ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
The Hawthorns
Referee: A. Backhouse
West Brom
Match Timeline
Watford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Callum Styles
West Brom
21'
I. Price · Assist: D. Imray
West Brom
🟨
28'
Daniel Imray
West Brom
🟨
31'
Matthew Pollock
Watford
41'
D. Dike
West Brom
🟨
45+1'
Nestory Irankunda
Watford
🔄
46'
N. Irankunda ↔ I. Louza
Watford
🟨
48'
James Abankwah
Watford
🟨
51'
Jayson Molumby
West Brom
🔄
62'
G. Chakvetadze ↔ K. Baah
Watford
🔄
63'
J. Petris ↔ J. Ngakia
Watford
69'
D. Imray
West Brom
🔄
74'
J. Molumby ↔ K. Grant
West Brom
🔄
74'
D. Dike ↔ A. Heggebo
West Brom
🔄
75'
L. Kjerrumgaard ↔ M. Doumbia
Watford
🔄
82'
I. Price ↔ T. Bany
West Brom
🔄
82'
J. Maja ↔ J. Jimoh-Aloba
West Brom
🟨
86'
Alex Mowatt
West Brom

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
100%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
53.4%
-
Probability Distribution
West Brom Win 48.6%
Draw 0%
Watford Win 51.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
West Brom1.14
Watford1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
West Brom West Brom
WWDLW
46 GF / 60 GA
Watford Watford
WLDWL
53 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.02
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
24
BTTS Yes
27
20
Over 2.5
20
3.96
Shots on Goal
4.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

West Brom West Brom 45 matches
Watford Watford 44 matches
West Brom Statistic Watford
12 Wins 14
14 Draws 15
19 Losses 15
46 Goals For 53
60 Goals Against 58
1.02 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
24 BTTS Yes 27
31 Over 1.5 35
20 Over 2.5 20
9 Over 3.5 10
12 Clean Sheets 7
14 Failed To Score 12
3.96 Shots On Goal 4.43
13.27 Total Shots 13.93
5.27 Corners 5.09
51% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Watford's more proactive style and West Brom's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Watford arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Watford. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

West Brom Analysis

West Brom approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 49 points from 43 matches. The overall return of 12 wins, 13 draws, and 18 defeats with a 42:56 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Heggebo (9 goals), I. Price (8 goals), George Campbell (5 goals), with creative support from M. Johnston (9 assists), A. Heggebo (4 assists), Alex Mowatt (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without K. Bielik, M. Johnston, J. Wallace, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

Watford Analysis

Watford approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 57 points from 43 matches. Their record of 14 wins, 15 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 52:51, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Kjerrumgaard (9 goals), I. Louza (7 goals), Mamadou Doumbia (5 goals), with creative support from I. Louza (9 assists), N. Irankunda (4 assists), Jeremy Ngakia (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with H. Kyprianou, R. Vata, J. Abankwah unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, West Brom won 3 times, Watford won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from West Brom's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: West Brom 4-4-2 / Watford 4-4-2
Missing players: West Brom 3, Watford 3
H2H summary: West Brom wins 3, draws 6, Watford wins 6
Stats
West Brom West Brom
Watford Watford
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 2
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
485 Total passes 358
391 Passes accurate 269
1.48 expected_goals 0.61
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

