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14.11.2026 15:00
DW Stadium

Wigan vs Barnsley Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 72%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
72%
1.40 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.60 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Wigan Win 43.3%
Draw 28.7%
Barnsley Win 28%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wigan1.44
Barnsley1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wigan Wigan
W W D W L
8 GF / 6 GA
Barnsley Barnsley
W W D L L
15 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
9
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
15
3.83
Shots on Goal
5.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wigan Wigan 22 matches
Barnsley Barnsley 22 matches
Wigan Statistic Barnsley
8 Wins 7
3 Draws 4
11 Losses 11
26 Goals For 37
32 Goals Against 40
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
9 BTTS Yes 15
15 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 4
3.83 Shots On Goal 5.63
12.89 Total Shots 17.88
5.22 Corners 7.38
49.7% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wigan expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Barnsley in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Barnsley having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Barnsley. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Wigan Analysis

Wigan approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 21 with 11 points from 14 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats with a 11:22 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Saydee (3 goals), J. Weir (2 goals), M. Power (1 goals), with creative support from C. Barrett (2 assists), M. Power (1 assists), B. Burrows (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barnsley Analysis

With 9 points from 12 games and a place of 23, Barnsley still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 12:22, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through C. McGeehan (3 goals), Vimal Yoganathan (3 goals), R. Cleary (2 goals), with creative support from Patrick Kelly (2 assists), R. Cleary (1 assists), A. Kay (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wigan won 3 times, Barnsley won 2 times, while 10 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from Wigan's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (72%)
Predicted formations: Wigan 5-3-2 / Barnsley 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Wigan wins 3, draws 10, Barnsley wins 2

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 5 1 28:12 16 29
D W W W W
2 14 8 2 4 26:14 12 26
W L D W W
3 13 7 5 1 22:11 11 26
W D W D W
4 14 7 3 4 27:21 6 24
D W W W W
5 14 7 2 5 21:19 2 23
D W L L W
6 14 6 4 4 25:15 10 22
L D W W L
7 13 6 4 3 10:8 2 22
L D D W D
8 14 5 6 3 21:21 0 21
L D L D W
9 13 5 5 3 22:14 8 20
D D L L W
10 13 5 4 4 22:19 3 19
D W L W W
11 13 5 4 4 20:18 2 19
D L W W D
12 13 4 6 3 22:20 2 18
W W W L W
13 13 4 6 3 21:23 -2 18
W D D W L
14 13 5 2 6 19:14 5 17
W L L W D
15 14 4 5 5 18:21 -3 17
L W D D L
16 12 4 4 4 17:13 4 16
D L W L W
17 12 3 5 4 13:14 -1 14
W D W L L
18 13 3 4 6 9:21 -12 13
L D L L L
19 12 3 3 6 17:21 -4 12
D L W L L
20 13 3 3 7 14:22 -8 12
L L W L L
21
Wigan Home
14 3 2 9 11:22 -11 11
D W L L L
22 13 2 4 7 11:23 -12 10
L D L D W
23 12 2 3 7 12:22 -10 9
D L L L L
24 13 2 3 8 13:33 -20 9
L L D L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two