Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
73%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
78.9%
|
- |
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Wellington Phoenix
24 matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
24 matches
| Wellington Phoenix | Statistic | Western Sydney Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 5 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 10 | Losses | 13 |
| 34 | Goals For | 26 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.63 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.75 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 12.63 | Total Shots | 15.38 |
| 5.38 | Corners | 5.33 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 51.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Western Sydney Wanderers. Western Sydney Wanderers arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wellington Phoenix expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Western Sydney Wanderers in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Western Sydney Wanderers having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 24 matches, Wellington Phoenix have collected 30 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, while the 34:43 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Eze (10 goals), C. Armiento (5 goals), C. Piper (4 goals), with creative support from T. Payne (5 assists), C. Piper (4 assists), K. Nagasawa (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with S. Singh, N. Walker unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Western Sydney Wanderers sit 12 with 21 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 26:39, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through B. Kraev (5 goals), B. Borrello (4 goals), K. Barbarouses (4 goals), with creative support from R. Fraser (3 assists), Angus Thurgate (3 assists), Dylan Scicluna (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Simmons, J. Farrell unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wellington Phoenix won 5 times, Western Sydney Wanderers won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:26 from Wellington Phoenix's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Wellington Phoenix
6
7
7
3
5
0
Lineups
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
Brisbane Roar
Western Sydney Wanderers
Newcastle Jets
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
Western Sydney Wanderers
Central Coast Mariners
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
Western Sydney Wanderers
Perth Glory
Western Sydney Wanderers
Newcastle Jets
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
Auckland
Western Sydney Wanderers
Brisbane Roar
Western Sydney Wanderers
Perth Glory
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
Western Sydney Wanderers
Brisbane Roar
Western Sydney Wanderers
Newcastle Jets
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
Western Sydney Wanderers
Central Coast Mariners
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
Perth Glory
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
Western Sydney Wanderers
Auckland
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Wellington Phoenix
Home
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|