🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
27.09.2026 02:30
BC Place

Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vancouver Whitecaps Win 57%
Draw 14.2%
DC United Win 28.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vancouver Whitecaps1.73
DC United1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
WWDLW
61 GF / 34 GA
DC United DC United
WLDWL
32 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
13
BTTS Yes
16
18
Over 2.5
15
6.14
Shots on Goal
4.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 33 matches
DC United DC United 28 matches
Vancouver Whitecaps Statistic DC United
17 Wins 6
5 Draws 13
11 Losses 9
61 Goals For 32
34 Goals Against 43
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
13 BTTS Yes 16
26 Over 1.5 19
18 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 9
14 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 10
6.14 Shots On Goal 4.44
17.31 Total Shots 12.88
6.21 Corners 4.84
57.4% Ball Possession 38.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Vancouver Whitecaps's more proactive style and DC United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vancouver Whitecaps expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and DC United in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward DC United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring DC United. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Vancouver Whitecaps arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 46 points compared to DC United in 11 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 46 points after 24 outings. They have recorded 14 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a 53:23 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Brian White (9 goals), Thomas Müller (5 goals), Sebastian Berhalter (4 goals), with creative support from Thomas Müller (4 assists), Oliver Larraz (4 assists), Bruno Quiñonez (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

DC United Analysis

So far, DC United have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 29 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 30:37 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tai Baribo (9 goals), Louis Munteanu (5 goals), Lucas Bartlett (3 goals), with creative support from Keisuke Kurokawa (5 assists), João Peglow (2 assists), Silvan Hefti (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps won 1 times, DC United won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:11 from Vancouver Whitecaps's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1 / DC United 4-3-3
H2H summary: Vancouver Whitecaps wins 1, draws 2, DC United wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)