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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
23.08.2026 11:00
The Hawthorns
Referee: Anthony Backhouse, England
West Brom
Match Timeline
Burnley
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
C. Styles
Burnley
⚽
18'
H. Whitwell · Assist: J. Morgan
West Brom
🟨
26'
Oliver Sonne
Burnley
🟨
33'
George Campbell
West Brom
🔄
46'
O. Sonne ↔ C. Roberts
Burnley
⚽
46'
I. Price
West Brom
🔄
57'
A. Broja ↔ U. Raghouber
Burnley
🔄
57'
J. Laurent ↔ D. Satpaev
Burnley
🔄
57'
H. Mejbri ↔ Z. Amdouni
Burnley
⚽
65'
I. Price
West Brom
🟨
70'
Marcus Edwards
Burnley
🔄
78'
J. Morgan ↔ B. Stewart
West Brom
🔄
78'
B. Humphreys ↔ Lucas Pires
Burnley
🔄
81'
H. Whitwell ↔ R. Nzingoula
West Brom
🔄
90+4'
J. Molumby ↔ C. Mepham
West Brom

West Brom vs Burnley Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
West Brom Win 84.7%
Draw 6.6%
Burnley Win 8.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
West Brom2.66
Burnley0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
West Brom West Brom
WWDLW
15 GF / 3 GA
Burnley Burnley
WLDWL
8 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
2.14
3
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

West Brom West Brom 5 matches
Burnley Burnley 7 matches
West Brom Statistic Burnley
5 Wins 0
0 Draws 3
0 Losses 4
15 Goals For 8
3 Goals Against 15
3 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 2.14
3 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 6
9 Total Shots 18
2 Corners 5
46% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, West Brom won 4 times, Burnley won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:11 from West Brom's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: West Brom 4-2-3-1 / Burnley 4-2-3-1
Missing players: West Brom 4, Burnley 6
H2H summary: West Brom wins 4, draws 7, Burnley wins 2

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:7 9 23
W W W W L
2 10 6 3 1 20:14 6 21
W W D D W
3 10 4 5 1 17:11 6 17
W W D W L
4 10 5 2 3 12:10 2 17
W L L D W
5 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
6 10 5 1 4 17:16 1 16
L W W W D
7 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
W W D W L
8 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
9 9 4 2 3 16:14 2 14
L L W W D
10 10 4 2 4 16:16 0 14
L W D D L
11 10 4 2 4 12:14 -2 14
L D W L L
12 10 3 5 2 10:13 -3 14
D D L D D
13 9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
14 10 4 1 5 15:18 -3 13
W L W W L
15 9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
16 10 2 5 3 11:15 -4 11
L D W L D
17 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
18 10 2 4 4 16:15 1 10
W L W L D
19 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
20 8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
21 10 1 5 4 15:19 -4 8
D W D L D
22 10 2 2 6 8:19 -11 8
L L L L W
23 9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24 10 1 1 8 8:20 -12 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One