✉️ topbetpredict.com@gmail.com Register
AUSTRALIA › A-LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Wellington Phoenix
FT
2 - 3
Melbourne Victory
Sky Stadium
Referee: J. Morgan
Wellington Phoenix
Match Timeline
Melbourne Victory
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
S. Esposito · Assist: R. Piscopo
Melbourne Victory
⚽
39'
C. Armiento · Assist: R. Najjarine
Wellington Phoenix
🟨
41'
Charles Nduka
Melbourne Victory
⚽
44'
N. Velupillay · Assist: C. Nduka
Melbourne Victory
🟨
45+3'
Paulo Retre
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
63'
R. Piscopo ↔ M. Grimaldi
Melbourne Victory
🔄
63'
J. Mata ↔ K. Jelacic
Melbourne Victory
VAR
67'
Carlo Armiento
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
68'
S. Kartum ↔ L. Brooke-Smith
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
76'
C. Nduka ↔ N. Vergos
Melbourne Victory
🔄
76'
D. Genreau ↔ L. D'Arrigo
Melbourne Victory
🔄
77'
R. Najjarine ↔ C. Piper
Wellington Phoenix
⚽
77'
L. D'Arrigo · Assist: K. Jelacic
Melbourne Victory
🔄
82'
P. Retre ↔ L. Kelly-Heald
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
82'
M. James ↔ M. Sheridan
Wellington Phoenix
⚽
84'
Roderick
Wellington Phoenix
🟨
90+2'
Lukas Kelly-Heald
Wellington Phoenix

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Wellington Phoenix Win 0%
Draw 0%
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wellington Phoenix1.47
Melbourne Victory1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
WWDLW
24 GF / 28 GA
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
WLDWL
20 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
12
BTTS Yes
5
12
Over 2.5
7
5.33
Shots on Goal
5.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 15 matches
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 15 matches
Wellington Phoenix Statistic Melbourne Victory
5 Wins 6
4 Draws 2
6 Losses 7
24 Goals For 20
28 Goals Against 19
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
12 BTTS Yes 5
14 Over 1.5 9
12 Over 2.5 7
8 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 7
5.33 Shots On Goal 5.6
13.2 Total Shots 17.27
4.73 Corners 6.27
51.2% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wellington Phoenix won 4 times, Melbourne Victory won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:24 from Wellington Phoenix's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Wellington Phoenix 5-3-2 / Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Wellington Phoenix wins 4, draws 3, Melbourne Victory wins 8
Stats
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 7
7 Fouls 6
3 Offsides 1
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 6
1 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 7
2 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
529 Total passes 397
444 Passes accurate 312
0.86 expected_goals 0.74
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix
Formation
Melbourne Victory
A. Kelly-Heald
A. Kelly-Heald
T. Payne
T. Payne
M. James
↓
M. James
B. Tuiloma
B. Tuiloma
I. Hughes
I. Hughes
C. Armiento
⚽
C. Armiento
S. Kartum
↓
S. Kartum
P. Retre
↓
P. Retre
K. Nagasawa
K. Nagasawa
I. Eze
I. Eze
R. Najjarine
🎯 ↓
R. Najjarine
J. Warshawsky
J. Warshawsky
J. Rawlins
J. Rawlins
S. Esposito
⚽
S. Esposito
Roderick
⚽
Roderick
J. Davidson
J. Davidson
D. Genreau
↓
D. Genreau
J. Valadon
J. Valadon
R. Piscopo
🎯 ↓
R. Piscopo
J. Mata
↓
J. Mata
N. Velupillay
⚽
N. Velupillay
C. Nduka
🎯 ↓
C. Nduka
Wellington Phoenix 5-3-2
Starting XI
30
A. Kelly-Heald
6
T. Payne
D
4
M. James
↓ 82'
D
28
B. Tuiloma
D
15
I. Hughes
D
11
C. Armiento
⚽ 39'
D
16
S. Kartum
↓ 68'
M
8
P. Retre
↓ 82' 🟨 45+3'
M
25
K. Nagasawa
M
7
I. Eze
F
20
R. Najjarine
🎯 39' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
40
E. McCarron
G
3
C. Piper
↑ 77'
D
5
F. Conchie
M
18
L. Kelly-Heald
↑ 82' 🟨 90+2'
D
27
M. Sheridan
↑ 82'
D
29
L. Brooke-Smith
↑ 68'
F
39
J. Smith
D
Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
40
J. Warshawsky
G
22
J. Rawlins
D
15
S. Esposito
⚽ 10'
D
21
Roderick
⚽ 84'
D
2
J. Davidson
D
10
D. Genreau
↓ 76'
M
8
J. Valadon
M
7
R. Piscopo
🎯 10' ↓ 63'
M
64
J. Mata
↓ 63'
M
17
N. Velupillay
⚽ 44'
M
44
C. Nduka
🎯 44' ↓ 76' 🟨 41'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Duncan
G
9
N. Vergos
↑ 76'
F
14
M. Grimaldi
↑ 63'
F
16
J. Inserra
D
19
J. Reec
F
23
K. Jelacic
🎯 77' ↑ 63'
F
27
L. D'Arrigo
⚽ 77' ↑ 76'
M
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
24.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
4
L
18.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
0
2
L
05.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
21.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
14.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
0
W
06.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
1
1
D
01.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
0
1
L
21.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
0
5
L
13.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
2
D
30.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
2
2
D
23.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
4
L
18.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
2
0
W
11.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
2
D
03.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
3
0
W
29.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
5
L
21.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
3
1
W
14.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
3
L
06.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
3
L
29.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
W
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
02.05.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
1
L
25.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
17.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
