AUSTRALIA A-LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Sky Stadium
Referee: B. Abraham
Wellington Phoenix
Match Timeline
Western Sydney Wanderers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
I. Eze · Assist: T. Payne
Wellington Phoenix
🟨
38'
Alex Rufer
Wellington Phoenix
41'
B. Borrello · Assist: A. Thurgate
Western Sydney Wanderers
56'
K. Nagasawa · Assist: T. Payne
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
59'
J. Rose ↔ A. Waraga
Western Sydney Wanderers
🔄
62'
R. Najjarine ↔ S. Kartum
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
62'
T. Payne ↔ M. Sheridan
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
78'
S. Ugarkovic ↔ H. Ibusuki
Western Sydney Wanderers
🔄
83'
C. Piper ↔ L. Brooke-Smith
Wellington Phoenix
🟨
90'
Lukas Kelly-Heald
Wellington Phoenix

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 73%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
73%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
78.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Wellington Phoenix Win 39.9%
Draw 27%
Western Sydney Wanderers Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wellington Phoenix1.5
Western Sydney Wanderers1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
WWDLW
34 GF / 43 GA
Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers
WLDWL
26 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
16
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
11
4.75
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 24 matches
Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 24 matches
Wellington Phoenix Statistic Western Sydney Wanderers
8 Wins 5
6 Draws 6
10 Losses 13
34 Goals For 26
43 Goals Against 39
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
16 BTTS Yes 12
21 Over 1.5 17
16 Over 2.5 11
11 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 8
4.75 Shots On Goal 4.5
12.63 Total Shots 15.38
5.38 Corners 5.33
49.8% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Western Sydney Wanderers. Western Sydney Wanderers arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wellington Phoenix expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Western Sydney Wanderers in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Western Sydney Wanderers having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Wellington Phoenix Analysis

