ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Vicarage Road

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.7%
1.25
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.65
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.10
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 33.3%
Draw 18.5%
West Ham Win 48.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.23
West Ham1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
9 GF / 7 GA
West Ham West Ham
WLDWL
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
2
4.5
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 6 matches
West Ham West Ham 6 matches
Watford Statistic West Ham
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 4
2 Losses 1
9 Goals For 9
7 Goals Against 5
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
4.5 Shots On Goal 5.5
13 Total Shots 18
3.5 Corners 6.5
37.5% Ball Possession 66%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 4 times, West Ham won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:28 from Watford's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.21 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.5%)
Predicted formations: Watford 4-2-3-1 / West Ham 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Watford wins 4, draws 2, West Ham wins 8
Last matches: Watford
22.08.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
1
1
D
16.08.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
Last matches: West Ham
22.08.26
Cha
West Ham
Charlton
0
1
L
16.08.26
Cha
West Ham
Burnley
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
West Ham
1. FC Magdeburg
1
1
D
26.07.26
Fri
West Ham
Rangers
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
West Ham
Stevenage
5
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
West Ham
Southend
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
West Ham
Leeds
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
West Ham
Newcastle
1
3
L
10.05.26
Pre
West Ham
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
West Ham
Brentford
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
West Ham
Everton
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pre
West Ham
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
10.04.26
Pre
West Ham
Wolves
4
0
W
05.04.26
FA
West Ham
Leeds
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pre
West Ham
Aston Villa
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
West Ham
Manchester City
1
1
D
09.03.26
FA
West Ham
Brentford
2
2
D
04.03.26
Pre
West Ham
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
West Ham
Liverpool
2
5
L
21.02.26
Pre
West Ham
Bournemouth
0
0
D
H2H: Watford vs West Ham
08.02.22
H2H
West Ham
Watford
1
0
L
28.12.21
H2H
Watford
West Ham
1
4
L
17.07.20
H2H
West Ham
Watford
3
1
L
24.08.19
H2H
Watford
West Ham
1
3
L
12.05.19
H2H
Watford
West Ham
1
4
L
22.12.18
H2H
West Ham
Watford
0
2
W
10.02.18
H2H
West Ham
Watford
2
0
L
19.11.17
H2H
Watford
West Ham
2
0
W
25.02.17
H2H
Watford
West Ham
1
1
D
10.09.16
H2H
West Ham
Watford
2
4
W
20.04.16
H2H
West Ham
Watford
3
1
L
31.10.15
H2H
Watford
West Ham
2
0
W
07.03.12
H2H
West Ham
Watford
1
1
D
16.08.11
H2H
Watford
West Ham
0
4
L
Last matches: Watford
16.08.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Watford
Swansea
0
2
L
21.01.26
Cha
Watford
Portsmouth
1
1
D
17.01.26
Cha
Watford
Millwall
0
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
0
W
09.12.25
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
3
2
W
25.11.25
Cha
Watford
Preston
1
1
D
07.11.25
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
3
0
W
H2H at home: Watford
28.12.21
H2H
Watford
West Ham
1
4
L
24.08.19
H2H
Watford
West Ham
1
3
L
12.05.19
H2H
Watford
West Ham
1
4
L
19.11.17
H2H
Watford
West Ham
2
0
W
25.02.17
H2H
Watford
West Ham
1
1
D
31.10.15
H2H
Watford
West Ham
2
0
W
16.08.11
H2H
Watford
West Ham
0
4
L
Last matches: West Ham
16.08.26
Cha
West Ham
Burnley
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
West Ham
1. FC Magdeburg
1
1
D
26.07.26
Fri
West Ham
Rangers
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
West Ham
Stevenage
5
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
West Ham
Southend
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
West Ham
Newcastle
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
West Ham
Brentford
0
3
L
20.04.26
Pre
West Ham
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pre
West Ham
Aston Villa
0
2
L
04.03.26
Pre
West Ham
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
West Ham
Liverpool
2
5
L
14.02.26
FA
West Ham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
West Ham
Burnley
2
0
W
31.01.26
Pre
West Ham
Chelsea
2
3
L
17.01.26
Pre
West Ham
Tottenham
2
1
W
03.01.26
Pre
West Ham
Wolves
0
3
L
20.12.25
Pre
West Ham
Manchester City
0
3
L
07.12.25
Pre
West Ham
Brighton
1
1
D
04.12.25
Pre
West Ham
Manchester United
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
West Ham
Bournemouth
2
2
D
H2H away: West Ham
28.12.21
H2H
Watford
West Ham
1
4
W
24.08.19
H2H
Watford
West Ham
1
3
W
12.05.19
H2H
Watford
West Ham
1
4
W
19.11.17
H2H
Watford
West Ham
2
0
L
25.02.17
H2H
Watford
West Ham
1
1
D
31.10.15
H2H
Watford
West Ham
2
0
L
16.08.11
H2H
Watford
West Ham
0
4
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.85
Draw 3.88
Home 3.94
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.37
Draw 2.47
Home 4.35
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.25 1.47
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 2.75 1.81
Over 3.0 2.05
Over 3.25 2.33
Over 3.5 2.58
Over 4.5 4.59
Under 1.5 4.63
Under 2.25 2.74
Under 2.5 2.29
Under 2.75 2.05
Under 3.0 1.80
Under 3.25 1.62
Under 3.5 1.51
Under 4.5 1.20
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.83
Draw 3.80
Home 3.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 2.40
Home 4.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.10
Draw 2.62
Home 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 9.00
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 34.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.30
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.85
Draw 3.76
Home 3.82
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.36
Draw 2.26
Home 4.36
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.13
Draw 2.71
Home 3.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.06
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 1.75 1.19
Over 2.0 1.24
Over 2.25 1.45
Over 2.5 1.63
Over 2.75 1.78
Over 3.0 1.96
Over 3.25 2.20
Over 3.5 2.45
Over 3.75 2.87
Over 4.0 3.74
Over 4.25 4.10
Over 4.5 4.45
Over 4.75 5.60
Over 5.0 7.90
Over 5.5 8.70
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 34.00
Under 0.5 12.30
Under 1.0 9.20
Under 1.25 6.17
Under 1.5 4.40
Under 1.75 3.98
Under 2.0 3.52
Under 2.25 2.68
Under 2.5 2.23
Under 2.75 2.00
Under 3.0 1.72
Under 3.25 1.54
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 3.75 1.32
Under 4.0 1.19
Under 4.25 1.16
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 4.75 1.08
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.85
Draw 3.70
Home 3.85
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.30
Draw 2.30
Home 3.85
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.14
Draw 2.80
Home 3.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.61
Over 2.75 1.76
Over 3.0 2.00
Over 3.25 2.28
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.60
Over 5.5 8.50
Under 1.5 4.60
Under 2.5 2.23
Under 2.75 2.00
Under 3.0 1.76
Under 3.25 1.60
Under 3.5 1.47
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.04

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 5:0 5 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 5:2 3 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 4:2 2 6
W W
4 3 1 2 0 4:3 1 5
W D D
5 2 1 1 0 5:3 2 4
W D
6 2 1 1 0 3:1 2 4
D W
7 2 1 1 0 4:3 1 4
W D
8 2 1 1 0 3:2 1 4
D W
9 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
D W
10 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
D W
11 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
W L
12 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
L W
13 2 0 2 0 3:3 0 2
D D
14 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
D D
15 3 0 2 1 3:4 -1 2
L D D
16 2 0 1 1 3:4 -1 1
D L
17 2 0 1 1 3:4 -1 1
L D
18 2 0 1 1 3:5 -2 1
L D
19 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
D L
20 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
21 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
22 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
23 2 0 0 2 1:5 -4 0
L L
24 2 1 0 1 4:3 1 -1
W L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One