Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
60%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Willem II
Almere City FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Willem II
42 matches
Almere City FC
46 matches
| Willem II | Statistic | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 24 |
| 9 | Draws | 5 |
| 10 | Losses | 17 |
| 63 | Goals For | 98 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 72 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.13 |
| 1.02 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 31 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 41 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 35 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 26 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.38 | Shots On Goal | 6.2 |
| 14.28 | Total Shots | 16.73 |
| 5.59 | Corners | 6.83 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 48.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Willem II hold an advantage after winning the first leg 2-1, so Almere City FC now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Almere City FC controlled more possession in the first leg (56% against 44%). both sides produced the same number of shots on target. Almere City FC circulated the ball more often, making 512 passes to 399 and completing 427. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Almere City FC having the stronger overall control. Willem II come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Almere City FC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Ahead of this knockout test, Willem II arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 68 points after 38 matches. The return of 20 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 59:42 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking influence is driven by D. Haen (18 goals), Thomas Verheydt (10 goals), N. Doodeman (6 goals), with creative support from N. Doodeman (17 assists), D. Haen (4 assists), Thomas Verheydt (3 assists), and at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Almere City FC come into this tie placed 5 in their league with 58 points from 38 matches. With 18 wins, 4 draws, and 16 losses plus a goal ratio of 78:63, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on J. Rijkhoff (18 goals), F. Druijf (15 goals), E. Poku (11 goals), with creative support from J. Kadile (7 assists), M. de Haan (7 assists), E. Poku (6 assists), while defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Willem II won 6 times, Almere City FC won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from Willem II's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.78 goals per game.
Lineups
Willem II
FC Volendam
Willem II
FC Volendam
Willem II
Almere City FC
Willem II
Waalwijk
Willem II
Waalwijk
Willem II
Waalwijk
Willem II
Dordrecht
Willem II
Jong AZ
Willem II
Almere City FC
Willem II
Roda
Willem II
Jong PSV U21
Willem II
De Graafschap
Willem II
MVV
Willem II
FC OSS
Willem II
Den Bosch
Willem II
Emmen
Willem II
ADO Den Haag
Willem II
Vitesse
Willem II
Jong Utrecht
Willem II
Waalwijk
Almere City FC
Willem II
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
VVV Venlo
Almere City FC
Dordrecht
Almere City FC
Willem II
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
FC OSS
Almere City FC
Jong Ajax
Almere City FC
Waalwijk
Almere City FC
Vitesse
Almere City FC
ADO Den Haag
Almere City FC
Cambuur
Almere City FC
Jong Utrecht
Almere City FC
FC Eindhoven
Willem II
FC Volendam
Willem II
Waalwijk
Willem II
Jong AZ
Willem II
Almere City FC
Willem II
Jong PSV U21
Willem II
De Graafschap
Willem II
Den Bosch
Willem II
ADO Den Haag
Willem II
Vitesse
Willem II
Waalwijk
Willem II
VVV Venlo
Willem II
Cambuur
Willem II
Dordrecht
Willem II
Emmen
Willem II
FC OSS
Willem II
MVV
Willem II
Roda
Willem II
Helmond Sport
Willem II
Jong Ajax
Willem II
Jong Utrecht
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
VVV Venlo
Almere City FC
Willem II
Almere City FC
Jong Ajax
Almere City FC
Vitesse
Almere City FC
Cambuur
Almere City FC
Jong Utrecht
Almere City FC
FC Eindhoven
Almere City FC
MVV
Almere City FC
Jong AZ
Almere City FC
Jong PSV U21
Almere City FC
FC OSS
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
Dordrecht
Almere City FC
Roda
Almere City FC
Helmond Sport
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
ADO Den Haag
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 |
Willem II
Home
|
38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 4 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Almere City FC
Away
|
38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
L
W
L
L
L
|