Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
West Ham Win 59.2%
Draw 12.3%
Derby Win 28.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
West Ham1.61
Derby1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
West Ham
WWDLW
11 GF / 7 GA
Derby
WLDWL
11 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
5
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
3.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
West Ham
7 matches
Derby
9 matches
| West Ham | Statistic | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 5 |
| 11 | Goals For | 11 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 3.67 |
| 16.33 | Total Shots | 12.67 |
| 8 | Corners | 5.33 |
| 64.7% | Ball Possession | 46% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, West Ham won 2 times, Derby won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from West Ham's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.7%)
Predicted formations: West Ham 4-4-1-1 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: West Ham wins 2, draws 0, Derby wins 1
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
W
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 2 |
W
W
L
|
|
| 19 |
West Ham
Home
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
D
L
D
|
| 20 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
L
D
D
|
|
| 21 |
Derby
Away
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
L
D
L
|
| 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One