West Brom
Formation
Watford
M. O'Leary
M. O'Leary
D. Imray
🎯
D. Imray
N. Phillips
N. Phillips
G. Campbell
G. Campbell
C. Styles
C. Styles
J. Molumby
J. Molumby
O. Diakite
O. Diakite
A. Mowatt
A. Mowatt
I. Price
I. Price
D. Dike
D. Dike
J. Maja
J. Maja
E. Selvik
E. Selvik
J. Petris
J. Petris
M. Pollock
M. Pollock
J. Abankwah
J. Abankwah
K. Keben
K. Keben
N. Irankunda
N. Irankunda
N. Mendy
N. Mendy
E. Kayembe
E. Kayembe
O. Maamma
O. Maamma
L. Kjerrumgaard
L. Kjerrumgaard
G. Chakvetadze
G. Chakvetadze
West Brom 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
M. O'Leary
G
30
D. Imray
⚽ 69' 🎯 21' 🟨 28'
D
3
N. Phillips
D
6
G. Campbell
D
4
C. Styles
🟨 11'
D
8
J. Molumby
↓ 74' 🟨 51'
M
17
O. Diakite
M
27
A. Mowatt
🟨 86'
M
21
I. Price
⚽ 21' ↓ 82'
M
12
D. Dike
⚽ 41' ↓ 74'
F
9
J. Maja
↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
20
J. Griffiths
G
29
C. Taylor
D
43
E. Sule
F
37
O. Bostock
F
10
K. Grant
↑ 74'
F
19
A. Heggebo
↑ 74'
F
14
A. Gilchrist
D
26
T. Bany
↑ 82'
F
18
J. Jimoh-Aloba
↑ 82'
M
Watford 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
E. Selvik
G
29
J. Petris
↓ 63'
D
6
M. Pollock
🟨 31'
D
25
J. Abankwah
🟨 48'
D
4
K. Keben
D
66
N. Irankunda
↓ 46' 🟨 45+1'
M
23
N. Mendy
M
39
E. Kayembe
M
42
O. Maamma
M
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
↓ 75'
F
8
G. Chakvetadze
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Baxter
G
7
T. Ince
M
16
M. Bola
D
2
J. Ngakia
↑ 63'
D
15
E. Bove
M
20
M. Doumbia
↑ 75'
F
10
I. Louza
↑ 46'
M
34
K. Baah
↑ 62'
F
53
A. Nabizada
F
Last matches: West Brom
17.07.26
Fri
West Brom
Bromley
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
West Brom
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
West Brom
Sheffield Wednesday
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Ipswich
0
0
D
18.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Preston
2
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Millwall
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Blackburn
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Wrexham
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Bristol City
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Hull City
3
0
W
11.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Southampton
1
1
D
07.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Oxford United
1
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Charlton
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Coventry
0
2
L
14.02.26
FA
West Brom
Norwich
1
3
L
10.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Birmingham
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Stoke City
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
West Brom
Portsmouth
0
3
L
23.01.26
Cha
West Brom
Derby
1
1
D
Last matches: Watford
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Watford
Swansea
0
2
L
24.01.26
Cha
Watford
Blackburn
1
1
D
H2H: West Brom vs Watford
21.04.26
H2H
West Brom
Watford
3
0
W
22.10.25
H2H
Watford
West Brom
2
1
L
12.04.25
H2H
West Brom
Watford
2
1
W
15.12.24
H2H
Watford
West Brom
2
1
L
01.04.24
H2H
West Brom
Watford
2
2
D
20.09.23
H2H
Watford
West Brom
2
2
D
20.02.23
H2H
Watford
West Brom
3
2
L
08.08.22
H2H
West Brom
Watford
1
1
D
24.07.21
H2H
Watford
West Brom
0
0
D
03.03.18
H2H
Watford
West Brom
1
0
L
30.09.17
H2H
West Brom
Watford
2
2
D
04.04.17
H2H
Watford
West Brom
2
0
L
03.12.16
H2H
West Brom
Watford
3
1
W
16.04.16
H2H
West Brom
Watford
0
1
L
15.08.15
H2H
Watford
West Brom
0
0
D
Last matches: West Brom
17.07.26
Fri
West Brom
Bromley
4
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Ipswich
0
0
D
10.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Millwall
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Wrexham
2
2
D
14.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Hull City
3
0
W
11.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Southampton
1
1
D
24.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Charlton
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Coventry
0
2
L
07.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Stoke City
0
0
D
20.01.26
Cha
West Brom
Norwich
0
5
L
16.01.26
Cha
West Brom
Middlesbrough
2
3
L
29.12.25
Cha
West Brom
QPR
2
1
W
26.12.25
Cha
West Brom
Bristol City
1
2
L
12.12.25
Cha
West Brom
Sheffield Utd
2
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
West Brom
Swansea
3
2
W
26.11.25
Cha
West Brom
Birmingham
1
1
D
08.11.25
Cha
West Brom
Oxford United
2
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
West Brom
Sheffield Wednesday
0
0
D
18.10.25
Cha
West Brom
Preston
2
1
W
26.09.25
Cha
West Brom
Leicester
1
1
D
H2H at home: West Brom
21.04.26
H2H
West Brom
Watford
3
0
W
12.04.25
H2H
West Brom
Watford
2
1
W
01.04.24
H2H
West Brom
Watford
2
2
D
08.08.22
H2H
West Brom
Watford
1
1
D
30.09.17
H2H
West Brom
Watford
2
2
D
03.12.16
H2H
West Brom
Watford
3
1
W
16.04.16
H2H
West Brom
Watford
0
1
L
Last matches: Watford
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Watford
Blackburn
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Watford
Bristol City
1
5
L
29.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
2
2
D
01.12.25
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
1
2
L
22.11.25
Cha
Watford
Derby
3
2
W
04.11.25
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
1
1
D
25.10.25
Cha
Watford
Coventry
1
3
L
H2H away: Watford
21.04.26
H2H
West Brom
Watford
3
0
L
12.04.25
H2H
West Brom
Watford
2
1
L
01.04.24
H2H
West Brom
Watford
2
2
D
08.08.22
H2H
West Brom
Watford
1
1
D
30.09.17
H2H
West Brom
Watford
2
2
D
03.12.16
H2H
West Brom
Watford
3
1
L
16.04.16
H2H
West Brom
Watford
0
1
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

West Brom 3 missing
-
K. Bielik
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
M. Johnston
Missing Fixture Broken Leg
OUT
-
J. Wallace
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Watford 3 missing
-
H. Kyprianou
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
R. Vata
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
J. Grieves
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT