ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
05.09.2026 14:00
The Hawthorns
Referee: Michael Salisbury, England
West Brom
Match Timeline
Watford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Martín Payero
Watford
🟨
34'
Jimmy Morgan
West Brom
36'
J. Morgan · Assist: H. Whitwell
West Brom
🟨
42'
Ousmane Diakité
West Brom
🔄
46'
J. Zemura ↔ E. Kayembe
Watford
🔄
59'
A. Eames ↔ S. Coulibaly
Watford
🟨
63'
Edo Kayembe
Watford
🔄
67'
O. Maamma ↔ S. Mavididi
Watford
🔄
67'
M. Payero ↔ A. Nabizada
Watford
🔄
73'
R. Nzingoula ↔ J. Molumby
West Brom
🔄
73'
A. Heggebo ↔ F. Myhre
West Brom
🔄
81'
C. Mepham ↔ N. Phillips
West Brom
🔄
82'
J. Morgan ↔ B. Stewart
West Brom
🔄
82'
L. Kjerrumgaard ↔ M. Doumbia
Watford
🟨
88'
Nathaniel Phillips
West Brom
🟨
89'
Harry Whitwell
West Brom
🟨
90+5'
Isaac Price
West Brom
🟨
90+5'
Iker Bravo
Watford

West Brom vs Watford Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.4%
Odds 1.85
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.90
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.4%
1.85
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.90
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.5%
1.32
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
West Brom Win 82.4%
Draw 5.6%
Watford Win 12%
Expected Goals (xG)
West Brom2
Watford1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
West Brom West Brom
WWDLW
20 GF / 8 GA
Watford Watford
WLDWL
10 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
4
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

West Brom West Brom 8 matches
Watford Watford 8 matches
West Brom Statistic Watford
6 Wins 2
1 Draws 3
1 Losses 3
20 Goals For 10
8 Goals Against 10
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
6 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 2
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.25
11.75 Total Shots 12.75
4.75 Corners 3.25
55.3% Ball Possession 38.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, West Brom won 3 times, Watford won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from West Brom's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: West Brom 4-2-3-1 / Watford 4-2-3-1
Missing players: West Brom 1, Watford 5
H2H summary: West Brom wins 3, draws 6, Watford wins 6

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 10:7 3 14
D W W D L
5 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
6 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
7 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
8 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
9 6 3 2 1 14:10 4 11
W D L W W
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 7 3 0 4 13:13 0 9
L W W L W
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
18 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
19 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
20 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
21 7 2 1 4 7:12 -5 7
W L L L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One