
287 Passes accurate 220
1.63 expected_goals 1.64
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Wisla Plock
Formation
Motor Lublin
J. Burek
J. Burek
M. Haglind-Sangre
M. Haglind-Sangre
M. Kaminski
M. Kaminski
N. Mijuskovic
N. Mijuskovic
Z. Rogelj
Z. Rogelj
K. Pomorski
K. Pomorski
D. Pacheco
D. Pacheco
W. Nowak
W. Nowak
D. Gallapeni
D. Gallapeni
L. Sekulski
L. Sekulski
D. Juric
D. Juric
G. Tratnik
G. Tratnik
P. Stolarski
P. Stolarski
M. Bartos
M. Bartos
A. Najemski
A. Najemski
F. Luberecki
F. Luberecki
S. Samper
S. Samper
M. Ndiaye
M. Ndiaye
B. Wolski
🎯
B. Wolski
I. Rodrigues
🎯
I. Rodrigues
B. van Hoeven
B. van Hoeven
K. Czubak
K. Czubak
Wisla Plock 3-5-2
Starting XI
26
J. Burek
G
4
M. Haglind-Sangre
🟨 39'
D
35
M. Kaminski
↓ 46'
D
25
N. Mijuskovic
D
21
Z. Rogelj
🟨 45+2'
M
6
K. Pomorski
↓ 46'
M
8
D. Pacheco
↓ 25'
M
30
W. Nowak
M
19
D. Gallapeni
↓ 80'
M
20
L. Sekulski
F
99
D. Juric
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Pruszkowski
G
13
Q. Lecoeuche
↑ 46'
D
77
S. Hamulic
↑ 80'
F
18
D. Sarapata
M
37
M. Bokhno
D
14
D. Kun
M
16
F. Hiszpanski
M
2
K. Custovic
M
84
T. Tavares
↑ 25'
D
66
I. Salvador
M
17
M. Djalo
↑ 46'
M
9
G. Niarchos
↑ 46'
F
Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
33
G. Tratnik
G
28
P. Stolarski
↓ 64'
D
39
M. Bartos
⚽ 80'
D
18
A. Najemski
↓ 82' 🟨 42'
D
24
F. Luberecki
D
6
S. Samper
M
30
M. Ndiaye
↓ 77'
M
68
B. Wolski
⚽ 7' 🎯 31' 🎯 80'
M
7
I. Rodrigues
🎯 88'
M
19
B. van Hoeven
↓ 65'
M
9
K. Czubak
⚽ 31' ↓ 77' 🟨 39'
F
Substitutes
99
P. Kukulski
G
3
H. Matthys
↑ 82'
D
77
R. Dadashov
↑ 77'
F
21
J. Labojko
M
29
T. Santos
↑ 64'
D
2
P. Meyer
D
42
B. Ede
D
17
F. Wojcik
D
26
M. Krol
↑ 77'
M
8
M. Scalet
M
10
K. Karasek
M
11
Fabio Ronaldo
⚽ 88' ↑ 65'
M
Last matches: Wisla Plock
26.07.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Pelikan Łowicz
3
2
W
17.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
ŁKS Łódź
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Bohemians 1905
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Baník Ostrava
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Polonia Warszawa
3
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Lech Poznan
2
2
D
16.05.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Gornik Zabrze
0
1
L
03.05.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin
0
3
L
26.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Radomiak Radom
0
1
L
19.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Nieciecza
3
1
W
10.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Lechia Gdansk
1
0
W
04.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
GKS Katowice
0
1
L
21.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
14.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Cracovia Krakow
2
1
W
09.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
0
3
L
02.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
L
21.02.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Legia Warszawa
1
2
L
14.02.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Widzew Łódź
0
2
L
Last matches: Motor Lublin
26.07.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Widzew Łódź
2
2
D
17.07.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Hapoel Katamon
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Polonia Warszawa
2
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Warta Poznań
4
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Dinamo Bucuresti
3
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Legia Warszawa
0
4
L
16.05.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Cracovia Krakow
3
3
D
02.05.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
26.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Widzew Łódź
0
2
L
17.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
GKS Katowice
2
3
L
12.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
20.03.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
13.03.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Nieciecza
2
1
W
08.03.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Gornik Zabrze
0
0
D
28.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
20.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Piast Gliwice
2
1
W
15.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Lechia Gdansk
2
3
L
07.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia
1
4
L
01.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
H2H: Wisla Plock vs Motor Lublin
10.05.26
H2H
Wisla Plock
Motor Lublin
0
4
L
08.11.25
H2H
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
1
1
D
11.07.25
H2H
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
10.01.25
H2H
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
2
1
L
05.05.24
H2H
Wisla Plock
Motor Lublin
1
0
W
05.11.23
H2H
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
Last matches: Wisla Plock
22.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Pelikan Łowicz
3
2
W
17.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
ŁKS Łódź
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Bohemians 1905
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Baník Ostrava
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Polonia Warszawa
3
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Gornik Zabrze
0
1
L
26.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Radomiak Radom
0
1
L
10.04.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Lechia Gdansk
1
0
W
09.03.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
0
3
L
14.02.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Widzew Łódź
0
2
L
01.02.26
Eks
Wisla Plock
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Radnicki 1923
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Bohemians 1905
0
1
L
14.01.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Aluminij
2
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Wisla Plock
Rapid
2
1
W
04.12.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
30.11.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Lech Poznan
0
0
D
03.11.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
20.10.25
Eks
Wisla Plock
Nieciecza
3
1
W
H2H at home: Wisla Plock
10.05.26
H2H
Wisla Plock
Motor Lublin
0
4
L
05.05.24
H2H
Wisla Plock
Motor Lublin
1
0
W
Last matches: Motor Lublin
26.07.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Widzew Łódź
2
2
D
23.05.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Legia Warszawa
0
4
L
26.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Widzew Łódź
0
2
L
17.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
GKS Katowice
2
3
L
06.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
13.03.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Nieciecza
2
1
W
20.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Piast Gliwice
2
1
W
07.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia
1
4
L
06.12.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Arka Gdynia
0
1
L
22.11.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Cracovia Krakow
2
1
W
02.11.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
2
2
D
05.10.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Raków Częstochowa
0
2
L
21.09.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Zaglebie Lubin
2
2
D
30.08.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Gornik Zabrze
1
0
W
23.08.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
0
2
L
11.08.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Lechia Gdansk
3
3
D
26.07.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Pogon Szczecin
1
4
L
H2H away: Motor Lublin
10.05.26
H2H
Wisla Plock
Motor Lublin
0
4
W
05.05.24
H2H
Wisla Plock
Motor Lublin
1
0
L

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation