Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
81.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Watford
Coventry
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Watford
46 matches
Coventry
46 matches
| Watford | Statistic | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 27 |
| 15 | Draws | 11 |
| 17 | Losses | 8 |
| 54 | Goals For | 93 |
| 66 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.02 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 37 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 28 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.37 | Shots On Goal | 5.43 |
| 13.76 | Total Shots | 16.07 |
| 5 | Corners | 5.24 |
| 51.3% | Ball Possession | 55.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Coventry's more proactive style and Watford's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Watford have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Coventry carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 92 points while Watford sit 16 on 57, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Watford expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Coventry in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Coventry having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Coventry. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 57 points from 45 games and a place of 16, Watford still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 15 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 53:61 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Kjerrumgaard (9 goals), I. Louza (7 goals), Mamadou Doumbia (5 goals), with creative support from I. Louza (9 assists), N. Irankunda (4 assists), Jeremy Ngakia (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses points to a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Coventry come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 92 points from 45 matches. Their overall return of 27 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 93:45 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Wright (17 goals), B. Thomas-Asante (13 goals), E. Mason-Clark (10 goals), with creative support from Milan van Ewijk (8 assists), E. Mason-Clark (6 assists), V. Torp (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 10 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 2 times, Coventry won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:20 from Watford's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.69 goals per game.
Watford
4
7
5
5
4
6
Lineups
Watford
Barnet
Watford
Boreham Wood
Watford
Middlesbrough
Watford
West Brom
Watford
Sheffield Utd
Watford
Oxford United
Watford
Charlton
Watford
QPR
Watford
Leicester
Watford
Wrexham
Watford
Stoke City
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
Watford
Bristol City
Watford
Ipswich
Watford
Derby
Watford
Preston
Watford
Southampton
Watford
Hull City
Watford
Swansea
Watford
Blackburn
Coventry
Northampton
Coventry
Wrexham
Coventry
Portsmouth
Coventry
Blackburn
Coventry
Sheffield Wednesday
Coventry
Hull City
Coventry
Derby
Coventry
Swansea
Coventry
Southampton
Coventry
Preston
Coventry
Bristol City
Coventry
Stoke City
Coventry
Sheffield Utd
Coventry
West Brom
Coventry
Middlesbrough
Coventry
Oxford United
Coventry
QPR
Coventry
Norwich
Coventry
Millwall
Coventry
Leicester
Watford
Sheffield Utd
Watford
Charlton
Watford
Leicester
Watford
Wrexham
Watford
Ipswich
Watford
Derby
Watford
Swansea
Watford
Portsmouth
Watford
Millwall
Watford
Birmingham
Watford
Stoke City
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
Watford
Norwich
Watford
Preston
Watford
Bristol City
Watford
Middlesbrough
Watford
West Brom
Watford
Oxford United
Watford
Hull City
Watford
Blackburn
Coventry
Northampton
Coventry
Blackburn
Coventry
Hull City
Coventry
Swansea
Coventry
Bristol City
Coventry
Sheffield Utd
Coventry
West Brom
Coventry
QPR
Coventry
Norwich
Coventry
Stoke City
Coventry
Birmingham
Coventry
Charlton
Coventry
Southampton
Coventry
Preston
Coventry
Ipswich
Coventry
Middlesbrough
Coventry
Stoke City
Coventry
Wrexham
Coventry
Portsmouth
Coventry
Sheffield Wednesday
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
Away
|
46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Watford
Home
|
46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|