11.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
2
2
D
05.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
L
21.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
4
1
W
15.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
4
1
W
07.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
27.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
1
D
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
3
1
W
14.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
1
1
D
01.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
26.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
4
0
W
17.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
2
L
10.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
0
1
L
02.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
3
2
W
29.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
W
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
1
0
W
13.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
2
1
W
05.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
0
0
D
H2H: Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
05.04.26
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
1
W
06.02.26
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
L
29.12.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
5
1
L
12.04.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
L
14.02.25
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
0
L
24.11.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
18.05.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
2
L
12.05.24
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
0
0
D
12.04.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
19.01.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
10.11.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
1
1
D
01.04.23
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
2
L
03.02.23
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
L
29.04.22
H2H
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
L
09.02.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
Last matches: Wellington Phoenix
18.04.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
14.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Perth Glory
2
0
W
01.03.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
0
1
L
21.02.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
0
5
L
30.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne City
2
2
D
11.01.26
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
2
D
21.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
3
1
W
14.12.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle Jets
1
3
L
29.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
2
1
W
22.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur
0
1
L
08.11.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
1
2
L
26.10.25
A-L
Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
H2H at home: Wellington Phoenix
06.02.26
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
L
12.04.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
L
24.11.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
18.05.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
2
L
12.04.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
19.01.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
01.04.23
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
2
L
09.02.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
Last matches: Melbourne Victory
25.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
0
W
11.04.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
2
2
D
07.03.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
2
2
D
21.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
3
1
W
01.02.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
17.01.26
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Adelaide United
1
2
L
20.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
1
0
W
05.12.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Macarthur
0
0
D
28.11.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Brisbane Roar
0
1
L
22.11.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Sydney
0
3
L
31.10.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Perth Glory
2
0
W
24.10.25
A-L
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
2
5
L
H2H away: Melbourne Victory
06.02.26
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
W
12.04.25
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
2
3
W
24.11.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
L
18.05.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
12.04.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
L
19.01.24
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
1
D
01.04.23
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
2
W
09.02.22
H2H
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
1
0
L

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Newcastle Jets
26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2
Adelaide United
26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3
Auckland
26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4
Melbourne Victory Away
26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5
Sydney
26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6
Melbourne City
26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7
Macarthur
26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8
Wellington Phoenix Home
26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9
Central Coast Mariners
26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10
Perth Glory
26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11
Brisbane Roar
26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12
Western Sydney Wanderers
26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)