ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
18.04.2026 14:00
Vicarage Road
Referee: J. Busby
Watford
Match Timeline
Sheffield Utd
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Imrân Louza
Watford
⚽
50'
P. Bamford
Sheffield Utd
🔄
58'
O. Maamma ↔ G. Chakvetadze
Watford
🔄
59'
E. Kayembe ↔ A. Nabizada
Watford
⚽
59'
P. Bamford · Assist: F. Seriki
Sheffield Utd
🔄
60'
A. Brooks ↔ T. Chong
Sheffield Utd
🟨
65'
Gustavo Hamer
Sheffield Utd
🔄
67'
G. Hamer ↔ D. Ings
Sheffield Utd
🔄
67'
J. Riedewald ↔ S. Peck
Sheffield Utd
🔄
71'
J. Abankwah ↔ M. Bola
Watford
🔄
71'
M. Doumbia ↔ L. Kjerrumgaard
Watford
🟨
75'
Danny Ings
Sheffield Utd
🔄
77'
J. Rothwell ↔ O. Arblaster
Sheffield Utd
🔄
77'
C. O'Hare ↔ T. Bindon
Sheffield Utd
🟨
81'
Sydie Peck
Sheffield Utd
🔄
81'
N. Mendy ↔ E. Bove
Watford
🟨
90+7'
Matthew Pollock
Watford
🟨
90+1'
Tahith Chong
Sheffield Utd

Watford vs Sheffield Utd Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
79.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.7%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 39.4%
Draw 13.4%
Sheffield Utd Win 47.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.33
Sheffield Utd1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
53 GF / 56 GA
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
WLDWL
62 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
27
BTTS Yes
24
20
Over 2.5
25
4.47
Shots on Goal
4.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 43 matches
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 43 matches
Watford Statistic Sheffield Utd
14 Wins 16
15 Draws 6
14 Losses 21
53 Goals For 62
56 Goals Against 63
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
27 BTTS Yes 24
34 Over 1.5 31
20 Over 2.5 25
10 Over 3.5 14
7 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 11
4.47 Shots On Goal 4.21
13.93 Total Shots 13.56
5.02 Corners 6.86
51.7% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Watford's more proactive style and Sheffield Utd's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sheffield Utd. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Watford expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Sheffield Utd in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sheffield Utd having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Watford Analysis

So far, Watford have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 57 points from 42 matches. The record of 14 wins, 15 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 52:51 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Kjerrumgaard (9 goals), I. Louza (7 goals), Mamadou Doumbia (5 goals), with creative support from I. Louza (9 assists), N. Irankunda (4 assists), Jeremy Ngakia (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with H. Kyprianou, J. Ngakia, R. Vata unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Sheffield Utd Analysis

Sheffield Utd approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 54 points from 42 matches. Their record of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 59:59, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. O'Hare (9 goals), P. Bamford (9 goals), Andre Brooks (6 goals), with creative support from Gustavo Hamer (11 assists), C. O'Hare (6 assists), Harrison Burrows (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with M. Cooper, S. McCallum, J. Shackleton unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 1 times, Sheffield Utd won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:8 from Watford's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.38 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.6%)
Predicted formations: Watford 4-4-2 / Sheffield Utd 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Watford 5, Sheffield Utd 5
H2H summary: Watford wins 1, draws 2, Sheffield Utd wins 5

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation