Watford
Match Timeline
Stoke City
Watford vs Stoke City Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
83.3%
|
2.37 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.93 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
74.1%
|
1.44 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.50 |
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 83.3%
Draw 8.4%
Stoke City Win 8.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.24
Stoke City1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford
WWDLW
12 GF / 12 GA
Stoke City
WLDWL
12 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
6
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
4
4
Shots on Goal
3.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Watford
10 matches
Stoke City
10 matches
| Watford | Statistic | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 12 | Goals For | 12 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 12.83 | Total Shots | 11.17 |
| 3.17 | Corners | 3.33 |
| 43.8% | Ball Possession | 41.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 6 times, Stoke City won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Watford's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Watford 4-2-3-1 / Stoke City 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Watford 7, Stoke City 7
H2H summary: Watford wins 6, draws 3, Stoke City wins 6
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 15 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Stoke City
Away
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 12 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 |
Watford
Home
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One