From their first 24 matches, Wellington Phoenix have collected 30 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, while the 34:43 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Eze (10 goals), C. Armiento (5 goals), C. Piper (4 goals), with creative support from T. Payne (5 assists), C. Piper (4 assists), K. Nagasawa (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with S. Singh, N. Walker unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Western Sydney Wanderers Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers sit 12 with 21 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 26:39, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through B. Kraev (5 goals), B. Borrello (4 goals), K. Barbarouses (4 goals), with creative support from R. Fraser (3 assists), Angus Thurgate (3 assists), Dylan Scicluna (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Simmons, J. Farrell unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wellington Phoenix won 5 times, Western Sydney Wanderers won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:26 from Wellington Phoenix's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73%)
Predicted formations: Wellington Phoenix 4-4-2 / Western Sydney Wanderers 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Wellington Phoenix 2, Western Sydney Wanderers 2
H2H summary: Wellington Phoenix wins 5, draws 5, Western Sydney Wanderers wins 5
Stats
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
0
10 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 7
7 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 0
9 Shots insidebox 10
9 Shots outsidebox 1
6 Goalkeeper Saves 4
351 Total passes 452
281 Passes accurate 379
1.88 expected_goals 1.54
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix
Formation
Western Sydney Wanderers
J. Oluwayemi
J. Oluwayemi
T. Payne
🎯
T. Payne
B. Tuiloma
B. Tuiloma
I. Hughes
I. Hughes
L. Kelly-Heald
L. Kelly-Heald
R. Najjarine
R. Najjarine
A. Rufer
A. Rufer
P. Retre
P. Retre
K. Nagasawa
K. Nagasawa
I. Eze
I. Eze
C. Piper
C. Piper
J. Holmes
J. Holmes
D. Scicluna
D. Scicluna
N. Barrie
N. Barrie
A. Pantazopoulos
A. Pantazopoulos
A. Gersbach
A. Gersbach
S. Ugarkovic
S. Ugarkovic
A. Thurgate
🎯
A. Thurgate
J. Rose
J. Rose
B. Kraev
B. Kraev
R. Fraser
R. Fraser
B. Borrello
B. Borrello
Wellington Phoenix 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
J. Oluwayemi
G
6
T. Payne
🎯 16' 🎯 56' ↓ 62'
D
28
B. Tuiloma
D
15
I. Hughes
D
18
L. Kelly-Heald
🟨 90'
D
20
R. Najjarine
↓ 62'
M
14
A. Rufer
🟨 38'
M
8
P. Retre
M
25
K. Nagasawa
⚽ 56'
M
7
I. Eze
⚽ 16'
F
3
C. Piper
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
30
A. Kelly-Heald
16
S. Kartum
↑ 62'
M
4
M. James
D
29
L. Brooke-Smith
↑ 83'
F
11
C. Armiento
F
12
D. Edwards
D
27
M. Sheridan
↑ 62'
D
Western Sydney Wanderers 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
J. Holmes
G
5
D. Scicluna
D
24
N. Barrie
D
22
A. Pantazopoulos
D
3
A. Gersbach
D
8
S. Ugarkovic
↓ 78'
M
32
A. Thurgate
🎯 41'
M
38
J. Rose
↓ 59'
M
23
B. Kraev
M
7
R. Fraser
M
26
B. Borrello
⚽ 41'
F
Substitutes
20
L. Thomas
G
11
H. Ibusuki
↑ 78'
F
19
R. Tongyik
D
39
A. Lual
F
25
J. Brillante
M
52
A. Waraga
↑ 59'
F
53
O. Morrison
M
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
24.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
4
L
12.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
0
2
L
05.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
21.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
14.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
0
W
06.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
01.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
0
1
L
21.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
0
5
L
13.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
06.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
2
2
D
23.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
4
L
18.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
2
0
W
11.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
2
D
03.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
3
0
W
29.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
5
L
21.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
3
1
W
14.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
3
L
06.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
3
L
29.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
W
Last matches: Western Sydney Wanderers
25.04.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
0
2
L
11.04.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
0
2
L
04.04.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
0
3
L
20.03.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
2
4
L
13.03.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Brisbane Roar
2
2
D
07.03.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Newcastle Jets
1
2
L
28.02.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
4
0
W
22.02.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Central Coast Mariners
2
3
L
13.02.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
07.02.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
1
1
D
31.01.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
1
4
L
25.01.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Perth Glory
1
0
W
17.01.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Newcastle Jets
1
2
L
10.01.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
01.01.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
0
1
L
27.12.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
2
3
L
19.12.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Auckland
0
2
L
13.12.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Brisbane Roar
0
0
D
05.12.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Perth Glory
0
1
L
29.11.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
1
0
W
H2H: Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers
18.04.26
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
13.02.26
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
2
2
D
29.03.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
22.12.24
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
4
1
L
28.09.24
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
2
0
L
23.12.23
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
22.10.23
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
D
21.04.23
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
4
0
L
10.12.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
1
D
05.05.22
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
1
2
W
24.04.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
0
W
03.12.21
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
2
L
26.05.21
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
1
2
W
15.03.21
H2H
Western Sydney Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix
4
3
L
21.02.21
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
14.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
0
W
01.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
0
1
L
21.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
0
5
L
06.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
L
30.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
2
2
D
11.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
2
D
21.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
3
1
W
14.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
3
L
29.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
W
22.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
1
L
08.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
2
L
26.10.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
H2H at home: Wellington Phoenix
18.04.26
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
23.12.23
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
10.12.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
1
D
24.04.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
0
W
03.12.21
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
2
L
21.02.21
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
Last matches: Western Sydney Wanderers
04.04.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne City
0
3
L
13.03.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Brisbane Roar
2
2
D
07.03.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Newcastle Jets
1
2
L
28.02.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
4
0
W
22.02.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Central Coast Mariners
2
3
L
31.01.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney
1
4
L
10.01.26
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
27.12.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
2
3
L
05.12.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Perth Glory
0
1
L
07.11.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
0
2
L
01.11.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
1
1
D
25.10.25
A-L
Western Sydney Wanderers
Auckland
0
1
L
H2H away: Western Sydney Wanderers
18.04.26
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
23.12.23
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
L
10.12.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
1
D
24.04.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
1
0
L
03.12.21
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
2
W
21.02.21
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2 26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3 26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4 26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5 26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6 26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7 26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8 26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9 26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10 26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11 26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12 26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)

Missing Players

Wellington Phoenix 2 missing
-
S. Singh
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
N. Walker
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Western Sydney Wanderers 2 missing
-
A. Simmons
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
J. Farrell
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT