ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
The Hawthorns

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
West Brom Win 84.7%
Draw 6.6%
Burnley Win 8.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
West Brom2.66
Burnley0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
West Brom West Brom
WWDLW
15 GF / 3 GA
Burnley Burnley
WLDWL
8 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
2.14
3
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

West Brom West Brom 5 matches
Burnley Burnley 7 matches
West Brom Statistic Burnley
5 Wins 0
0 Draws 3
0 Losses 4
15 Goals For 8
3 Goals Against 15
3 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 2.14
3 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 6
9 Total Shots 18
2 Corners 5
46% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, West Brom won 3 times, Burnley won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:10 from West Brom's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: West Brom - / Burnley 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: West Brom wins 3, draws 7, Burnley wins 2
Last matches: West Brom
15.08.26
Cha
West Brom
Norwich
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
West Brom
Peterborough
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
West Brom
Shrewsbury
4
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
West Brom
Bromley
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
West Brom
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
West Brom
Sheffield Wednesday
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Ipswich
0
0
D
21.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Watford
3
0
W
18.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Preston
2
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Millwall
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Blackburn
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Wrexham
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Bristol City
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Hull City
3
0
W
11.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Southampton
1
1
D
07.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Oxford United
1
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Charlton
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Coventry
0
2
L
14.02.26
FA
West Brom
Norwich
1
3
L
Last matches: Burnley
16.08.26
Cha
Burnley
West Ham
2
2
D
02.08.26
Fri
Burnley
Torino
0
1
L
29.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Espanyol
2
2
D
26.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Ajax
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
1
4
L
12.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
1
3
L
24.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
1
3
L
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
11.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
H2H: West Brom vs Burnley
11.03.25
H2H
Burnley
West Brom
1
1
D
07.11.24
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
0
0
D
20.01.23
H2H
Burnley
West Brom
2
1
L
02.09.22
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
1
1
D
20.02.21
H2H
Burnley
West Brom
0
0
D
19.10.20
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
0
0
D
31.03.18
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
1
2
L
19.08.17
H2H
Burnley
West Brom
0
1
W
06.05.17
H2H
Burnley
West Brom
2
2
D
21.11.16
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
4
0
W
08.02.15
H2H
Burnley
West Brom
2
2
D
28.09.14
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
4
0
W
Last matches: West Brom
17.07.26
Fri
West Brom
Bromley
4
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Ipswich
0
0
D
21.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Watford
3
0
W
10.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Millwall
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
West Brom
Wrexham
2
2
D
14.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Hull City
3
0
W
11.03.26
Cha
West Brom
Southampton
1
1
D
24.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Charlton
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Coventry
0
2
L
07.02.26
Cha
West Brom
Stoke City
0
0
D
20.01.26
Cha
West Brom
Norwich
0
5
L
16.01.26
Cha
West Brom
Middlesbrough
2
3
L
29.12.25
Cha
West Brom
QPR
2
1
W
26.12.25
Cha
West Brom
Bristol City
1
2
L
12.12.25
Cha
West Brom
Sheffield Utd
2
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
West Brom
Swansea
3
2
W
26.11.25
Cha
West Brom
Birmingham
1
1
D
08.11.25
Cha
West Brom
Oxford United
2
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
West Brom
Sheffield Wednesday
0
0
D
18.10.25
Cha
West Brom
Preston
2
1
W
H2H at home: West Brom
07.11.24
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
0
0
D
02.09.22
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
1
1
D
19.10.20
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
0
0
D
31.03.18
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
1
2
L
21.11.16
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
4
0
W
28.09.14
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
4
0
W
Last matches: Burnley
26.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Ajax
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
1
4
L
12.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
1
3
L
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
11.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
3
2
W
02.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Sunderland
0
3
L
17.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Liverpool
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
20.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
1
1
D
06.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Newcastle
1
2
L
29.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
1
3
L
08.11.25
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
2
3
L
26.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
3
2
W
05.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
1
2
L
H2H away: Burnley
07.11.24
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
0
0
D
02.09.22
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
1
1
D
19.10.20
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
0
0
D
31.03.18
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
1
2
W
21.11.16
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
4
0
L
28.09.14
H2H
West Brom
Burnley
4
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
9 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
10 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
11 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
12 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
13 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
14 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
15 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
16 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
17 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
18 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
19 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
21 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 -4
L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One